StatDude's Picks since 2013! UP 100+ UNITS! Get PINNACLE acct cashback forever!

[statdude]

StatDude, I have been playing online poker on a regular basis for +3years , earning a modest winning income for the last 2 years.
Recently I have been thinking about shifting my online gambling (investment as you may call) focus on sports betting for
several personal reasons. But from what you mentioned above in earlier posts it seems one won't have a chance to make
it big in a reasonable time (one to three years) unless he starts with a big bankroll as well. Did I get you correct?
In online poker while only %1 of players could become a winner and only few make it big but theoretically a talented player always have the chance to
start from scratch and make it big.

Bybit,

Poker is great but very time consuming. Once you've built a working foundation in sports, it runs itself. of course, that's incredibly difficult..

However, it is possible. Bankroll wise, I think it's realistic to return about 25-35% per season if you're good. So, a 100% return per year is possible without too much risk, if you're solid. However, depending on what you bet, you will face limits pretty quickly. I'm capped at around a $25-30k bankroll with my current betting options available for tennis, since I can only get down a few hundred per match, so I'll have to expand to other markets or other sports.

I'd give it a year with a small bankroll, get familiar with the sports you like, then ramp up.

[bybitcoin]

Thank you for the hints. Yes the main reason for me also to think about such a shift is that poker is time consuming and sticky+ not as scalable as sports betting+ develops a kind of antipathy and hatred towards other players when playing long sessions..
I am a math graduate, most of my time I spend working on some papers, free thinking and searching for innovation.. poker just does not match this mental process to go on smoothly.
Maybe I should try to make a reasonable bankroll through poker and then turn my attention to sports betting.. and meanwhile, until then study and practice SB with a small bankroll to learn. What do you think?
Also could you show me some sources for grasping the way of betting on tennis? I was thinking about soccer first. (no idea about basketball at all)

[statdude]

Guez, David - Arnaboldi, Andrea

Arnaboldi, Andrea
+151  Anonibet 1u

Record update today.

[statdude]

Seems that the forum has been good luck so far 

Date   Bookmaker   Sport / League   #   Selection   Bet Type   Units   Stake   Odds (US)   Win
                           
1-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    1   Odesnik over Renavand   Moneyline   1u    $375.00    -375.00   Y
1-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    2   Zverev over Sandgren   Moneyline   2u    $408.00    -204.00   Y
1-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    3   Lajovic  over Elias   Moneyline   1u    $141.00    -141.00   Y
1-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    4   Vesely over Serra   Moneyline   1u    $208.00    -208.00   Y
1-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    5   Vagnozzi over Samper-Montana   Moneyline   1u    $123.00    -123.00   Y
2-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    6    Jones over Alves   Moneyline   1u    $109.00    -109.00   Y
2-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    7   Martin over Checa Calvo   Moneyline   1u    $263.00    -263.00   Y
2-Jul-13   Bitbook   Tennis - ATP   8   Ferrer over Potro   Moneyline   1u    $168.00    -168.00   N
3-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    9   Endara   Moneyline   1u    $100.00    116.00   N
7-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    10   Di Wu vs Jebavy   Moneyline   1u    $375.00    -375.00   Y
7-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - WTA   11   Caroline Garcia vs Dentoni   Moneyline   1u    $175.00    -175.00   N
7-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - WTA   12   Zahlavova Strycova v Pliskova   Moneyline   2u    $245.00    -125.00   Y
8-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    13   Fabbiano v Samper Montana   Moneyline   2u    $245.00    -125.00   Y
8-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    14   Zekic v Sergeyev   Moneyline   1u    $100.00    107.00   N
8-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    15   Fischer v Gicquel   Moneyline   1u    $100.00    102.00   N
8-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    16   Teixeira M. - Setkic A.   Moneyline   1.5u    $300.00    -200.00   Y
8-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    17   Gombos N. - Giorgini D.   Moneyline   1u    $185.00    -185.00   Y
8-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    18   Haase    Moneyline   1u    $450.00    -450.00   Y
15-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    19   Bossel A. v Androic T.    Moneyline   1u    $175.00    -175.00   Y
15-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    20   Fabbiano T. - Samper-Montana J.   Moneyline   2u    $300.00    -200.00   Y
15-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    21   Bozoljac, Ilija Buchanan, Chas   Moneyline   1u    $256.00    -256.00   Y
15-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    22   Middelkoop M. - Aguilar J.   Moneyline   1u    $119.00    -119.00   Y
15-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    23   Frank Dancevic  El M. A.   Moneyline   1u    $370.00    -370.00   Y
17-Jul-13   Anonibet   Tennis - Challenger    24   Arnaboldi, Andrea Guez, David    Moneyline   1u    $100.00    151.00   P


Total Bets   Net Profit   Return
 $5,290.00     $1,549.00    29.28%
Tennis - Challenger     $4,702.00     $1,696.00    36.1%
Tennis - ATP    $168.00     $(168.00)   -100.0%
Tennis - WTA    $420.00     $21.00    5.0%
1u    $3,792.00     $657.00    17.3%
1.5u    $300.00     $150.00    50.0%
2u    $1,198.00     $742.00    61.9%

[statdude]

Thank you for the hints. Yes the main reason for me also to think about such a shift is that poker is time consuming and sticky+ not as scalable as sports betting+ develops a kind of antipathy and hatred towards other players when playing long sessions..
I am a math graduate, most of my time I spend working on some papers, free thinking and searching for innovation.. poker just does not match this mental process to go on smoothly.
Maybe I should try to make a reasonable bankroll through poker and then turn my attention to sports betting.. and meanwhile, until then study and practice SB with a small bankroll to learn. What do you think?
Also could you show me some sources for grasping the way of betting on tennis? I was thinking about soccer first. (no idea about basketball at all)

Hey buddy

Sure, here are some sources. Seems like you have the right mindset.

tennisinsight.com
http://www.coretennis.net/ (research ITF and juniors)
http://tennis.wettpoint.com/en/ (build some historical info with this)
http://tennis.matchstat.com/

[bybitcoin]

Thank you for the hints. Yes the main reason for me also to think about such a shift is that poker is time consuming and sticky+ not as scalable as sports betting+ develops a kind of antipathy and hatred towards other players when playing long sessions..
I am a math graduate, most of my time I spend working on some papers, free thinking and searching for innovation.. poker just does not match this mental process to go on smoothly.
Maybe I should try to make a reasonable bankroll through poker and then turn my attention to sports betting.. and meanwhile, until then study and practice SB with a small bankroll to learn. What do you think?
Also could you show me some sources for grasping the way of betting on tennis? I was thinking about soccer first. (no idea about basketball at all)

Hey buddy

Sure, here are some sources. Seems like you have the right mindset.

tennisinsight.com
http://www.coretennis.net/ (research ITF and juniors)
http://tennis.wettpoint.com/en/ (build some historical info with this)
http://tennis.matchstat.com/

Thank you very much 

[KingOfSports]

Thank you for the hints. Yes the main reason for me also to think about such a shift is that poker is time consuming and sticky+ not as scalable as sports betting+ develops a kind of antipathy and hatred towards other players when playing long sessions..
I am a math graduate, most of my time I spend working on some papers, free thinking and searching for innovation.. poker just does not match this mental process to go on smoothly.
Maybe I should try to make a reasonable bankroll through poker and then turn my attention to sports betting.. and meanwhile, until then study and practice SB with a small bankroll to learn. What do you think?
Also could you show me some sources for grasping the way of betting on tennis? I was thinking about soccer first. (no idea about basketball at all)

Hey buddy

Sure, here are some sources. Seems like you have the right mindset.

tennisinsight.com
http://www.coretennis.net/ (research ITF and juniors)
http://tennis.wettpoint.com/en/ (build some historical info with this)
http://tennis.matchstat.com/

Damn man you're killing it. Might have to tail some of your plays for a hundo. Crazy good record you got going so far, keep it up!
Oh and kind of glad our challenge fell thru, don't know why but it looks like you'd be crushing me  BOL!

[dance4x]

http://www.wagerminds.com/Profile/StatDude

Are those your picks too?

[statdude]

http://www.wagerminds.com/Profile/StatDude

Are those your picks too?

Yes... had a rough go on NBA and start to MLB. NBA especially is very difficult to beat from a straightfoward analysis - it's highly situational and motivational. I have work to go on those but am confident I will hit 55% when my new model is ready that accounts for this.

Sticking to tennis right now.

[statdude]

Coric v Zeballos 1u +371 Bitbook
Laaksonen v Agut 1u +283 Bitbook

[KingOfSports]

http://www.wagerminds.com/Profile/StatDude

Are those your picks too?

Yes... had a rough go on NBA and start to MLB. NBA especially is very difficult to beat from a straightfoward analysis - it's highly situational and motivational. I have work to go on those but am confident I will hit 55% when my new model is ready that accounts for this.

Sticking to tennis right now.

MLB is profitable, tennis is too but harder to cap, imo NBA is not. There are very few people that can make anything off of NBA and the reward is honestly not enough from what I've seen (ROI of like 2-3%). The variance in NBA is the highest imo thus making it the hardest to cap. Probably wrong here bout the variance but summary, I avoid NBA all together.

[statdude]

James Ward vs Ito T 1u Anonibet 1.99
Arguello F. vs Salamanca C. 1.64 (love this 1.5u) Anonibet
Barrientos 1u -263
Cipolla  1.42 1u vs Neuchrist

[statdude]

Becker, Benjamin - Polansky, Peter

Becker, Benjamin
1.38    Remove
Standard
Granollers Pujol, Gerard - Middelkoop, M

Middelkoop, Matwe
1.99    Remove
Standard
Olaso, Guillermo - Dzumhur, Damir

Dzumhur, Damir
1.63    Remove
Standard
Granollers Pujol, Gerard - Middelkoop, Matwe

All anonibet 1u

[statdude]

Gotta get this going again. And update my old plays.

Looking strong on a 4 team round robin I didn't post and some earlier players (all on tennisinsight though  ).

New:

I feel pretty strongly about this play!

I see no reason Basic should hang here. Kukush has actually won 18 in a row as a 2-1 favorite or better, with impressive form. Some simple analysis places him as at least a 1.2 favorite here.

Kukushkin, Mikhail - Basic, Mirza

Kukushkin, Mikhail 1.5 u for -400

[statdude]

I apologize for not posting, as I've been too busy to focus as much on my bets.

I'll be updating the thread with bets I feel are particularly strong and should be +ROI.

The first would be Jets +3.5 (I got +4) this weekend.

The angle has to do with an away revenge loss for certain teams that has done particularly well.

I'll be playing it at:

https://www.casinobitco.in/r?u=399

 

[Light]

Always nice to see another capper on the forum that knows about bankroll management and keeps a record of units won and lost. How much BTC/$ is 1 unit for you?

Good luck with your plays, might tail some if I like them.

[statdude]

Always nice to see another capper on the forum that knows about bankroll management and keeps a record of units won and lost. How much BTC/$ is 1 unit for you?

Good luck with your plays, might tail some if I like them.

Thanks Light!

I've done pretty well over the years - especially at MLB/Tennis.

Will be starting to post plays here:

http://www.pickmonitor.com/z01oa


Had a pretty solid NFL season but I don't do a ton of plays - I need some development help for my situational model.

Will be rolling out a lot more plays in 2014.

As I don't have a ton of BTC right now as it's tied up in some investments (was taking a little break from serious betting), but I usually bet at least $100 equivalent per but, usually $200+.

[statdude]

Play for tonight:

Denver Nuggets

Team historically perform poorly on the 2nd night of a back to back playing in Denver.

I'll be playing both spread and ML.

https://casinobitco.in?u=399

http://bitbook.biz/?referer=btclines

[b!z]

Thanks for the sports picks

[statdude]

Thanks for the sports picks

You got it B!z!

Denver pulled out the win as expected, but no cover.

Good luck today on NFL,
my leans:

Carolina
Jets
Browns Stellers Under
Colts
49ers



49ers/Dallas make a great teaser