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人民币即期汇率升至7个月新高,又重回全球第六大支付货币
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Topic: 人民币即期汇率升至7个月新高,又重回全球第六大支付货币 (Read 105 times)
jlkghalko
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人民币即期汇率升至7个月新高,又重回全球第六大支付货币
June 29, 2017, 04:46:25 PM
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眼下人民币对美元汇率强势升值,人民币也重新夺回了全球第六大支付货币的地位。
环球同业银行金融电讯协会(SWIFT)6月29日发布的最新报告显示,5月人民币交易使用量环比微升至1.61%,结束连续两个月的下跌,并重新回到全球第六大支付货币。
今年2月,人民币在国际支付中的使用占比为1.84%,3月跌至1.78%,随后在4月这一占比进一步下滑至1.6%,排名降至第七,被瑞士法郎超越,这也是自2015年2月以来最差排名。
在此之前,人民币曾在2015年8月超越日元,成为仅次于美元、欧元和英镑之后的全球第四大支付货币。
在全球支付体系中地位回升的背后,则是人民币汇率的升值。
在岸、离岸人民币已连续3个交易日大涨,其中,在岸人民币累计上涨超过500个基点,离岸人民币累计上涨700个基点。
6月29日,人民币对美元中间价上调113点报6.7940,这是中间价连续第二个交易日上涨,上日中间价6.8053。上日官方收盘报6.7992,夜盘收盘报6.7997。
在代表央行意志的中间价出炉后,在岸、离岸市场同样大涨,人民币对美元即期汇率6月29日一度升破6.78关口至6.7722,至去年11月以来最高水平。
在离岸市场中,人民币的表现略淡定,离岸人民币对美元最高升至6.7824。
市场普遍认为,近期人民币的暴涨一定程度上体现了逆周期因子对中间价的“催化”作用。
招商证券首席宏观分析谢亚轩认为,逆周期因子旨在适度对冲市场情绪的顺周期波动,消除外汇市场的“羊群效应”。尽管官方措辞仅是“考虑”引进逆周期因子,但市场已经迅速作出反应。
5月26日,新的人民币汇率中间价形成机制现身,即在原有的机制中增加了“逆周期因子”。
此外,人民币升值的背后,则是美元指数的跌跌不休。
美元指数连续第三天大跌,6月29日一度报95.7536,跌破2016年11月9日(特朗普大选获胜当日)低点,创2016年10月来最低。
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