Crypto Alert Notification

[crypto_alert]

Dear forum members,

I've been working on a small project which turned out to be a website now.  There are hundeds of coins available in exchange websites and more are coming. I have started this project for myself as I was spending a lot of time in front of a computer and trying to catch significant moves. Given my background in statistics and programming, I decided to write some programs that regularly screens (e.g., 15 minutes) price and volume activity for all coins and send signals based on certain criteria. For those selected coins with unusual price and volume activity, the output provides more information for further evaluation.

I am still working on tuning my algorithm to reduce the number of false signals and to catch important movements early on. The project is at its very early stage. More information about the project is:

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com

You can read about the process I am using for the current 15-minute reports in the link below:

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/15-minute-reports/

A sample 15-minute report can be accessed from the following link:

http://docdro.id/Me6iv9j

You can subscribe to receiving emails from the following link:

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/subscribe/

You will receive emails every 15 minutes if there is at least one coin with unusual price and volume activity after screening all of them. This currently works for only Poloniex. Once I tune my filtering algorithm and I am satisfied with the outcomes, I am planning to extend it to other exchange websites.

It's currently a free service. You can tip to support the future developments. In the future, after testing period, there might be a small subscription fee which will not exceed $3-$5 per month.

I will also plan to tweet the reports every 15 minutes from the twitter account. You can follow us from the following address to receive tweet alerts once it starts running.

https://mobile.twitter.com/CryptoAlert2

This is a developing project. I really appreciate any feedback/suggestion. Hope, you will benefit from it.

Stay tuned! This is an exciting project.

[crypto_alert]

Dear all,

I am excited to announce that our twitter account is now up and running. In addition to delivering the alerts and the related full report via email, our twitter account is now tweeting the hottest coins with a link to the full report as a Google Drive document.

If you want to receive reports in an email format, you can still subscribe from the following link

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/subscribe/

If you are an active Twitter user, you can follow our twitter account to be informed about the hottest coins based on our screening/filtering algorithm repeatedly runs for every 15 minutes.

https://mobile.twitter.com/CryptoAlert2

Thanks for your support.

[Miiike]

Hello, so you basically made a system which will inform or alert us about some coin that currently (as in that per 15 mins) being pumped and/or having an uptrend, right?

[Gastotade]

You have same idea with blockfolio, Blockfolio has already that feature and can set an alert once the price of the coin exceed to the limit that you set. Can you tell me what is the difference of your application to blockfolio?

[crypto_alert]

Hello, so you basically made a system which will inform or alert us about some coin that currently (as in that per 15 mins) being pumped and/or having an uptrend, right?

Yes, that's what this is doing. You can read more about the algorithm here

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/15-minute-reports/

Every 15 minutes a script runs by pulling current data from POLO and filters "hottest" coins, and provide a pdf report to automatically tweet with a link to pdf.

It is not perfect and I am still experimenting things. Sometimes signals are good and coins with an alert continue to rise within next few hours. Sometimes signals are not that good, and price might even drop just after the signal. I am evaluating bad and good apples, and trying to see patterns for filtering out bad apples based on some technical indicators. My goal is to improve it as much as possible.

I will also start publishing daily reports evaluating the performance of signals in the past 24 hours. So, people can actually see if this really works, and how it is improving over time.

The process is as below:

1. Computation:

• The total buy volume in the past 24 hours is computed and divided by 24, 48, and 96 to compute the average 1-hour, 30-minute, and 15-minute buy volume within the past 24 hours.
  
• The percentage change is computed for the buy volume in the last 15, 30, and 60 minutes compared to respective average volumes in the past 24 hours.
  
• The price change in the last 15, 30, and 60 minutes is also computed.
• All current buy and sell orders are pulled from the trade book. Also, the first 100 and 200 buy and sell orders in the tradebook is independently considered to analyze the near future market depth.
• Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is computed for the past 24 hour data.
  
• Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is computed for the past 24 hour data.
  
• Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is computed for the past 24 hour data.
  

2. Evaluation:

The coins that meet all the following criteria are filtered:

• The percentage change in hourly buy volume is positive.
• The percentage change in 30-min buy volume is bigger than the percentage change in hourly buy volume.
• The percentage change in 15-min buy volume is bigger than the percentage change in 30-min buy volume.
• The price change in the past 15 minutes, 30 minutes, and 60 minutes are all positive.
• MACD value is larger than it is signal within the past 30-minutes and has a positive trend in the past 2,5 hours.
• SMI value is larger than it is signal within the past 30-minutes and has a positive trend in the past 2,5 hours.
• CMF is positive.

3. Reporting:


For every coin that meet all criteria in Step 2, the following is wrapped in a pdf document for user’s information and automatically tweeted with a link to pdf:

• The percentage change in buy volume for the past 15 minutes, 30 minutes, and 60 minutes is reported compared to their respective 24-hour averages.
• The price change for the past 15 minutes, 30 minutes, and 60 minutes is also reported
• The current state of the whole trade book is reported in addition to the first 100 and 200 buy and sell orders in the trade book are compared.
• A candle stick plot for the past 24 hours (15 minute candles) and for the past 2 weeks (4-hour candles) is provided along with the following technical indicators for further evaluation: Squeeze Momentum Indicator, SMI, Volume, On Balance Volume, On Balance Volume Oscillator, 24 hour Cumulative Volume and its EMA(21), Parabolic Stop-and-Reverse points, Bollinger Bands, Stoch RSI, ADX, Chaikin Money Flow

[crypto_alert]

You have same idea with blockfolio, Blockfolio has already that feature and can set an alert once the price of the coin exceed to the limit that you set. Can you tell me what is the difference of your application to blockfolio?

This is not a simple price alert. I think there are already many of them. This is not the purpose.

My algorithm is a more deeper technical analysis, and it is evolving. My ultimate goal is not to alert about coins that exceed a certain price threshold but to alert about coins that is likely starting an uptrend and may increase its price significantly within next three hours.

My goal is to set up a system that screens all coins (right now just the ones trading in POLO) and filters them based on some certain technical indicators which may be correlated to future price increase and uptrend. If I can set up a system that can identify the coins which will likely increase its price between 3%-5% within next 2-3 hours, the project is complete.

If I can achieve my goal, I will plan to extend this to identify coins with a longer uptrend by analyzing the past two weeks or four weeks data. Also, I will plan to extend it to other exchanges.

Of course, this will happen if there is any interest and support from the community. Otherwise, it will just remain as a personal fun project.

[crypto_alert]

We started publishing our performance reports.

Check it out here for yesterday's alerts

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/06/19/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report/amp/

Follow us on twitter for daily alerts and performance reports.

https://mobile.twitter.com/CryptoAlert2

[crypto_alert]

Below is the link for our performance yesterday.

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/06/20/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-2/amp/

[crypto_alert]

Please see below for another performance report for this project.

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/06/23/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-june-22-2017-2359-gmt/amp/

[Dikobit]

Very interesting! Thank you for sharing your progress

[crypto_alert]

Very interesting! Thank you for sharing your progress

Thank you. Here is the one from yesterday.

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/06/24/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-june-23-2017-2359-gmt/amp/

[Ekoch1997]

I'm very interested in what you are doing and have been searching for something like this lately
One question, will you be implementing an rss feed?

[crypto_alert]

I'm very interested in what you are doing and have been searching for something like this lately
One question, will you be implementing an rss feed?

If you explain what it is and how to do it, I can think about it. For now, I am only tweeting about it. In the future, I may think to do through Telegram.

By the way, I completely changed algorithm. I am now implementing Support Vector Machines (a machine learning algorihm), and the goal is to predict that a coin's price will increase by at least 3% within next 3-hour window. I will put more updates in the future when it's fully implemented.

[crypto_alert]

Hey everyone,

It's been a while since I posted any update. I am constantly working on the algorithm and it seems improving. Check out the performance reports from the last few days.

I've changed and updated my goals and tuning the algorithm accordingly. The goal of my algorithm is to screen every coin's data avery 15 minutes and to send an alert if it predicts that a coin's price is going to increase by at least 3% within the next three hour window.


https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/07/05/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-july-04-2017-2359-gmt/

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/07/04/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-july-03-2017-2359-gmt/

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/07/03/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-july-02-2017-2359-gmt/

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/07/02/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-july-01-2017-2359-gmt/

[dcb942]

When will you update the algorithm page on your website? I am interested in reading more about your current methods.

[crypto_alert]

When will you update the algorithm page on your website? I am interested in reading more about your current methods.

Once I finalize an algorithm that send reliable signals on a consistent basis. Right now, I am experimenting with several things including machine learning, logistic regression, etc. in order to find a procedure for the most accurate signals. So, there is no meaning of putting something as it keeps changing and I was tired of updating that page everytime i change the algorithm.

But, I can write a summary about at least the variables I am using.

[crypto_alert]

When will you update the algorithm page on your website? I am interested in reading more about your current methods.

Here is a quick piece I wrote. Hope it helps. I don't really mind sharing how I am doing it. If people are going to pay for it in the future, they have to know what they are paying for. There is still a lot room to improve.

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/algorithm/

And this is the type of data I am compiling and using for the predictions.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14g6-c5rDd5Hq2FlLeXXwqk5PsyIwVk7kvy2F1wtRkew/edit#gid=0

[crypto_alert]

Here is the daily performance reports from the last couple days

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/07/08/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-july-07-2017-2359-gmt/

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/07/07/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-july-06-2017-2359-gmt/

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/07/06/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-july-05-2017-2359-gmt/

[crypto_alert]

Yesterday was a great performance. I just need to do this consistently.

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/07/09/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-july-08-2017-2359-gmt/

[crypto_alert]

Yesterday's performance report was even better. I think my model did start sending reliable signals. There is still room to improve, and I am working on it.

https://cryptoalert.wordpress.com/2017/07/11/crypto-alert-project-daily-performance-report-july-10-2017-2359-gmt/