Difficulty contest rollover prize 2ltc 1 compac usb stick. Picks are now closed!

[philipma1957]

No winner I rolled over the 2ltc. and the compac stick.

Link to last contest.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1999606.0

 

Okay no one hit this.  So prize is raise to 2.0 ltc and a sidehack 1 chip usb compac.

Locking for the time being will fill in the rules in about 12 hours

Link to last threads

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1972166.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1932641.msg19189742#msg19189742

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

when it reaches 1116 picks will start

when it reaches 516-- picks will end----

when it reaches  0 winner will be found or not





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Difficulty History

Date.......................Difficulty............Change......Hash Rate



 Jul 14 2017   804,525,194,568   13.53%   5,759,015,666 GH/s
Jul 02 2017   708,659,466,230   -0.43%   5,072,782,052 GH/s


Jun 17 2017   711,697,198,174.......   4.85% ....  5,094,526,985 GH/s
May 23 2017   595,921,917,085   6.42%   4,265,775,241 GH/s
May 10 2017   559,970,892,891   7.28%   4,008,427,786 GH/s
Apr 27 2017   521,974,519,554   0.22%   3,736,439,151 GH/s
Apr 13 2017   520,808,749,422   4.24%   3,728,094,244 GH/s
Mar 30 2017   499,635,929,817   5.03%   3,576,533,297 GH/s
Mar 17 2017   475,705,205,062   3.24%   3,405,230,497 GH/s
Mar 03 2017   460,769,358,091   4.54%   3,298,315,540 GH/s
Feb 18 2017   440,779,902,287   4.41%   3,155,225,442 GH/s
Feb 04 2017   422,170,566,884   7.43%   3,022,014,630 GH/s
Jan 22 2017   392,963,262,344   16.64%   2,812,940,600 GH/s
Jan 10 2017   336,899,932,796   6.05%   2,411,623,656 GH/s









So 1 compac usb stick  from sidehack





If you are overseas  I will spring for the shipping of the compac stick. Note the compact stick is the 1 chip version but as always it is fun to play with it.

[philipma1957]

Rules







https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1484047.msg14964950#msg14964950

 I am checking this list of rules from older thread

1)you must have been on this site since April 1st 2017  you must have at least 30 posts. --

2)I will check you out if you are new and decide if you can play.
3)you get one play per adjustment. which must be yours alone, in proper format and can not be changed.
4)Do not pick someone else's number If you do I will assign a number and that will not be changed
5) picks start at:

Bitcoin Difficulty:  
Estimated Next Difficulty:  
 
Adjust time:                 Block    1116  
  
Hashrate(?):  
Block Generation Time(?):  
1 block:
3 blocks:
6 blocks:
Updated:  




6) picks end at

Bitcoin Difficulty:  
Estimated Next Difficulty:
  
Adjust time:      516

Hashrate(?):  
Block Generation Time(?):  
1 block:
3 blocks:
6 blocks:
Updated:  



7)  since this is a free contest I make all decisions if there are any issues or problems.


8 ) note the change  picks start later and end late in the hope of helping a person to pick a winner.

9) format is below and this is the  contest picks from 2016 in code

as low as you want

-1.0
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
+0.1
+0.2
+0.3
+0.4
+0.5
+0.6
+0.7
+0.8
+0.9
+1.0

to as high as you want

Code:

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  I always pick this number


-0.5 = Erumara        
  0.0 = adaseb
+0.7 = adib
+0.8 = ingiltere
+0.9 = usenet
+1.0 = NeuroticFish
+1.4 = ahmedjamal1998 
+1.5 = lolxxxx
+1.7 = ezeminer
+2.2 = Valkir
+2.3 = fr4nkthetank
+2.7 = blindminer
+3.0 = topiOleg
+3.1 = tlhIlwI
+3.2 = Psi
+3.3 = HagssFIN     
+3.4 = HerbPean
+3.5 = Veves1
+3.6 = Cuidler

+3.7  ! Thank you!    @ Roadstress  Pleaz try to do it right >    +3.7 = Roadstress

+3.9 = flikflak
+4.0 = pusttiu
+4.1 = Amph
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.5 = redhack
+4.6 = talks_cheep
+4.7 = Ankara
+4.8  = indiemax
+4.9 = ATguy
+5.0 = alh
+5.1 = FruitsBasket
+5.2 = VRobb
+5.3 = Dexter770221
+5.4 = gnaoui
+5.5 = vapourminer

+5.6 = mavericklm     I changed your pick to   +5.6 as vapourminer had +5.5

+5.7 = wlefever
+5.8 = Notlist3d
+5.9 = Chris!
+6.5 = wpt1wpt1
+6.6 = edonkey
+6.7 = zebedee
+6.8 = AM4Bitcoin
+6.9% = Mikestang
+7.6 = RichBC

Code:

Difficulty History

Date _______Difficulty_____________ Change___   Hash Rate



Jun 17 2017   711,697,198,174  .......... 4.85%.....   5,094,526,985 GH/s



May 24 2016   199,312,067,531   2.60%   1,426,731,353 GH/s
May 11 2016   194,254,820,283   8.73%   1,390,530,167 GH/s
Apr 28 2016   178,659,257,773   -0.01%   1,278,892,782 GH/s
Apr 14 2016   178,678,307,672   7.09%   1,279,029,147 GH/s
Apr 01 2016   166,851,513,283   0.82%   1,194,369,655 GH/s
Mar 18 2016   165,496,835,118   4.46%   1,184,672,491 GH/s
Mar 04 2016   158,427,203,767   -3.10%   1,134,066,098 GH/s
Feb 19 2016   163,491,654,909   13.44%   1,170,318,852 GH/s
Feb 07 2016   144,116,447,847   20.06%   1,031,625,717 GH/s
Jan 26 2016   120,033,340,651   5.89%   859,232,121 GH/s
Jan 13 2016   113,354,299,801   9.12%   811,421,684 GH/s
Dec 31 2015   103,880,340,815   11.16%   743,604,444 GH/s
Dec 18 2015   93,448,670,796           18.14%   668,931,642 GH/s
Dec 06 2015   79,102,380,900           8.77%   566,236,898 GH/s
Nov 24 2015   72,722,780,643          10.44%   520,569,941 GH/s
Nov 11 2015   65,848,255,180   5.77%   471,360,171 GH/s
Oct 29 2015   62,253,982,450   2.25%   445,631,364 GH/s
Oct 15 2015   60,883,825,480   0.12%   435,823,399 GH/s
Oct 01 2015   60,813,224,039   2.49%   435,318,014 GH/s
Sep 17 2015   59,335,351,234   4.17%   424,738,988 GH/s
Sep 04 2015   56,957,648,455   4.98%   407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015   54,256,630,328   2.95%   388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015   52,699,842,409   0.81%   377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015   52,278,304,846   2.35%   374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015   51,076,366,303   3.39%   365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015   49,402,014,931   -0.58%   353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com

10) Finally If I missed anything  I will be the sole  decider as to what is fair.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

[edonkey]

I have my SHA256 miners on NiceHash with a profitability value. That last difficulty increase was so high that my miners switched away to a backup pool.

It's days like this that I wish NiceHash had listed to my request to optionally specify the profitability as a delta percentage rather than a fixed value.

Let's all hope the next jump goes easier on us...

[QuintLeo]

How do you get your ASIC miners to switch pools based on profitability?

 Is that SHA256 specific, or does it apply to all of their ASIC-based pools (I seem to have missed it in the Scrypt instructions).

[philipma1957]

How do you get your ASIC miners to switch pools based on profitability?

 Is that SHA256 specific, or does it apply to all of their ASIC-based pools (I seem to have missed it in the Scrypt instructions).

On the s-9. The third line the password line

.42

Would be the setting

As .33 is the correct rate

If no one is paying .42 it drops to second choice

If you get paid the .42 it is like 135 percent.

[alh]

For what it's worth, BTC price has declined now to $2051. I would think that if that persists, that the increase in hashrate will slow. There's quite a lag in hashrate changes, BTC price can literally "turn on a dime". Maybe a decline in BTC price coupled with good sized difficulty jump will bring things  back closer to where they were back in the first 2 months of the year.

Just my $.02.

[philipma1957]

For what it's worth, BTC price has declined now to $2051. I would think that if that persists, that the increase in hashrate will slow. There's quite a lag in hashrate changes, BTC price can literally "turn on a dime". Maybe a decline in BTC price coupled with good sized difficulty jump will bring things  back closer to where they were back in the first 2 months of the year.

Just my $.02.

I cashed 4 coins at  about 9550.
I could buy them back at  8300.

this chart shows a drop  the gray line is clearly under the line.  which means negative.

I would not mind  a further price drop.
say  1600 a coin.

[edonkey]

How do you get your ASIC miners to switch pools based on profitability?

 Is that SHA256 specific, or does it apply to all of their ASIC-based pools (I seem to have missed it in the Scrypt instructions).

Phil already answered, but just to clarify this is a pool specific setting. For Nicehash it's the "p" option in the password field.

For example, here's how I currently have Nicehash set up as my first pool (with a different receive address):

Code:

stratum+tcp://sha256.usa.nicehash.com:3334#xnsub
18wQtEDmhur2xAd3oE8qgrZbpCDeuMsdQW
p=0.3282

The above 0.3282 number works out to about 5% over the current SHA256 earnings. If Nicehash falls below that, it appears as dead to the miner and the miner switches to the next pool.

The pain in the ass part is that they don't allow me to specify a percentage. It's only a fixed number. So when there's a difficulty change, I recompute the profitability number and restart my miners with it.

I got tired of computing the profitability number by hand (using a mining calculator) so I now do it automatically using some Javascript in a Google Sheets spreadsheet. If anyone is interested, here's the GitHub page with the scripts:

https://github.com/edonkeycoin/gsbitcoinutils

I'm a little unhappy with the performance of blockr.io though (which I used for the scripts). I might switch APIs if I get pissed off enough.

[philipma1957]

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   804,525,194,568
Estimated Next Difficulty:   897,679,492,842 (+11.58%)

Adjust time:   After 1738 Blocks, About 11.8 days >>>>  WE START AT 1116

Hashrate(?):   5,567,284,095 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.3 minutes
6 blocks: 58.6 minutes
Updated:   



and price is dropping like a rock 1935  at coinbase.

[alh]

A few hours later, on price.bitcoin.com: $1880.

Pretty much a straight line down from $2600 on July 5th. (excluding small and brief  "rallies").

[philipma1957]

A few hours later, on price.bitcoin.com: $1880.

Pretty much a straight line down from $2600 on July 5th. (excluding small and brief  "rallies").

I am happy I sold four for 9550

[QuintLeo]

A few hours later, on price.bitcoin.com: $1880.

Pretty much a straight line down from $2600 on July 5th. (excluding small and brief  "rallies").

I am happy I sold four for 9550

 I'm happy I moved almost everything off Nicehash - though only had a couple old low-level rigs and my Scrypt stuff pointed there.

 Litecoin is doing quite well compared to Bitcoin the last couple weeks, still only down 20% more or less on $ terms from it's peak 3ish weeks back and seems inclined to climb to a higher level vs. Bitcoin than it's seen in years.

[philipma1957]

A few hours later, on price.bitcoin.com: $1880.

Pretty much a straight line down from $2600 on July 5th. (excluding small and brief  "rallies").

I am happy I sold four for 9550

 I'm happy I moved almost everything off Nicehash - though only had a couple old low-level rigs and my Scrypt stuff pointed there.

 Litecoin is doing quite well compared to Bitcoin the last couple weeks, still only down 20% more or less on $ terms from it's peak 3ish weeks back and seems inclined to climb to a higher level vs. Bitcoin than it's seen in years.

right now my mining has been reduced  I sold a lot of gear.

I now have 56th for BTC  down from 70th
I have  4-5k sol for ZEC  down from 13k sol
I have 150 mh for  Nist5
I have a tiny little x-11 miner with 5mh  that uses 12 watts or so


I am holding a lot of cash  more then anything else.

If everything crashes I can buy cheap gpus or avalon 741's or cheap btc.

If everything rallies  I can earn with the gear I have.

[QuintLeo]

I have a tiny little x-11 miner with 5mh  that uses 12 watts or so

 Pinaldea (sp?) USB-based thing where the fan is about as big as the actual miner?

[philipma1957]

I have a tiny little x-11 miner with 5mh  that uses 12 watts or so

 Pinaldea (sp?) USB-based thing where the fan is about as big as the actual miner?

yeah  shaped like a cube  makes money I mine it  next to the compac sticks  and I mine cpu mining  for hodl or cryptonight along with 1 gpu for zcash.

The rig has 4 separate  things going 

[leowonderful]

I recall buying one of the PinIdea USB miners for about fifty bucks this year and then forgetting about it and eventually losing it. They sure are quiet and reliable, and the only X11 machines I ever got at a decent price. Perhaps I'll find it this week 

[isoneguy]

oh man leo, I need one of those for every one of my rigs.

[philipma1957]

oh man leo, I need one of those for every one of my rigs.

you sold it to me 4 or 5 months ago!

they turned out okay

running it with other miners  it makes 10-15 cents a day

[leowonderful]

On another note Bitmain seems to have launched the D3 X11 miner (15GH/1200W) selling for $2600 and shipping in September. Perhaps you could get another X11 miner for a decent price if you wanted to profitability calculators show this thing making almost $100k a year but it will likely crash with iBeLink also releasing their DM11G.

[philipma1957]

On another note Bitmain seems to have launched the D3 X11 miner (15GH/1200W) selling for $2600 and shipping in September. Perhaps you could get another X11 miner for a decent price if you wanted to profitability calculators show this thing making almost $100k a year but it will likely crash with iBeLink also releasing their DM11G.

I will toss it in as a prize here on the next round.

problem is the prizes are too small since we don't get many picking for free shot at sidehack compac and 2 ltc.