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房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟
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Topic: 房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟 (Read 120 times)
kezhi
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房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟
December 20, 2017, 07:23:09 AM
#1
如果你需要买房,不要等到五年之后价格跌再去买,因为你永远等不到。如果你是指望买房投资,去能买得起的大城市买房。如果你是指望房子价格跌,然后幸灾乐祸,你低估买房投资者的心理了。
1、从管理者的角度看
未来五年房子价格是绝对不能大涨,也不能大跌的。不能大涨,是因为过去两年的涨幅过大过快,再涨,容易引发金rong风险,进而影响整个基本面的安全。不能大跌,是因为大跌同样会引发金rong风险。
未来五年房子价格预计会稳步上涨,涨多了上面不乐意要问责。不涨或者跌了,对地方财政不利左右为难。所以,稳中有升才是皆大欢喜的事情。
2、从刚需的角度看
他们希望未来5年房子价格降跌。什么时候止跌呢?等自己上车了,就可以止跌了,甚至可以开始大涨了。但是刚需考虑不到的是,如果价格真的大跌了,自己也未必能顺利买房了,甚至还可能失业。
3、从炒房客的角度看
未来五年房子的价格最好一直涨,这样既可以持有继续享受资产膨胀的快乐,也可以随时落袋为安卸下杠杆。但是炒房客考虑不到的是,如果价格一直涨下去,会引起更多泡泡,自己可能会资金链断裂,最终啥都没捞到。5年,最终看城市化、货币与人口的集聚程度,投资看好长三角、珠三角和京津雄三大城市群。
tansiqiu
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Re: 房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟
December 20, 2017, 07:24:32 AM
#2
安人均征税,比如人均60平,那么三口之家,180平内免税。从180平以后征税。分段收,以1.2的两倍递增。或以2的n次方递增。我就不信还有大规模炒房的!!!
qianliangh
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Re: 房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟
December 20, 2017, 07:31:46 AM
#3
房产税不能阻止炒房客,他们只会“实收”。所有税费都是买入方出的,这样只加重刚需!
juetj4079
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Re: 房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟
December 20, 2017, 07:34:54 AM
#4
第二套房收30%税,五年内不准出售,第三套房收50%税,十年内不准出售,第四套房收80%税,十五年内不准出售,而且出售只再收卖家30%税!看多少人还敢炒?
junlyaa
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Re: 房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟
December 20, 2017, 07:48:37 AM
#5
不管房价是涨还是跌,我都不会把钱投在房产里了,这里水更深。
kurumi
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Re: 房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟
December 20, 2017, 07:50:31 AM
#6
管他是涨是跌,自己手上只有1套自住,升跌也不关我的事。
xingzhankwe
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Re: 房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟
December 20, 2017, 08:04:28 AM
#7
再过二十年,房子老了。还那么值钱吗。再过二十年,经济不依靠房产了,房子还那么重要吗?一切都是浮云啊。
zcashplan
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Re: 房价, 未来5年是涨是跌? 花个2分钟看完, 让你恍然大悟
December 20, 2017, 08:30:48 AM
#8
房地产税收可是国家的一大收入啊。 而且人是越来越多, 地是越来越少。放假大跌的可能性不是没有, 但是至少很难等到
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