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Author Topic: The Great Misconception  (Read 2731 times)
San1ty (OP)
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June 05, 2013, 11:27:58 AM
 #1

People always seem to think that BTC is overvalued and that we are currently in the great bubble of 2013 with only one possible outcome... Down.

But allow me to warp your mind around:
There is no bubble, we are actually in a great depression, the depression of FIAT!
BTC isn't going up, it's FIAT that's going down! Every day your FIAT is worth a little less.

BTC has decreasing inflation, FIAT has increasing inflation!

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The block chain is the main innovation of Bitcoin. It is the first distributed timestamping system.
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N12
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June 05, 2013, 11:35:26 AM
 #2

BTC isn't going up, it's FIAT that's going down! Every day your FIAT is worth a little less.
That's weird, I was under the impression that the same Bitcoin can buy 10 times more stuff than a few months before. Also weird that one USD doesn't buy me 10 less.

Must be some FIAT manipulation by Bernanke or something. Cheesy

OR Gold, Silver, stocks, real estate are inflating vs. Bitcoin too. Basically, only Bitcoin in this world is stable and all other assets fluctuate agaist it! Finally we see the truth!
San1ty (OP)
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June 05, 2013, 12:28:24 PM
 #3

BTC isn't going up, it's FIAT that's going down! Every day your FIAT is worth a little less.
That's weird, I was under the impression that the same Bitcoin can buy 10 times more stuff than a few months before. Also weird that one USD doesn't buy me 10 less.

Must be some FIAT manipulation by Bernanke or something. Cheesy

OR Gold, Silver, stocks, real estate are inflating vs. Bitcoin too. Basically, only Bitcoin in this world is stable and all other assets fluctuate agaist it! Finally we see the truth!

Glad you see the light my friend Wink!

Found my posts helpful? Consider buying me a beer :-)!:
BTC - 1San1tyUGhfWRNPYBF4b6Vaurq5SjFYWk NXT - 17063113680221230777
Zaih
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June 05, 2013, 12:33:35 PM
 #4

BTC isn't going up, it's FIAT that's going down! Every day your FIAT is worth a little less.
That's weird, I was under the impression that the same Bitcoin can buy 10 times more stuff than a few months before. Also weird that one USD doesn't buy me 10 less.

Must be some FIAT manipulation by Bernanke or something. Cheesy

OR Gold, Silver, stocks, real estate are inflating vs. Bitcoin too. Basically, only Bitcoin in this world is stable and all other assets fluctuate agaist it! Finally we see the truth!

Glad you see the light my friend Wink!

Poor sarcasm detection xD
San1ty (OP)
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June 05, 2013, 12:47:32 PM
 #5

BTC isn't going up, it's FIAT that's going down! Every day your FIAT is worth a little less.
That's weird, I was under the impression that the same Bitcoin can buy 10 times more stuff than a few months before. Also weird that one USD doesn't buy me 10 less.

Must be some FIAT manipulation by Bernanke or something. Cheesy

OR Gold, Silver, stocks, real estate are inflating vs. Bitcoin too. Basically, only Bitcoin in this world is stable and all other assets fluctuate agaist it! Finally we see the truth!

Glad you see the light my friend Wink!

Poor sarcasm detection xD


Orrr, Great reality dodging skills! (Where is your sense of humor Smiley)

In all seriousness tho:
In 2013 1 dollar buys you 1.3% less when compared with 2012.

Found my posts helpful? Consider buying me a beer :-)!:
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June 05, 2013, 01:08:44 PM
 #6

BTC isn't going up, it's FIAT that's going down! Every day your FIAT is worth a little less.
That's weird, I was under the impression that the same Bitcoin can buy 10 times more stuff than a few months before. Also weird that one USD doesn't buy me 10 less.

Must be some FIAT manipulation by Bernanke or something. Cheesy

OR Gold, Silver, stocks, real estate are inflating vs. Bitcoin too. Basically, only Bitcoin in this world is stable and all other assets fluctuate agaist it! Finally we see the truth!

Glad you see the light my friend Wink!

Poor sarcasm detection xD


Orrr, Great reality dodging skills! (Where is your sense of humor Smiley)

In all seriousness tho:
In 2013 1 dollar buys you 1.3% less when compared with 2012.

...and BTC buys ~1700% more? Does not compute

San1ty (OP)
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June 05, 2013, 01:35:09 PM
 #7

...and BTC buys ~1700% more? Does not compute

It buys you 1700% more, but is it overvalued? Let's do a little math:

How much would BTC be worth if there were as many in existence as there are dollars?

Total USD around: 829000000000
Total BTC around: 11247000

829000000000 / 11247000 = 73709

BTC Price in USD: 120

Real BTC Price in USD: 120 / 73709 = 0.0016

Still overvalued? As long as that number is below 1, it's undervalued!

TL;DR: It's not a bubble, It's limited edition!

PS: How do you like my reality distortion field?

Found my posts helpful? Consider buying me a beer :-)!:
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June 05, 2013, 02:59:10 PM
 #8

...and BTC buys ~1700% more? Does not compute

It buys you 1700% more, but is it overvalued? Let's do a little math:

How much would BTC be worth if there were as many in existence as there are dollars?

Total USD around: 829000000000
Total BTC around: 11247000

829000000000 / 11247000 = 73709

BTC Price in USD: 120

Real BTC Price in USD: 120 / 73709 = 0.0016

Still overvalued? As long as that number is below 1, it's undervalued!

TL;DR: It's not a bubble, It's limited edition!

PS: How do you like my reality distortion field?
$908.6 billion in the M0 (only cache, there is 307,212,123 Americans alive. If you took all the cash and divided it up equally, each person should have about $3,000 in cash)

M1 represents all of the currency in the M0 money supply, plus all of the money held in checking accounts and other checkable accounts, as well as all of the money in travelers' checks. In July 2009, the M1 money supply for U.S. dollars equaled about $1,655.6 billion

All told, anyone looking for all of the U.S. dollars in the world in July 2009 could expect to find around $8.3 trillion in existence.

$8T / 21M = $380k/btc :-)
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June 06, 2013, 06:35:44 PM
 #9

Since the federal reserve was established 100 years ago, the US dollar has devalued by 98%
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June 07, 2013, 02:31:44 AM
 #10

That's bull, fiat value has not went down that much.

btc: 15sFnThw58hiGHYXyUAasgfauifTEB1ZF6
lucas.sev
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June 07, 2013, 02:36:42 AM
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keewee
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June 07, 2013, 02:40:49 AM
 #12

That's bull, fiat value has not went down that much.

Perhaps not, but it's a lot


1keewee2vRp63UWvPBynT55ZYw6SUCKDB
hlynur
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June 07, 2013, 02:57:39 AM
 #13

That's bull, fiat value has not went down that much.

Perhaps not, but it's a lot



when was dollar detached from backup by gold standard?

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June 07, 2013, 04:33:05 AM
 #14

I don't care much about dollars, but experiencing massive inflation on my own currency is not very nice. :S

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June 07, 2013, 05:36:38 AM
 #15

I am reading those posts an can't believe that people are talking only about US $. There are also other currencies:

http://worldtop10.net/top-10-currencies-in-the-world/

Smiley
San1ty (OP)
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June 07, 2013, 10:48:07 AM
 #16

Funny thing is, I'm a European myself! I just in the habit of when talking about Bitcoin valuation I always use dollars :-).

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June 07, 2013, 11:15:04 AM
 #17

That's bull, fiat value has not went down that much.

Perhaps not, but it's a lot



when was dollar detached from backup by gold standard?


Nixon declared our default in 1971.  Prior to that, the peg was moved several times.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
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June 07, 2013, 11:18:06 AM
 #18

It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

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June 07, 2013, 11:20:46 AM
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It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
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June 07, 2013, 11:28:12 AM
 #20

It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/

A 3% increase? When there is 400% increase in money supply  Cool

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