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Author Topic: Until how long will GPU mining last?  (Read 5511 times)
jmigdlc99 (OP)
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June 04, 2017, 09:44:35 AM
 #1

I recently tried setting up another mining rig but found out all the profitable GPUs are no longer available at all local stores in my country. According to the distributors, people have been buying GPUs in BULK since April 2017.

At this rate, can GPU mining still be profitable long term? 1 year from now? 3 years from now?

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Vann
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June 04, 2017, 09:54:08 AM
Last edit: June 04, 2017, 10:33:23 AM by Vann
 #2

I recently tried setting up another mining rig but found out all the profitable GPUs are no longer available at all local stores in my country. According to the distributors, people have been buying GPUs in BULK since April 2017.

At this rate, can GPU mining still be profitable long term? 1 year from now? 3 years from now?

I think the decentralized nature of GPU POW mining is here to stay for the forseable future. There will be peaks for sure, just like the last time there was a run on GPU's back in 2014, until ASIC's moved in to take over Scrypt. However those that stuck it out and kept mining are now benefiting from having done so.
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June 04, 2017, 12:14:11 PM
 #3

Lack of GPUs prolongs profitability for those who already have them, or manage to get some.

 However, do keep in mind that NVidia makes GPUs too, and they are very profitable on most coins and can often beat AMD on hash/watt even where they lose on hash/$ (mostly ETH ETC and such, and the Cryptonight coins like XMR).

 For ZEC (which isn't the most profitable NVidia coin by far but is probably has the second most GPUs mining on it) NVidia is quite close on hash/$ (and might even WIN on some comparisons) WITHOUT FACTORING IN the current AMD "gouge" pricing.



 Funny part - folks have been pushing the Skein coins a lot, but I actually ended up making more on something else (that I'm NOT going to mention here, as it's fairly small and I don't want the profitability of it to get overwhelmed by a bunch of newbies or even one BIG farm jumping all over it).


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June 04, 2017, 05:32:19 PM
 #4

Lack of GPUs prolongs profitability for those who already have them, or manage to get some.

 However, do keep in mind that NVidia makes GPUs too, and they are very profitable on most coins and can often beat AMD on hash/watt even where they lose on hash/$ (mostly ETH ETC and such, and the Cryptonight coins like XMR).

 For ZEC (which isn't the most profitable NVidia coin by far but is probably has the second most GPUs mining on it) NVidia is quite close on hash/$ (and might even WIN on some comparisons) WITHOUT FACTORING IN the current AMD "gouge" pricing.



 Funny part - folks have been pushing the Skein coins a lot, but I actually ended up making more on something else (that I'm NOT going to mention here, as it's fairly small and I don't want the profitability of it to get overwhelmed by a bunch of newbies or even one BIG farm jumping all over it).



Mentioning it or not, it doesn't really matter in the end because it eventually evens out with other coins profitability, lots of people know about whattomine, and also people can check what's hot on trading volume on any exchange especially poloniex which is booming hard... probably you meant SIA,(but it doesn't matter)
SIA went up by a lot last couple of weeks and I jumped on the hype train just today, dual mining eth has finally become more profitable for me...

But Sia is just one of many, generally every altcoin has been pumped since last ~2 months...
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June 04, 2017, 05:38:45 PM
 #5

I recently tried setting up another mining rig but found out all the profitable GPUs are no longer available at all local stores in my country. According to the distributors, people have been buying GPUs in BULK since April 2017.

At this rate, can GPU mining still be profitable long term? 1 year from now? 3 years from now?

It's been going on for years just when you think GPU mining is DEAD, A new coin comes along and keeps it a live maybe not right a way but has sense it all started with BTC . so to answer your question ... it may never end for GPU's and switch to a new coin ..If all the coins mined now some how become Useless Or hard to mine with GPU's ..... there maybe a down time point in between coins but it won't stop unless every one completely gives up on GPU's ... which won't happen any time soon....


Same, kind of with some Coins you can mine with CPUs .

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June 04, 2017, 06:34:06 PM
 #6

Lack of GPUs prolongs profitability for those who already have them, or manage to get some.

 However, do keep in mind that NVidia makes GPUs too, and they are very profitable on most coins and can often beat AMD on hash/watt even where they lose on hash/$ (mostly ETH ETC and such, and the Cryptonight coins like XMR).

 For ZEC (which isn't the most profitable NVidia coin by far but is probably has the second most GPUs mining on it) NVidia is quite close on hash/$ (and might even WIN on some comparisons) WITHOUT FACTORING IN the current AMD "gouge" pricing.



 Funny part - folks have been pushing the Skein coins a lot, but I actually ended up making more on something else (that I'm NOT going to mention here, as it's fairly small and I don't want the profitability of it to get overwhelmed by a bunch of newbies or even one BIG farm jumping all over it).



Mentioning it or not, it doesn't really matter in the end because it eventually evens out with other coins profitability, lots of people know about whattomine, and also people can check what's hot on trading volume on any exchange especially poloniex which is booming hard... probably you meant SIA,(but it doesn't matter)
SIA went up by a lot last couple of weeks and I jumped on the hype train just today, dual mining eth has finally become more profitable for me...

But Sia is just one of many, generally every altcoin has been pumped since last ~2 months...
That is right. As long as the ETH and ZEC is still mineable, the gpu mining will last.
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June 04, 2017, 07:38:55 PM
 #7

No party lasts forever, but predicting how long is tricky.
Based on previous altcoin mining bubbles, I'd say less than a year before profitability returns to where it was during the summer of 2016.
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June 04, 2017, 07:51:24 PM
 #8

The markets are in full party mode, but the party might not end any time soon.

ETH is a powder keg that blew everything sky high, the top guys worked some real magic to get 80 company's many of which are fortune 500 to join their alliance.  So to answer your question there is no answer but as these company's go into testing phases and adoption marches along good times will keep going.

We are still in baby market caps, many things to consider but keep that farm running and plan for the future.
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June 04, 2017, 08:26:53 PM
 #9

  What's interesting to me is what will be the new tech to replace gpu. It has to happen. Right now the gamers are all freaking out because they can sell their old AMD cards and get nvidia cards,  which would lead me to believe those cards will be the next thing  and perhaps that means a new coin will the one
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June 04, 2017, 09:38:23 PM
 #10

Lack of GPUs prolongs profitability for those who already have them, or manage to get some.

 However, do keep in mind that NVidia makes GPUs too, and they are very profitable on most coins and can often beat AMD on hash/watt even where they lose on hash/$ (mostly ETH ETC and such, and the Cryptonight coins like XMR).

 For ZEC (which isn't the most profitable NVidia coin by far but is probably has the second most GPUs mining on it) NVidia is quite close on hash/$ (and might even WIN on some comparisons) WITHOUT FACTORING IN the current AMD "gouge" pricing.



 Funny part - folks have been pushing the Skein coins a lot, but I actually ended up making more on something else (that I'm NOT going to mention here, as it's fairly small and I don't want the profitability of it to get overwhelmed by a bunch of newbies or even one BIG farm jumping all over it).



Mentioning it or not, it doesn't really matter in the end because it eventually evens out with other coins profitability, lots of people know about whattomine, and also people can check what's hot on trading volume on any exchange especially poloniex which is booming hard... probably you meant SIA,(but it doesn't matter)
SIA went up by a lot last couple of weeks and I jumped on the hype train just today, dual mining eth has finally become more profitable for me...

But Sia is just one of many, generally every altcoin has been pumped since last ~2 months...

 Whattomine doesn't list all algos on the compare page, so yes it DOES matter.

 9-)

 For one example, Skein isn't there (even though at least one Skein-based coin is TON more profitable than Pascal which IS there).

 Additionally, the "hashrate" shown on many algos on many cards is WAY off.


 There are already quite a few coins that NVidia cards mine for higher profitability than AMD cards do - even ZEC in the last month or so has been seeing NVidia achieve equal-to-better hash/$ vs AMD, and ZEC isn't exactly small based on the number of cards needed to achieve the current network hash (I think ETH is the only "bigger" GPU-mineable coin on that basis).


 I doubt that profitability of all coins will return to where they were at a year ago - but I DO expect to see a shakeout and a major dump on profitability for most GPU-based coins over the next year or two - probably triggered when ETH starts *finally* phasing out POW heavily (ballpark when it moves POW to half or less of total "Proofing").

 The interesting thing is if that does end up being the timing, it most likely happen pretty close to the same timeframe that the next generation of SHA256 (and probably Scrypt and possibly X11/X13/X15/etc) ASIC miners start selling.



 Moore's Law has been taking a noticeable hit over the last decade, as current semi tech runs seriously into quantum-level issues, and Silicon reaches the "end of the road" as a viable semi material. The next decade could see Moore's Law end - and it looks definite that it's going to have a major PAUSE as a minimum after the 7/10nm nodes go into production.


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June 05, 2017, 03:56:38 AM
 #11

thats a good question i have around 300 rx 570 470 480 and 580
mix 100 sitting idle right now , should i sell them for 1070s since i can get $360 per card for em hmm

btw no pms pls

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June 05, 2017, 10:17:18 AM
 #12

thats a good question i have around 300 rx 570 470 480 and 580
mix 100 sitting idle right now , should i sell them for 1070s since i can get $360 per card for em hmm

btw no pms pls

 I rarely will see a 470/480/570/580 advertised on NewEgg for under $300 and (momentarily) in-stock - I keep getting tempted to buy as many as I can and put them up on craigslist for $100-$200 more....


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June 05, 2017, 09:40:11 PM
 #13

I rarely will see a 470/480/570/580 advertised on NewEgg for under $300 and (momentarily) in-stock - I keep getting tempted to buy as many as I can and put them up on craigslist for $100-$200 more....

I bought two 570s from NewEgg on two different days in past 5 days. Each for $225. Gotta be quick when they list them.
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July 02, 2017, 05:26:53 PM
 #14

eth asic's confirmed

I think it will be a scam.
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July 02, 2017, 07:21:01 PM
 #15

eth asic's confirmed

 Yeah, right.

 Link to a REPUTABLE site or take your FUD back home again.

 Keep in mind that dedicated multi-GPU setups like the PandaMiner are NOT ASIC.


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July 02, 2017, 07:38:39 PM
 #16

GPU mining will last as long as it will be profitable. When there will be too much miners, the difficulty will drop, and more will join. At some moment there will be an equilibrium that will rise and lower.
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July 07, 2017, 01:20:35 PM
 #17

GPU mining will last as long as it will be profitable. When there will be too much miners, the difficulty will drop, and more will join. At some moment there will be an equilibrium that will rise and lower.

When there will be too much miners, the difficulty will rise.
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July 07, 2017, 01:34:25 PM
 #18

GPU mining will last as long as it will be profitable. When there will be too much miners, the difficulty will drop, and more will join. At some moment there will be an equilibrium that will rise and lower.
Too much miners will not drop difficulty level but it will rise it due to nature of crypto. Same as with btc.

Nobody could answer for how long it will be profitable but best move would be to diversify your rigs - mix of radeon and nvidia because these can be profitable at different moments with different coins.

To get the point what is more profitable to mine you can temporarily use nicehash to get that info and then get back to your usual pool.
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July 07, 2017, 02:00:07 PM
 #19

GPU mining will last as long as it will be profitable. When there will be too much miners, the difficulty will drop, and more will join. At some moment there will be an equilibrium that will rise and lower.
Too much miners will not drop difficulty level but it will rise it due to nature of crypto. Same as with btc.

Nobody could answer for how long it will be profitable but best move would be to diversify your rigs - mix of radeon and nvidia because these can be profitable at different moments with different coins.

To get the point what is more profitable to mine you can temporarily use nicehash to get that info and then get back to your usual pool.
If you are really a complete newbie on mining altcoin then nicehash would be really userfirendly since its not too technical and you can easily set-it up  and talking about difficulty that its just normal to think that it would normally rise since there are already lots of miners of a particular coin and as you said we can see it also on bitcoin which means profits would really lessen up overtime but still no need to worry there are lots of coins to choose from.

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July 07, 2017, 02:26:38 PM
 #20

It's gameover, in few weeks, gpus will be at 50% off, many trolls will commit suicide.

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