http://segwit.5gbfree.com/countsegwit.html#It looks like an airplane struggling to get airborne, and if it were one I wouldn't put any bets on it and I certainly wouldn't want to be onboard. Meanwhile Bitcoin Cash appeared as if from a dragon's tooth and is currently the fourth most popular crypto and in April was number three. And it explicitly doesn't do SegWit.
If the Augur betting-system were up and running, who would bet on a SegWit activation date? Probably no one.