Total Marketcap All Coins Logarithmic Regression

[tommyworldpower]

@Trolololo -   Please message me on telegram @Tommyworldpower, I'll tip you $100 for doing so! (no bullshit)


Cheers!

[1714468634]

1714468634

[1714468634]

1714468634

[uslfd]

The picture is pretty bad compared to the purely bitcoin one...
I really hope there could be fewer bad coins like bitconnect - these bad coins are draining the energy out of the whole crypto market

[vincentpenz00r]

Outlook here is quite bad, do you think we will have to wait till 2020 to recover? Or is this slump due to black swan events, simple FUD-ing on all channels

[mmortal03]

Outlook here is quite bad, do you think we will have to wait till 2020 to recover?

Based on what?

[Wilhelm]

Outlook here is quite bad, do you think we will have to wait till 2020 to recover? Or is this slump due to black swan events, simple FUD-ing on all channels

No
No
Yes

[Trolololo]

Here is the updated chart:



Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Please, donate to:
BTC: 3F6Cs4x5mnp1xnURih8TiHN52DFzfGShNh
LTC: MU6ZfwepfD73SAYwSQVwGx39zmmTXhef3i
DASH: XczitEhpmqPMX4fbTAEvV6SuSo1rBU532s
ZEC: t1TCLym7Jti5Qo2Wn9oMopNVGBMs2kxqkcs


PS: Special thanks to Marc De Mesel, once again 

[Marc De Mesel]

Thank you so much for the update Trolololo!!!


Just published video on it with my analyses, enjoy guys and please retweet!!! 

https://twitter.com/marcdemesel/status/966207225009143814

Here is the updated chart:



Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Please, donate to:
BTC: 3F6Cs4x5mnp1xnURih8TiHN52DFzfGShNh
LTC: MU6ZfwepfD73SAYwSQVwGx39zmmTXhef3i
DASH: XczitEhpmqPMX4fbTAEvV6SuSo1rBU532s
ZEC: t1TCLym7Jti5Qo2Wn9oMopNVGBMs2kxqkcs


PS: Special thanks to Marc De Mesel, once again 

[vapourminer]

Here is the updated chart:

https://s10.postimg.org/kzlt8lhk9/log_all_coins_marketcap_18-02-2018.jpg

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Please, donate to:
BTC: 3F6Cs4x5mnp1xnURih8TiHN52DFzfGShNh
LTC: MU6ZfwepfD73SAYwSQVwGx39zmmTXhef3i
DASH: XczitEhpmqPMX4fbTAEvV6SuSo1rBU532s
ZEC: t1TCLym7Jti5Qo2Wn9oMopNVGBMs2kxqkcs


PS: Special thanks to Marc De Mesel, once again 

sent ya a tip, tx id is in a pm.

[talks_cheep]

@trolololo, you're a legend! What a fantastic graph! My suspicions about the whole cryptcurrency movement slowing down have been confirmed!!!

[Trolololo]

@vapourminer

Thank you very much for your donation! 

[Trolololo]

Amazing @anonymint's analysis:
https://steemit.com/trading/@anonymint/bitcoin-to-usd15k-in-march-usd8-5k-by-june-then-usd30-k-by-q1-2019

discussed here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=3057203

[statdude]

Has anyone access to an Excel or Google Sheet / calculator where I can plug in and do a Metcalfe analysis of price vs active users (providing my own active users values)?

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1803.05663v1.pdf - similar to what they've done in this paper?

[Marc De Mesel]

Hi guys, talked about Trololo chart in my latest video, "Thou Shalt Not Buy Overvaluation In Downtrend!"

Enjoy 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08Z1oBjF4ig


Summary:

Current fair historical valuation of all cryptos according to Trololo chart is $180 billion so current $260 billion is still 44% overvalued (not 70% as mentioned in video). If it is trending upwards you can still make a good buck buying overvaluation but trend is now clearly downwards for half a year. Considering past bull market (2015-2017) lasted 50% longer than previous bull market (2012-2013) (3 years instead of 2), this bear market will likely also last 50% longer than last bear market of 2014-2015 so this time 1.5 year instead of 1, for the biggest coins, 3 years instead of 2 years for smallest, which is still a very long time from here, until end 2020! Also a word on real world adoption of Byteball and Bitcoin Cash.

Recently very active on Instagram, pics and vids of my dating life Check it out: https://www.instagram.com/marcdemesel/

Please share with your friends on your fb or snapchat, or retweet:
https://twitter.com/marcdemesel/status/1010160840518066176

[harvw]

Hi guys, talked about Trololo chart in my latest video, "Thou Shalt Not Buy Overvaluation In Downtrend!"

Enjoy 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08Z1oBjF4ig


Summary:

Current fair historical valuation of all cryptos according to Trololo chart is $180 billion so current $260 billion is still 44% overvalued (not 70% as mentioned in video). If it is trending upwards you can still make a good buck buying overvaluation but trend is now clearly downwards for half a year. Considering past bull market (2015-2017) lasted 50% longer than previous bull market (2012-2013) (3 years instead of 2), this bear market will likely also last 50% longer than last bear market of 2014-2015 so this time 1.5 year instead of 1, for the biggest coins, 3 years instead of 2 years for smallest, which is still a very long time from here, until end 2020! Also a word on real world adoption of Byteball and Bitcoin Cash.

Recently very active on Instagram, pics and vids of my dating life Check it out: https://www.instagram.com/marcdemesel/

Please share with your friends on your fb or snapchat, or retweet:
https://twitter.com/marcdemesel/status/1010160840518066176

Thanks Marc!

@Trololo could you please start accepting NANO so that we can donate to help you update the chart on a periodic basis?

Thanks.

[Marc De Mesel]

Here is the updated chart:



Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Please, consider donating to bitcoin:19sEscR9bfH2ttXb5WbcabYbRGjq2znwPi

PS: Special thanks to Marc De Mesel, again  

Calculator Trendline used to point to $180 Billion 1 month back, but now dropped to $150 Billion, which is right previous calculation or current one (that sems updated trololo?)

[Marc De Mesel]

Here is the updated chart:



Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Please, consider donating to bitcoin:19sEscR9bfH2ttXb5WbcabYbRGjq2znwPi

PS: Special thanks to Marc De Mesel, again  

Observing the spread chart, we are heavily overvalued, more than 5x times the estimated value.
Only 2 times we were higher: June 2011 and nov 2013...

Legendary words now already from our one and only Trololo 


Send u message Trololo, would love to see new chart but especially have your confirmation that calculator is correct?

Current trendline is at 150 billion?

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

[Marc De Mesel]

Nevermind, current trendline at 200B according to your last link to calculator:

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

[of00160]

Nevermind, current trendline at 200B according to your last link to calculator:

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Mark how do you know the input in the wolfram alpha.  could you please explain. 
I discover your channel  and Tommyworldpower on youtube.  You guys have done a great work. 
I'm assuming you are Trolololo, lol

[ausbit]

Is this possible that somebody or Trololo will update this chart frequently?

Donate Trololo for this amazing work. If you find it valuable donate even more.

His Bitcoin one is also very good and deserves donations for an update: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=831547.msg9293342#msg9293342

I didn't entirely understood how this is calculated at all. I am trying to see how it is and why it should work but anyway I look at it shows only upto today and nothing about the future.

If we can't really calculate the future this is jut an algorithm that shows us what the marketcap should be looking like according to this also however nothing further? If so than why not just take a look at the marketcap itself instead of this also? If it has a possibility of showing the marketcap for a future time than how it could be done? It just shows today's and that's something we can find ourselves.

[harvw]

Where is Trolololo when you need him lol!