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Author Topic: Alright, be totally honest: who saw this one coming?  (Read 4846 times)
jjdub7
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May 27, 2013, 12:20:19 PM
 #41

I saw it coming.  This is just the beginning, IMO.

I just follow a Goomboo-like strategy and pay alot of attention to the Bollinger width.

Are there any sites that draw Bollinger bands for you like Yahoo does for stocks?

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May 27, 2013, 02:38:00 PM
 #42

My 2 cents... I've been observing these trends and a lot of these mini jumps coincides with the Avalon miners/chips buying. In a low volume market any kind of buying tends to move it easily. The current Avalon batches 10,000 each batch (around USD100k) are selling out quite easily

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May 29, 2013, 05:23:53 AM
 #43

What's your story?

When bitcoin was 25 cents, I was sitting on a few thousand dollars and was considering either gold or bitcoin.

Needless to say, I didn't choose bitcoin.
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May 29, 2013, 05:29:34 AM
 #44

I saw it coming.  This is just the beginning, IMO.

I just follow a Goomboo-like strategy and pay alot of attention to the Bollinger width.

Are there any sites that draw Bollinger bands for you like Yahoo does for stocks?

http://bitcoincharts.com

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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May 29, 2013, 05:35:31 AM
 #45

I mean of course the (mini?) rally of the past 2 days. Did you suspect this would happen?

Here from 4 days before the rally:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg2217116#msg2217116

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May 29, 2013, 07:29:07 AM
 #46

I mean of course the (mini?) rally of the past 2 days. Did you suspect this would happen?

Here from 4 days before the rally:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg2217116#msg2217116

Pretty good, but here's the real test: did you act on it, and with how much commitment?

Cause for example, I called yesterday's dip with high accuracy and well before it began, yet I didn't make any trades that took advantage of it, part out of laziness, part out of doubt about my own analysis.

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May 29, 2013, 08:00:32 AM
 #47

I mean of course the (mini?) rally of the past 2 days. Did you suspect this would happen?

Here from 4 days before the rally:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg2217116#msg2217116

Pretty good, but here's the real test: did you act on it, and with how much commitment?

Cause for example, I called yesterday's dip with high accuracy and well before it began, yet I didn't make any trades that took advantage of it, part out of laziness, part out of doubt about my own analysis.

Indeed. Everyone's situation is different. I have bought and sold and re-bought, so was "all-in" last time from 117, so I didn't buy more although a spike up seemed likely.  I have also decided to reduce my exposure to mtgox to a minimum until such time as the uncertainly over the Dwolla situation is resolved (even though I have never used Dwolla, and never intend to).

I find it inexplicable that mtgox have not released a proper official statement to reassure their customers that they a working to comply with the FinCen regulations and unfreeze that account. I mean, how can they ignore their own obligations when they make their customers go through the verification (KYC evidence supplying) process?

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May 29, 2013, 03:48:43 PM
 #48

I think the next few days will be good for BTC.  I think the Liberty Reserve issue will send some people over to BTC.  I know some think it will might hurt but I think the opposite will happen.

So, my prediction is $150 by Friday. 

I am usually NOT right though. Wink 

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