JesVarez Picks (NCAA BBall / NBA) (17W-7L in College BBall) +24.41 Units

[JesVarez]

Hello everyone!

I wanted to make a thread where I can post my bets so I can keep a better track of them and to share with everyone my picks.
Feel free to comment your own prediction on games and feel free to post or discuss about any sport.

Ive been in this Sports Gambling for about 5 years. I bet a lot on American Sports (American Football and Basketball). Also, when I see a good bet on Soccer and Tennis.
Im a huge fan when it comes to College Sports, (NCAAF and NCAAB). I usually bet on the spread on every sport and sometimes some doubles.

If you are new to this Sports Betting and dont understand any of the words or why is a good bet or not let me know and Ill do my best to answer.
Also, all picks will come with a full prediction post on why Im I betting on it.

Good luck to everyone!

Bet on NITROGEN SPORTS:

https://nitrogensports.eu

[Janinjo11]

Good luck!

Can you please post detailed statistics with your picks? Odds, win rate...and of course what system you will use. Single, combo, accumulator etc...

[JesVarez]

Will do, this is for tonight:
GAME 1: CLE Indians @ NY Yankees.
I think the best team here is the Indians, Yankees got lucky yesterday with a really good catch by Judge, they managed to escape with a 1-0 win.
I dont see them winning twice in a row, but we will take the +2.5 from the Indians.
GAME 2: MIN Vikings vs CHI Bears.
CHI Bears have a really good chance of winning at their home tonight, the Vikings have some injuries, their starting QB is listed to maybe play tonight, but their RB Cook just got hurt and its out of the season with a torn ACL. Bears will start a rookie QB and they should have a good momentum at home.

PICK: CLE Indians +2.5 and CHI Bears +10.5
ODDS: 1.81
BET365

[JesVarez]

Indians couldnt cover, those 4 runs in the 2nd inning cost them the game, also, they had 4 Errors this game. Looking for them to beat the Yankees in game 5.
Bears didnt had a problem covering the +10.

GAME: Paolo Lorenzi vs Aljaz Bedene.
PICK: Paolo Lorenzi @1.71
Round 1 in the ATP of Shanghai. Lorenzi (ranked 39) will be playing Bedene (ranked 48). 5 days ago Bedene retired when he was losing 6-0, 4-0 against Bautista, and I believe his problems with his injury will be here again in this game. I liked the Italian player game. I believe he can win 2-0 or that Bedene might retire before the match is over.
BETSLIP:
https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/208dcd4MmR6bVRkN1Z6TXMwQTBsWW5YTzY2dz09/r/2136580/

[JesVarez]

GAME: Ecuador vs Argentina
Argentina has to win, I dont see a World Cup without Messi. Hes going to show why hes the best in the business right now. Also, FIFA will lose some rating if they are not in the world cup.
GAME 2: Holland vs Sweden
Holland has to win by 6 or more goals to qualify. I dont see this happening but at home they are a pretty good team, I believe that Sweden is just going to hope for a counter attack to score, they are going to be Parking the bus all game.
PICK: Argentina + DNB Holland.
ODDS: 1.95
STK 2
BET365

[JesVarez]

GAME: Ecuador vs Argentina
Argentina has to win, I dont see a World Cup without Messi. Hes going to show why hes the best in the business right now. Also, FIFA will lose some rating if they are not in the world cup.
GAME 2: Holland vs Sweden
Holland has to win by 6 or more goals to qualify. I dont see this happening but at home they are a pretty good team, I believe that Sweden is just going to hope for a counter attack to score, they are going to be Parking the bus all game.
PICK: Argentina + DNB Holland.
ODDS: 1.95
STK 2
BET365

Holland wins 2-0 with two goals from Robben. Dominated the game all the time but couldnt do the miracle against Sweden. And Messi showed up for Argentina scoring a hat-trick against Ecuador. Easy win in this Stake 2.

[JesVarez]

GAME 1: WAS Nationals @ CHI Cubs
Cubs are going with Arrieta (14-10 3.53 ERA). Defending champs and will look to close this series at home to advance to the NLCS. Washington goes with Tanner Roark (13-11 4.67 ERA). I can see the Cubs finishing this series today.
GAME 2: South Alabama @ Troy.
Troy comes from an upset win against LSU. Huge momentum. Troy is 4-1 and South Alabama is 1-4, that win from South Alabam coming against a team from a lower division. South Alabama plays poor defense and here I see Troy coming trough. I see the Trojans winning this game pretty easy.
PICK: CHI Cubs + Troy ML
ODDS: 1.86 BET365

[ralle14]

GAME 1: WAS Nationals @ CHI Cubs
Cubs are going with Arrieta (14-10 3.53 ERA). Defending champs and will look to close this series at home to advance to the NLCS. Washington goes with Tanner Roark (13-11 4.67 ERA). I can see the Cubs finishing this series today.
GAME 2: South Alabama @ Troy.
Troy comes from an upset win against LSU. Huge momentum. Troy is 4-1 and South Alabama is 1-4, that win from South Alabam coming against a team from a lower division. South Alabama plays poor defense and here I see Troy coming trough. I see the Trojans winning this game pretty easy.
PICK: CHI Cubs + Troy ML
ODDS: 1.86 BET365

I'm in on this one. I locked the parlay with a total of 2.1 odds on nitrogensports. It seems like there's a massive line movement going on the Nats vs Cubs match. Yesterday the odds were like 1.6 for the Cubs moneyline before it got rescheduled. I have 4u on this goodluck to both of us.  

[JesVarez]

GAME 1: WAS Nationals @ CHI Cubs
Cubs are going with Arrieta (14-10 3.53 ERA). Defending champs and will look to close this series at home to advance to the NLCS. Washington goes with Tanner Roark (13-11 4.67 ERA). I can see the Cubs finishing this series today.
GAME 2: South Alabama @ Troy.
Troy comes from an upset win against LSU. Huge momentum. Troy is 4-1 and South Alabama is 1-4, that win from South Alabam coming against a team from a lower division. South Alabama plays poor defense and here I see Troy coming trough. I see the Trojans winning this game pretty easy.
PICK: CHI Cubs + Troy ML
ODDS: 1.86 BET365

I'm in on this one. I locked the parlay with a total of 2.1 odds on nitrogensports. It seems like there's a massive line movement going on the Nats vs Cubs match. Yesterday the odds were like 1.6 for the Cubs moneyline before it got rescheduled. I have 4u on this goodluck to both of us.  

Since Tanner Roark didnt start for the Nationals the pick was a VOID by Bet365. I dont know if Nitrogen offers that service too.
The trojans played really bad, had 4 turnovers. Kicker missed two 27 and 30 yard field goals.

[JesVarez]

GAME 1: Eagles @ Panthers
Really see this like a really close game, however, I look for both defenses to come in and keep this game as a low scoring game. Eagles rank 3rd in total offense, scoring about 27.4 points per game. Where the Panthers have a 3rd team ranking when it comes to defense, just allowing 18.8 points per game. Defense will decide this game and I believe the score will be under.

GAME 2: Texas State @ UL Lafayette
Texas State has been a really disappointing team this year, the play away and we will take the UL Cajuns to win by at least 7 points. Texas State ranks 12th in the Sun Belt. 0-2 in Conference and 0-2 in games away from Texas. They also had about 13 players with suspensions when the season began.

PICK: Eagles @ Panthers Under 51.5 Points  + UL Lafayette -6.5
ODDS: 1.90 BET365

[tokeweed]

Finally another picker, besides krach who includes his thought process in his picks.  I'm interested in seeing your picks and your thoughts on the EPL and the CL matches in the coming weeks.  Good luck. 

Among the sports you have made bets on, which one is the most profitable in your experience?

[JesVarez]

Finally another picker, besides krach who includes his thought process in his picks.  I'm interested in seeing your picks and your thoughts on the EPL and the CL matches in the coming weeks.  Good luck. 

Among the sports you have made bets on, which one is the most profitable in your experience?

For me it has been American Football and Basketball (Both professional and College level). I also try to bet on 1.9 and above odds, I dont see a point on betting on low odds, too much risk for such little return. I try to stay away from Tennis and Baseball, since they are the most unpredictable sports to bet. The odds are well placed in every tennis game, but since the NBA hasnt started I try betting on them for fun. Soccer is also really good if you know what market to bet on. I will be making some bets in the UCL next week for sure.

[Janinjo11]

Can you update and post your overall betting stats? So it would be easier to follow your thread.

[JesVarez]

Will do my best to have stats posted.

GAME 1: Eagles @ Panthers
Really see this like a really close game, however, I look for both defenses to come in and keep this game as a low scoring game. Eagles rank 3rd in total offense, scoring about 27.4 points per game. Where the Panthers have a 3rd team ranking when it comes to defense, just allowing 18.8 points per game. Defense will decide this game and I believe the score will be under.

GAME 2: Texas State @ UL Lafayette
Texas State has been a really disappointing team this year, the play away and we will take the UL Cajuns to win by at least 7 points. Texas State ranks 12th in the Sun Belt. 0-2 in Conference and 0-2 in games away from Texas. They also had about 13 players with suspensions when the season began.

PICK: Eagles @ Panthers Under 51.5 Points  + UL Lafayette -6.5
ODDS: 1.90 BET365

This one is a winner. UL Lafayette won pretty easy 24-7. Texas State got lucky in a bad defensive play by the Cajuns that cost them a touchdown. After that the game was well dominated by them. The Eagles vs Panthers was a close one, Eagles 28 - 23 Panthers. Total score was: 51. We had the Under 51.5 points. Cam Newton had some interceptions and one last one in the 4th that cost them the game. Will start working on one more bet tomorrow.

[JesVarez]

GAME 1: Clemson @ Syracruse.
Clemson Tigers (#2 Ranked) are undefeated in 6 games, 6-0 to start the season. Their defense ranks 8th in yards allowed. They are scoring 35 points a game and they have the most talanted defense in the whole NCAA in my opinion. Clemson has beat Syracruse the last 4 games that they have played against each other. Last season they won the match 54-0 at home. Clemson will hope to start QB Kelly Bryant and this game will be a blowout in my opinion. We are betting on this one for Clemson to be winning at half and to end up winning the game. This pick is in the Double Result market in bet365 which is Clemson-Clemson.

GAME 2: Washington State @ California.
Washington State have been playing some really good football this season, they are currently 6-0 and they are ranked #8 in College football. They come off a win against Oregon 33-10 on the road. Washington States QB Luke Falk had 3 TD and no interceptions that game. California started 3-0 and since then they have lost 3 games in a row. 0-3 in their Conference. The California Bears didnt scored a single touchdown last game and have some injured players this week. We are betting for them to win by at least 13 points.

PICK: Clemson-Clemson + Washington State -12.5
ODDS: 1.92 BET365

[JesVarez]

GAME 1: Crystal Palace vs Chelsea
Chelsea will not have Morata for this game, Morata has scored 6 goals so far. Chelsea are 4th in the league with 12 goals and 6 goals conceded. They play against the worst team in the Premier. Crystal Palace has played 7 games and have not scored so far. They have 0 Goals and 17 Goals received. They come out of 2 loses on the road against Manchester Utd (4-0) and against Manchester City (5-0). Crystal Palace has a streak of 8 loses in a row. They also havent scores a goal in their last 8 games. We look for Chelsea to win this game.

GAME 2: Tottenham vs Bournemouth
Tottenham havent lost in their last 5 games, they play against Bournemouth which are in the second to last place in the Premier, they have scored 4 goals and conceded 11. Only 4 points, a win against Brighton (14th in the League) and a tie against Leicester (17th in the league). Tottenham has been hot in the last 3 games, they have scores 9 goals and received 2. Tottenham last 10 games record is 7-2-1. That ost against Chelsea. We look for Tottenham to win this game.

PICK: Chelsea ML + Tottenham ML
ODDS: 1.83 BET365

[JesVarez]

GAME 1: Monterrey vs Pachuca
For this game we go to the Mexican League, the leader of the tournament with 24 points Monterrey (1st) receives Pachuca (13th). They have scored 20 goals in the 10 games so far and received 7. They are undefeated so far in the League, they received Pachuca that has 13 points (Only 3 points come when they are on the road). Monterrey at home they have scored 12 goals and received only 3. Pachuca has received 10 goals and scored only 3 when they dont play at home. In the last 5 games at home, Monterrey have scored 14 goals and received 4 goals. We look for Monterrey to win and if its a tie the bet will be voided.

GAME 2: FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus
For this game we go to the Estonia Meistriliiga. Where the leader with 80 points receives Parnu JK Vaprus that only has 8. The difference between this two teams is huge. Vaprus has lost 10 games in a row when they play on the road and have only had 3 points. Flora scores about 3 goals per game, where Vaprus only scores .8 goals per game. We look for Flora to be winning at half and to end up winning the match.

GAME 3: Manchester City vs Stoke
The leader of the Premier league receives the 13th in the League. City have been really hot at home this season. In their last 10 games they are 8-2-0. Last 5 games they have scored a combined of 16 goals and received only 1 goal!. In the other side, Stoke in their last 5 have only scored 3 and received 7. City has a streak of 4 games without receiving a goal and has a 5 game winning streak. In the entire season they have only received 2 goals and have scored 22. We look for City to win this game.

GAME 4: Dijon vs PSG
Neymar and PSG, current leaders of League 1. Play against the 17th team Dijon, which only has 6 points. PSG has 22 points and have scored 27 and received only 5. Dijons last 5 games have been 0-2-3. Where PSG in their last 5 have a record of 4-1-0, scoring 16 goals in those 5 games. Neymar is fitting really well in this team and I look for them to win again. We look for PSG to win this game.

PICK: Monterrey DNB + Flora-Flora + Manchester City ML + PSG ML.
ODDS: 1.83 BET365

[JesVarez]

GAME: Colorado @ Oregon State.
I really like this game, Oregon States coach Gary Andersen has quit as their coach and this Oregon State Defense is just awful. Their opponents average 45 points per game. Oregon States only win has come against Portland State by just 3 points. Portland State is 0-5. I believe the spread for this game is bad placed. Colorado is favored by only 10 points, when it should be a blowout early in this game. I believe the spread will go up before the game starts so make sure to get on this one early. We look for Colorado to win by 10 points or more.

PICK: Colorado -9.5
ODDS: 1.83 BET365 and 1.95 on NITROGEN
Bet Slip: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/ee66d76Smt0Ti9ETTREWFRxdUl0ZEV2MGpXQT09/r/2136580/

[JesVarez]

GAME 1: Werder Bremen vs Monchengladbach.
Weder Bremen is in the second to last position. Their games are low scoring. In 7 games they ahve only scored 3 goals and received 7. They have 4 points and all of them have been ties. They have tied their last 4 games and they havent won in the last 6 games. Monchengladbach are in the 9th position with 11 points and 10 goals scored and 12 received. Werder Bremen have been awful this season, they havent played well and I think that Monchengladbach will take the win or at least tie the game. We look for them to win or tie.

GAME 2: Inter vs AC Milan
Inter has been really solid at home, last 6 games they have won without a problem. They havent received a goal at home for this 3 games and they are the team that has conceided the least amounth of goals at 3 in 7 games. AC Milan is in 7 place, trying to get closer to the top, I see them fighting Roma for the Europa League. But Inter has been playing well, they havent lost a game in their las 13 games, Luciano Spalleti has never lost or tied against AC Milans coach Vincenzo Montella, he in fact has won 3 games against him. We look for Inter to win or tie.

PICK: Monchengladbach +.5 + Inter +.5
+.5 is the handicap, you can also do a double result with the team and the tie, its the same.
ODDS: 1.96 BET365

[JesVarez]

GAME 1: Malaga vs Leganes
Malaga has a 8 streak of games without a win, they are desperate for one and they receive Leganes at home. They have played against each other 2 times total and the result is in favor of Malaga (4-0,0-0). I believe Malaga which is fighting for relegation will show up today as they play in front of their people and will at least get us a tie if not the win. We look for Malga to win or tie.

GAME 2: NE Patriots vs NY Jets
Jets have been a revelation this year, while the Pats the opposite, they havent played well at all and now they play against one of the teams that experts where saying that they would get more than 2 wins this season and they are sitting at a nice record or 3-2 already. I believe this is the game Pats need to wake up, cant have any more mistakes and they will show what they are made of today. We look for Pats to win by 4 or more.

PICK: Malaga +.5 + Patriots -3.5
ODDS: 1.9 BET365