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Question: How many BTC would you be willing to pay now for 1 BTC delivered 1 year from today? (Assume that you are 100% certain that the BTC will be deilvered as promised.)
More than 1 BTC
0.99-1 BTC
0.98-0.99 BTC
0.97-0.98 BTC
0.96-0.97 BTC
0.95-0.96 BTC
0.90-0.95 BTC
0.85-0.90 BTC
0.80-0.85 BTC
0.70-0.80 BTC
0.60-0.70 BTC
0.50-0.60 BTC
0.40-0.50 BTC
0.30-0.40 BTC
0.20-0.30 BTC
0.10-0.20 BTC
0.00-0.10 BTC

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cunicula (OP)
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July 03, 2011, 07:17:04 PM
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How many BTC would you be willing to pay now for 1 BTC delivered 1 year from today? (Assume that you are 100% certain that the BTC will be deilvered as promised.)
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July 03, 2011, 07:21:02 PM
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With 100% certainty that delivery would indeed occur, then I'd pay up to .85 btc for 1 btc in a year.

Without any risk, it's merely a question of time-value of money. Someone planning to just hold their btc for a year should rationally be willing to pay up to .99 btc for 1 btc in a year. I plan to use mine for things, thus my number is lower.
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July 03, 2011, 07:24:19 PM
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some bitcoin bank can just lend it to some short-sellers. Of course, I will charge them a lot.
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July 03, 2011, 08:13:20 PM
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July 03, 2011, 11:18:40 PM
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July 04, 2011, 02:23:06 AM
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July 08, 2011, 10:12:07 PM
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