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Author Topic: Tennis tips *ATP ONLY*  (Read 1780 times)
Tavarez (OP)
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November 14, 2017, 08:46:55 AM
 #101

Marin Cilic vs Jack Sock  TIP: over 9,5 games * 1st set*  avg odd around 1.5

Cilic was poor in previous match vs Zeverev, let a lead to slip through his fingers in the final set. (He is rock solid indoor player, but mentally weak..... lost plenty important ones in his career). Sock surprised me with decent play vs Federer. Hits his forehand with lot spin (reached decent form in Paris- obviously will continue it here). These two met twice, Sock grabbed both wins. Now I expect tough/tight 1st set since they both lost their opening matches.

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November 14, 2017, 11:34:35 AM
 #102

Marin Cilic vs Jack Sock  TIP: over 9,5 games * 1st set*  avg odd around 1.5

Cilic was poor in previous match vs Zeverev, let a lead to slip through his fingers in the final set. (He is rock solid indoor player, but mentally weak..... lost plenty important ones in his career). Sock surprised me with decent play vs Federer. Hits his forehand with lot spin (reached decent form in Paris- obviously will continue it here). These two met twice, Sock grabbed both wins. Now I expect tough/tight 1st set since they both lost their opening matches.

That should pass, I will also consider over games for whole match because I see it as a 3 setter.

I think I will tip for possible surprise in the other match. Federer is not 100% IMHO @4,0 for small stake. On my main ticket I will take Zverev not to lose with more then 4 games difference (contra hendi 4,5) @ 1,6.

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November 14, 2017, 11:35:22 AM
 #103

Marin Cilic vs Jack Sock  TIP: over 9,5 games * 1st set*  avg odd around 1.5

Cilic was poor in previous match vs Zeverev, let a lead to slip through his fingers in the final set. (He is rock solid indoor player, but mentally weak..... lost plenty important ones in his career). Sock surprised me with decent play vs Federer. Hits his forehand with lot spin (reached decent form in Paris- obviously will continue it here). These two met twice, Sock grabbed both wins. Now I expect tough/tight 1st set since they both lost their opening matches.



Its not a bad pick. I think that The first set score will be 6-4 or 6-3 to Cilic.  Depends on who start to serve.  Lets hope it will be Sock
Tavarez (OP)
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November 14, 2017, 12:24:13 PM
 #104

Marin Cilic vs Jack Sock  TIP: over 9,5 games * 1st set*  avg odd around 1.5

Cilic was poor in previous match vs Zeverev, let a lead to slip through his fingers in the final set. (He is rock solid indoor player, but mentally weak..... lost plenty important ones in his career). Sock surprised me with decent play vs Federer. Hits his forehand with lot spin (reached decent form in Paris- obviously will continue it here). These two met twice, Sock grabbed both wins. Now I expect tough/tight 1st set since they both lost their opening matches.

That should pass, I will also consider over games for whole match because I see it as a 3 setter.

I think I will tip for possible surprise in the other match. Federer is not 100% IMHO @4,0 for small stake. On my main ticket I will take Zverev not to lose with more then 4 games difference (contra hendi 4,5) @ 1,6.

Fed didn't impress in the opening match (his bh was torn by Sock's forehand topspin), but his 1st serve was mighty (clip the line). haven't seen Zverev's opening match but read somewhere that it was sluggish from both. I believe young German can take set at least, also tie-break to be seen. good luck with your ticket.
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November 14, 2017, 05:21:28 PM
Last edit: November 14, 2017, 06:54:10 PM by Tavarez
 #105

It was another good bet with positive outcome, Cilic vs Sock easily over 9,5 1st set.  Smiley

match observation: both played lot matches this year and they looked worn out there. Cilic still better player in my eyes (more quality on backhand) but lost momentum twice in the final set. squandered 3-0up in the decider, then mini break in the tie-break (man is a choker, no mental strength in tricky points). Sock ended up with tidier win-ue ratio (forehand was blazing last few games of the match), bh shaky but hit one accurate down the line in the tie-break.

additional info: LONDON: The Court Pace Index is currently showing a medium fast 41.9 which is slightly quicker than last year.
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November 14, 2017, 07:05:45 PM
 #106

Cilic just has problems with his head. I am from Croatia and I used to get mighty pissed with his performances but I learned to expect breakdowns vs. top players and managed to earn few bucks on him. That way it is easier to watch his matches.

But this year has been a little strange for men's tennis due to all injuries. And that is why we have Cilic as 5th player in the world and he has only one tournament win this whole season and that's from ATP 250 series. Ok he was solid on some big tournaments and that got him points, but his only exceptional result this year IMHO is wimbeldon final.

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November 14, 2017, 07:33:01 PM
 #107

@Tavarez: what are your thoughts about the match of tonight of nadal versus goffin?
Being Belgium, I am a fan of Goffin and he may have a chance as we don't know if Nadal if fully healed from his injured knee.

Hm, to be honest I am unwilling to predict that match. Nadal stated that he is ready for the match but his knees caused him so much trouble last 3-4 year that nobody can be sure about his physical state. Goffin must push this into bruising contest, always to ask one more ball and protract rallies. Rafa has more pacy ground strokes (avg. speed).

Wow, what a brilliant match of Goffin! Never thought he could win, but he did it. He is the first male Belgium tennis player who is in the Masters and who has beaten the number 1 seet. But, fair enough, if Nadal would have been totally fit, it would have been another match.



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November 15, 2017, 04:04:08 PM
 #108

I have just finished watching Dimitrov vs Goffin, few sentences about it: Grigor breezed through it, 1st set was one-way traffic (Grigor deadly accurate while opponent looked bit jaded). Things tighter during the 2nd set, Goffin had two half chances but failed to capitalize on return game. Overall Dimitrov looked fresher and more active of the two players. Bulgarian came in more frequently (finish point off at the net). Goffin with numerous unforced errors (28) combined with just 8 winners. main struggled was behind his 2nd serve (20% pts won------below top ten played stats). Dimitrov 18winners/11unforced errors.
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November 15, 2017, 07:37:12 PM
 #109

I have just finished watching Dimitrov vs Goffin, few sentences about it: Grigor breezed through it, 1st set was one-way traffic (Grigor deadly accurate while opponent looked bit jaded). Things tighter during the 2nd set, Goffin had two half chances but failed to capitalize on return game. Overall Dimitrov looked fresher and more active of the two players. Bulgarian came in more frequently (finish point off at the net). Goffin with numerous unforced errors (28) combined with just 8 winners. main struggled was behind his 2nd serve (20% pts won------below top ten played stats). Dimitrov 18winners/11unforced errors.

What an anticlimax, I thought Goffin (after have beaten Nadal) would go further on his momentum, but today he was nowhere. Dimitrov totally blow away Goffin. Like you say, too many unforced errors by Goffin also. Hopefully Goffin quickly forgets this match so he can focus on his important third match against Thiem



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November 16, 2017, 08:42:36 AM
 #110

A. Zverev against J. Sock   TIP: 1 (odd 1.60)

chose this bet as I believe Zverev is more complete player, had more layers in his game and definitely has more consistent and powerful backhand. German played tight match vs Federer (took 2nd set), recovered from a set down to win versus Marin Cilic. Victory here will secure his place in semi-finals. Sock also with chances to get SF but not the same class player as German. His main weakness is backhand wing (insecure), runs around it to execute with forehand. Match can be close and few shots to decide but still my thoughts are with Zverev.
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November 16, 2017, 08:49:52 AM
 #111

Bryan/Bryan against Marach/Pavic   TIP: 1 (odd 1.70)

This is must win match for Bryan brothers, if they loose they won't have theoretical chances to reach semi-finals. Not much to say about these two, their game is very mature and they will take chance to try win big tournament. with their age there won't be too many chances.  Marach/Pavic will play their first match (substitution for Dodig/Granollers), they are without chances for the next round. H2H is 1-1, Marach/Pavic took a win on clay in Stuttgart while Bryan's won in New York. Bryan brothers need a convincing win here and then to hope for positive outcome of the match Kubot/Melo vs Murray/Soares.
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November 16, 2017, 09:25:16 AM
 #112

Whittington Andrew vs Calvin Hemery  QF, Toyota Challenger,    TIP: 2 (odd 1.50)

Calvin Hemery is better ranked player although younger. Hemery has richer indoor experience, 53 wins and 40 loses indoor while his next opponent has humble score indoor 2wins 2loses (4 appearances in total).Hemery in a great form recently (6 wins in last 7 played matches). Things going well for him in November. Good Luck
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November 16, 2017, 04:35:46 PM
 #113

federer vs cilic, short summary: win for swiss from a set down, match played without any significance. Federer missed 5 break pt chances in the opening set, return wasn't good either (short and allowed Cilic to utilize his big forehand). Fed upped level and intensity 2nd set (hit more winners, kept own service game tidy, saved 1bp). was cooler in during the business end of the 2nd set (5-4 up Cilic choked badly - tight unforced errors). decider wasn't competitive as Federer dominated the play. Federer 33w/30ue, Cilic 36w/43ues

Swiss with smart use of chip and charge (just surprised opponent), also more effective at the net.
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November 16, 2017, 10:03:43 PM
 #114

Whittington Andrew vs Calvin Hemery  QF, Toyota Challenger,    TIP: 2 (odd 1.50)

Calvin Hemery is better ranked player although younger. Hemery has richer indoor experience, 53 wins and 40 loses indoor while his next opponent has humble score indoor 2wins 2loses (4 appearances in total).Hemery in a great form recently (6 wins in last 7 played matches). Things going well for him in November. Good Luck

 - I also expect victory for Hemery against Whittington. Lately he plays very good and he is in a good form.
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November 17, 2017, 07:58:35 AM
 #115

Yes Calvin Hemery fulfilled our tip and expectations but what to say about A. Zverev. Youngster is a joke......with his ugly build and head on shoulders GS will remain his wet dream. 4-5 down III set (he came up with notorious double fault and huge miss with forehand up the line). He is more talented than 25-year old Sock but just wasted huge chance to reach SF. When big names come back into business next season he will choke more often.
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November 17, 2017, 08:24:21 AM
 #116

Yes Calvin Hemery fulfilled our tip and expectations but what to say about A. Zverev. Youngster is a joke......with his ugly build and head on shoulders GS will remain his wet dream. 4-5 down III set (he came up with notorious double fault and huge miss with forehand up the line). He is more talented than 25-year old Sock but just wasted huge chance to reach SF. When big names come back into business next season he will choke more often.

I watched the match and lost quite a lot of money on it so my review could be a little biased Smiley I still can't believe that Zverev lost this one.

In my mind he is already much better and complete player then Sock. Sock doesen't have backhand and all the time runs around the ball to strike forehand which leaves forehand side of the court empty. I think Zverev has used this only once in the match with excellent backhand down the line. I want even comment his 10 double faults. In one moment in 3rd set Sock when Sock was 4:1 up, Sock has won 5 points on Zverev 2nd serve. All 5 double faults?Huh?? Didn't see such mentally weak performance in a long time.

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BC.GAME
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November 17, 2017, 09:38:56 AM
 #117

I will follow. I like the way you present the game. Good understanding of the sport and players overall.
Would you please present a graph of your sport prediction? Win vs bet would be great appreciated.
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November 18, 2017, 07:50:33 AM
 #118

Grigor Dimitrov - Jack Sock TIP 1  (odd 1.5)


Grigor reached his highs in London, surprised many of us with 3 wins in group stage. I saw his "dance" in victory over Goffin. Bulgarian has lot different layers in his game but most of all his head looks better this year (not so many chokes as before). Sock reached Sf but honestly he is not player of rich talent. Already I mentioned his inconsistent bh (moved around it to execute his favorite inside out forehand). I guess he already reached his climax.
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November 18, 2017, 09:09:36 AM
 #119

another TIP would be: Ramkumar Ramanathan vs Yuki Bhambri   TIP 2 (odd 1.5)

Last time these two met in Chennai 2017 and Bhambri took a routine 6-1,6-1 win. His opponent was recently bothered by an injury and didn't play for a month (skipped few tournaments after Antwerp).. Bhambri is more experienced player (more hard court matches behind his name). Also better win-loss ratio this year. Ramanathan is in weaker form here, survived his r1 (it was come back win in three tie-breaks). good luck
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November 18, 2017, 10:08:06 AM
 #120

another TIP would be: Ramkumar Ramanathan vs Yuki Bhambri   TIP 2 (odd 1.5)

Last time these two met in Chennai 2017 and Bhambri took a routine 6-1,6-1 win. His opponent was recently bothered by an injury and didn't play for a month (skipped few tournaments after Antwerp).. Bhambri is more experienced player (more hard court matches behind his name). Also better win-loss ratio this year. Ramanathan is in weaker form here, survived his r1 (it was come back win in three tie-breaks). good luck
Bhambri is experienced when compared to Ramkumar but don't forget that Ramkumar defeated Thiem in June ( Chennai open is in January ) and after that his confidence level is high and has been playing well . His serve is pretty good so yeah going for over 20.5 games is better in my opinion.



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