Arguments against the prophet:
- Survival bias, a toy example.
Toy assumption: out of random 10 predictions, 1 is true. 1 in 1000 prophets then makes 3 right predictions in a row --and people are already screaming it is a miracle!
As to the influence and genius of great generals — there is a story that Enrico Fermi once asked Gen. Leslie Groves how many generals might be called “great.” Groves said about three out of every 100. Fermi asked how a general qualified for the adjective, and Groves replied that any general who had won five major battles in a row might safely be called great. This was in the middle of World Wat II. Well, then, said Fermi, considering that the opposing forces in most theaters of operation are roughly equal, the odds are one of two that a general will win a battle, one of four that he will win two battles in a row, one of eight for three, one of sixteen for four, one of thirty-two for five. “So you are right, general, about three out of every 100. Mathematical probability, not genius.”
- This guy uses drugs, or is a crazy maniac, or a scammer, or a combination of the 3
About Dr. Sol Adoni
Dr. Adoni is called The Prophet or The Great Genius in the media and by the fans of the 100+ books he has written, due to the things he has revealed to the world from the trips he has taken in over 20 years of time traveling in the Astral Plane.
- His website seems like what a scammer with a basic html skill would design. Well, actually this has nothing to do with the predictions, but this guy has a really questionable taste.
- Most important consideration: why this guy is making money by
selling the predictions and not
with the predictions themselves?
