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Author Topic: CLASH of INDICATORS: OBV vs. ACC./DIST. which one is right ATM?  (Read 1502 times)
Spekulatius (OP)
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June 16, 2013, 09:08:23 PM
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http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:accumulation_distrib


Discuss!


I: Notice the paragraph in the link provided where it is explained that OBV and A/D can diverge in case of opening/closing gaps between candles. In Bitcoin's 24/7 trading rhytm this is however not possible. So why are those indicators diverging that harshly and which one can be trusted right now?
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June 16, 2013, 09:42:05 PM
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Honestly I can't imagine anybody using those indicators consistently and successful.
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June 17, 2013, 12:09:44 AM
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What is this divergence you speak of? They look like they are following each other very closely... ?
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June 17, 2013, 12:12:49 AM
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What is this divergence you speak of? They look like they are following each other very closely... ?

A/D has maintained a stronger uptrend than OBV.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
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Spekulatius (OP)
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June 17, 2013, 01:19:44 AM
 #5

What is this divergence you speak of? They look like they are following each other very closely... ?

A/D is at an all time high. It is already 42% higher then at the top of the price's all time high of 266$/BTC.
Because A/D and price can be correlated with one another, so if A/D goes up over a continued amount of time, while price goes down (or does nothing) then this is a growing indicator for upwards correction.  The divergance at hand would in this context provoke an upwards correction to 284 $/BTC if A/D can be trusted right now (of course those are just rough estimates since this is no exact science but you get my point). 

OBV is basically the same thing with a little differently tweaked formula so most of the time the indicate the same thing for Bitcoin. But it is in contrast to A/D 20% lower then its all time high (NOTE: oth of OBV was at around 166$/BTC, not 266$/BTC!), which translated into $/BTC would put us to 130$/BTC.

This is a 120% divergance (130$ vs. 284$), so which indicator can be trusted more in this case?
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June 17, 2013, 01:36:34 AM
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What is this divergence you speak of? They look like they are following each other very closely... ?

A/D is at an all time high. It is already 42% higher then at the top of the price's all time high of 266$/BTC.
Because A/D and price can be correlated with one another, so if A/D goes up over a continued amount of time, while price goes down (or does nothing) then this is a growing indicator for upwards correction.  The divergance at hand would in this context provoke an upwards correction to 284 $/BTC if A/D can be trusted right now (of course those are just rough estimates since this is no exact science but you get my point). 

OBV is basically the same thing with a little differently tweaked formula so most of the time the indicate the same thing for Bitcoin. But it is in contrast to A/D 20% lower then its all time high (NOTE: oth of OBV was at around 166$/BTC, not 266$/BTC!), which translated into $/BTC would put us to 130$/BTC.

This is a 120% divergance (130$ vs. 284$), so which indicator can be trusted more in this case?

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June 28, 2013, 08:34:30 PM
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UPDATE:

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June 28, 2013, 08:35:21 PM
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Still dont believe me? Lets turn up the graphical violence!





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