Graph 1 demonstrate price in 2013 after the peak, graph 2 shows a similar pattern without peak ($15000 equivalent)
http://sv.tinypic.com/view.php?pic=16ht56o&s=9#.WiS2vDdry70http://sv.tinypic.com/view.php?pic=2lk8rk7&s=9#.WiS2ijdry70Based on personal investment research I think a plausible scenario will be as follows:
1) Bitcoin goes to $15 000 around futures opening and a few days after with high volatility, sentiment suggests this price as a sell target for some investors, also: sell the news
2) Whales short bitcoin relentlessly, data suggests this is a plausible outcome as they aim to "stabilize the price" i.e short.
3) small savers see investment dwindle over a period of years to a low of around -75% of current price, it will be a capitulation of this generation of savers and resets bitcoin at the cusp of the 2020's in 2 years
4) altcoin boom of 2020's or other disruptive emergence, possibly fiat crisis
side note: I don't believe price gains are a result of concealed hyper inflation since traditional commodities remain horizontal
Conclusion: sell part of investment in 50% gain, buyback at -75% in 6 months
1- to short, someone must buy
2- its very likely that whatever happens in futures has little effect on bitcoin as it is cash settled
3- Unless they all,only short, they cant keep btc down for years
I call the case closed
