Bitcoin Forum
February 14, 2016, 06:53:32 PM *
News: Latest stable version of Bitcoin Core: 0.11.2 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Donate Login Register  
Pages: [1]
  Print  
Author Topic: Bitcoin Difficulty Prediction Chart  (Read 22255 times)
BlazinBeaches
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 98


View Profile
June 14, 2013, 08:40:34 PM
 #1

I've seen a couple of these but I can't seem to find them again

Where are some prediction charts? Smiley
1455476012
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1455476012

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1455476012
Reply with quote  #2

1455476012
Report to moderator
1455476012
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1455476012

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1455476012
Reply with quote  #2

1455476012
Report to moderator
1455476012
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1455476012

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1455476012
Reply with quote  #2

1455476012
Report to moderator

Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction. Advertise here.
1455476012
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1455476012

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1455476012
Reply with quote  #2

1455476012
Report to moderator
1455476012
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1455476012

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1455476012
Reply with quote  #2

1455476012
Report to moderator
1455476012
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1455476012

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1455476012
Reply with quote  #2

1455476012
Report to moderator
1455476012
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1455476012

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1455476012
Reply with quote  #2

1455476012
Report to moderator
BlazinBeaches
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 98


View Profile
June 16, 2013, 02:24:32 PM
 #2

anyone?
icey
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1050


May the coin be with you..


View Profile WWW
June 16, 2013, 03:34:02 PM
 #3

is http://bitcoindifficulty.com/ what your looking for?
joae1975
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 514



View Profile
June 22, 2013, 02:26:29 AM
 #4

That's making to be a pretty nice hockey stick.  Come sept/oct when KNC delivers, we shall see.

1Ps75i3NWnSvGRoeagdUsb1rLCetw6EZUD
jspielberg
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 406


View Profile
June 22, 2013, 07:16:04 PM
 #5

I wrote this a little time back.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=236050.msg2494899#msg2494899

It is an exponential starting at the beginning of the year with the introduction of the new avalon batch, so I figured it might not be a bad model.

The original Wolfram alpha exponential seems little light, so I upped it by hand a little.  With the unexpected short shutdown of AM, we are tracking a bit ahead of reality, but it may catch back up.

This is obviously extremely speculative... but I found it interesting.

crazydownloaded
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 148

Crazy!


View Profile WWW
October 21, 2013, 08:00:03 PM
 #6

This is definitively what you are looking for: http://coinplorer.com/Charts/Difficulty/BTC (disclaimer: I own the website ^^ but it doesn't make it bad...)

Puppet
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 882

Scambuster


View Profile
October 22, 2013, 06:12:19 AM
 #7

I own the website ^^ but it doesn't make it bad...)

No but its prediction seems to be based on the assumption that the latest hashrate will remain constant, and that does make it bad.
BTW, your difficulty curve is wrong, you spread the difficulty increase over 3 days, while of course its instantaneous.

This is the best difficulty predictor I know:

http://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

rampalija
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 112


View Profile
October 31, 2013, 12:07:00 AM
 #8

http://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty    Grin
crazydownloaded
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 148

Crazy!


View Profile WWW
November 17, 2013, 03:40:00 PM
 #9

No but its prediction seems to be based on the assumption that the latest hashrate will remain constant, and that does make it bad.
BTW, your difficulty curve is wrong, you spread the difficulty increase over 3 days, while of course its instantaneous.

This is the best difficulty predictor I know:

http://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

I've added a "dotted" line to tell people what hashrate estimate I take (see http://coinplorer.com/Charts/Difficulty/BTC).
The difficulty seems to be spread over 3 days because each point of the line is 1 day, so the day the difficulty changes it takes the average difficulty of blocks found on this day. This doesn't affect how difficulty predictions are calculated though.

rampalija
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 112


View Profile
November 17, 2013, 05:54:08 PM
 #10

is tommorow a new difficulty jump ?
danhu
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 56


View Profile WWW
November 18, 2013, 01:02:55 AM
 #11

bitcoin charts with bitcoin difficulty predictions .

http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincharts.php        << in the middle of this page


bitcoin difficulty estimate will hit 25 billions by may - 2014
Blazey
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 28


View Profile
November 19, 2013, 10:03:44 PM
 #12

bitcoin charts with bitcoin difficulty predictions .

http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincharts.php        << in the middle of this page


bitcoin difficulty estimate will hit 25 billions by may - 2014

this is of course unrealistic as it would result in 180.000 TH. the 100% network speed by now is somewhere around 5.000 TH. the difficulty is not parallel to hash rate.
Pages: [1]
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Sponsored by , a Bitcoin-accepting VPN.
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!