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投资矿机未必可以收回成本
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Topic: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本 (Read 1320 times)
anaikh
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投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 06, 2013, 06:22:33 AM
#1
其实原因很简单,如果矿机赚钱,为啥生厂商不自己挖反而卖给你呢?
从纯现金流量的角度分析(不涉及折旧)
使用矿机挖矿的边际收益=比特币汇率*算力所占份额-电力成本(在矿机生涯中24*7的话可以说是固定成本了)
卖矿机的收益=人民币等法币=买矿机成本
只有挖矿的边际收益之和>买矿机的成本购买矿机才有意义
但是如果真是这样为什么生产商不自己挖矿?比特币挖矿几乎不需要人工干预,规模效应挖矿岂不是更好?
所得出的结论就是,你买矿机很难收回成本。要不是算力上升过快,要不就是比特币汇率下跌。
而且,专业化的矿机导致市场参与者只有比特币的狂热粉丝。随着各种交易所被关闭,普通人难以加入。货币流通受到阻碍会导致币值下跌。进而进入恶性循环。
而且,谁也不知道AVALON之后会不会有AVALON二代?会不会之后的新芯片算力更强大成本更低?
买矿机像赌博,之前请三思。
Bitcoin observer. Accenture employee now looking for jobs.
Brucexie
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Re: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 06, 2013, 06:41:05 AM
#2
烤猫不是已经出二代了么,价格是一代的一半,前一阵还一堆人在这里声讨呢。
anaikh
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Re: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 06, 2013, 10:04:19 AM
#3
Quote from: Brucexie on July 06, 2013, 06:41:05 AM
烤猫不是已经出二代了么,价格是一代的一半,前一阵还一堆人在这里声讨呢。
恩是的,而且BTC能开采的越来越少
Bitcoin observer. Accenture employee now looking for jobs.
gbtc
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Re: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 06, 2013, 12:35:24 PM
#4
除非自己能做个性能超高的矿机,否则挖矿没前途。道理很简单,你会卖印钞机给别人吗?那会让你印出的钞票贬值
67152398
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Re: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 06, 2013, 01:14:23 PM
#5
买矿机纯碎挖矿的矿工,现在是很难赚到钱的,除了第一二批阿瓦隆,二批还不是全部赚哦,
订芯片的也一样,饼越来越大,矿机很快一文不值,巨大的风险隐含在未来,谨慎!
jyaken
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Re: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 06, 2013, 02:35:30 PM
#6
不看分析也知道这个结论,任何投资都有可能无法回本,塞浦路斯人民在银行里的存款也一样。
543140154
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Re: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 07, 2013, 05:42:25 AM
#7
卖矿机的发财啦
polarhei
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Re: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 07, 2013, 03:31:53 PM
#8
Quote from: 2833043517 on July 07, 2013, 12:05:27 PM
没有矿机才有平衡
錯了,你用的顯示卡也是礦機。AMD只加多幾個FP32,賺到笑了
polarhei
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Re: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 08, 2013, 04:33:16 AM
#9
Quote from: gbtc on July 06, 2013, 12:35:24 PM
除非自己能做个性能超高的矿机,否则挖矿没前途。道理很简单,你会卖印钞机给别人吗?那会让你印出的钞票贬值
我們也許知道該東西重視甚麼, 但問題是, 要製造一個模具, 沒有一百萬美金是不行.
anaikh
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Re: 投资矿机未必可以收回成本
July 08, 2013, 12:15:21 PM
#10
Quote from: jyaken on July 06, 2013, 02:35:30 PM
不看分析也知道这个结论,任何投资都有可能无法回本,塞浦路斯人民在银行里的存款也一样。
首先,储蓄<>投资
其次,
那啥,看到好多人提BTC就提到塞浦路斯
麻烦大家也多看看新闻好吧,事情并不是说银行破产了里面的钱全没了
Bitcoin observer. Accenture employee now looking for jobs.
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