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Author Topic: how to predict the market ?  (Read 590 times)
ThinkAndGrowRich (OP)
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December 20, 2017, 05:21:17 PM
 #1

There seem to often be a reason why certain coins go up or down. Here are 3 brief examples:
-The recent relation between Bitcoin Cash's up and the announcement of Coinbase's integration.
-In an article on ccn is mentioned: "The IOTA price, on the other hand, surged 36 percent on the news that Robert Bosch Venture Capital (RBVC) had made a strategic investment in IOTA tokens."
-Also, around the 12th of december Ripple started to rise for days and at that time it could have been predicted because of what was put out in the media.

It seems that on ccn all this information is put after or while it happens. Why does ccn not write an article as soon as the article of Coinbase's integration is put out ?

Can we give each other some tips on how we can stay up to date so that we can invest accordingly and not after (when it's too late) or while (when it's still good but not amazing)?

Any input is appreciated.
mafostedu
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December 20, 2017, 05:36:17 PM
 #2

No one thought that bitcoin cash was going to be pumped again, this is the same game that Roger Ver and his friends have been playing since november.
Dont be scared of that, bitcoin is going to go down again, but in the end it will go up again, so dont need to worry about.
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December 20, 2017, 06:49:13 PM
 #3

It is impossible to try and predict the market and that is because their are soo many participants and tons of them are irrational investors. Therefore it is wise to watch that whale money and how they operate, it will give you a better indication of where to go but it is contrarian way to watch markets and it may be counter intuitive at first.

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December 20, 2017, 07:18:07 PM
 #4

You can't predict, because the market are made by people.... There are no pattern... Is always gambling...
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December 20, 2017, 07:31:58 PM
 #5

Could be one of the reason.
I just visited my twitter minutes ago then go to search and browsed down at the cryptocurrency pages or news.
I saw 3 many times. Coinbase, bitcoin cash news and Ripple.
They have been there updating people always and with the tweets they make it includes some crypto currency.
So it is like it will be an easy publicity for one crypto to side with them.
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December 20, 2017, 07:53:08 PM
 #6

The link between Bitcoin cash rise and Bitcoin fall has been happening for a while. But what is missing here is that bitcoin gold also reacts in same way even though there is no mention of Bitcoin gold.

Regarding IOTA, it is due to their good marketing which is the reason for the rise. I haven't been following ripple though, so can't comment on that.

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ThinkAndGrowRich (OP)
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December 20, 2017, 07:59:14 PM
 #7

No one thought that bitcoin cash was going to be pumped again, this is the same game that Roger Ver and his friends have been playing since november.
Dont be scared of that, bitcoin is going to go down again, but in the end it will go up again, so dont need to worry about.


If it gets pumped how much time do you have to react and buy some ?
BingoDog
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December 20, 2017, 08:01:55 PM
 #8

There is no secret receipe to predict the market. You can make different analysis, read the predictions and behaviours in the future but at the end this is all just guessing. That doesn't mean you don't have to monitor the situation on the market and collect information but don't rely too much on that.
But it's interesting how many are unhappy with the current price complaining why bitcoin price hasn't already exceeded 20000$ and saying bitcoin cash has the better future but they forget that not so long time ago the bitcoin price was below 10000$.

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ThinkAndGrowRich (OP)
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December 20, 2017, 08:08:02 PM
 #9

It is impossible to try and predict the market and that is because their are soo many participants and tons of them are irrational investors. Therefore it is wise to watch that whale money and how they operate, it will give you a better indication of where to go but it is contrarian way to watch markets and it may be counter intuitive at first.

I believe it is possible to predict the market with some accuracy. Watching the whale money doesn't that already add to some of the accuracy of your prediction.
Can you tell me more about this ? How can I watch the "whale money" ?
ThinkAndGrowRich (OP)
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December 20, 2017, 08:14:40 PM
 #10

There is no secret receipe to predict the market. You can make different analysis, read the predictions and behaviours in the future but at the end this is all just guessing. That doesn't mean you don't have to monitor the situation on the market and collect information but don't rely too much on that.
But it's interesting how many are unhappy with the current price complaining why bitcoin price hasn't already exceeded 20000$ and saying bitcoin cash has the better future but they forget that not so long time ago the bitcoin price was below 10000$.

But if Coinbase posts on their blog: "We’re excited to announce that customers will be able to buy, sell, send and receive Bitcoin Cash on Coinbase."

Doesnt that mean that it is very very likely that BCH will spike up as more will buy hearing about that news ?
dietmarfritz59
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December 20, 2017, 08:15:26 PM
 #11

There seem to often be a reason why certain coins go up or down. Here are 3 brief examples:
-The recent relation between Bitcoin Cash's up and the announcement of Coinbase's integration.
-In an article on ccn is mentioned: "The IOTA price, on the other hand, surged 36 percent on the news that Robert Bosch Venture Capital (RBVC) had made a strategic investment in IOTA tokens."
-Also, around the 12th of december Ripple started to rise for days and at that time it could have been predicted because of what was put out in the media.

It seems that on ccn all this information is put after or while it happens. Why does ccn not write an article as soon as the article of Coinbase's integration is put out ?

Can we give each other some tips on how we can stay up to date so that we can invest accordingly and not after (when it's too late) or while (when it's still good but not amazing)?

Any input is appreciated.


You are definitely on the right path by watching the news. You just watch reliable resources and the information they are putting out. You also need to be watching closely so that when a story does come out about a coin you can jump in it while it rises. Then sell out once the hype dies down and keep your profit.

Lupus Solitarius
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December 20, 2017, 08:20:51 PM
 #12

A) Please note that every trader/investor would like to have the ability to predict the market...
B) There are essentially two kind of analysis, fundamental and technical. Someone use volume analysis too.

But if you need this kind of explanation, I'd advice you to study much more before enter the market...

CryptoSignalz
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December 20, 2017, 08:22:42 PM
 #13

If there is a pattern - there is a predictor.

If the pattern is in the price history you can use technical analysis or advanced machine learning algorithms to predict it to some degree of accuracy. You must have a clear visual of the historical data in order to discover the patterns.

You also need to have a trading strategy - what are your buy and sell signals? what is your risk capacity? how much funds are you ready to lose in each transaction?

If the pattern is in the web buzz (news and social viral stories) then you can also collect them from the web and aggregate them as indicators that you can combine with the classical technical analysis indicators to generate more reliable signals.
 
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December 20, 2017, 09:04:22 PM
 #14

You can't predict, because the market are made by people.... There are no pattern... Is always gambling...

How can it always be gambling if some people are capable of making money on it constantly?
ThinkAndGrowRich (OP)
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December 20, 2017, 09:05:04 PM
 #15



You are definitely on the right path by watching the news. You just watch reliable resources and the information they are putting out. You also need to be watching closely so that when a story does come out about a coin you can jump in it while it rises. Then sell out once the hype dies down and keep your profit.
[/quote]

What kind of reliable sources ? The thing is they usually put out the info after or while it's happening ?
Maybe subscribing myself to all major exchanges' blog/site/twitter/.. I only need the info that will affect the price.
I'v seen that when it goes up fast it always goes down at some point quite fast too.
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December 20, 2017, 09:40:05 PM
 #16

haha, do you know information is money? Sharks and Whales earn money based on buying information. How can they let you know? I think we can not do anything unless we have much money to buy information

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vaszel
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December 20, 2017, 09:58:32 PM
 #17

Market prediction depends on facts and statistics what was in the past. And then marketing specialist s decide will it work nowadays, or nearest future.
aloha99
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December 20, 2017, 10:02:46 PM
 #18

There is no golden rules in crypto world. Technical analysis are no working here like they are in FIAT trading The only thing you have is doing your own research and try to invest for a long term. Following coin news, social media and crypto news is very important in order to determine good entry poins
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December 20, 2017, 10:08:18 PM
Last edit: December 20, 2017, 11:03:56 PM by Andre_Goldman
 #19

Predict the market is about trying to predict how the crowd will react to a given event and which direction it will take ... of course when an event reach the news broadcast a lot of trade action already happened ... when you look at all those technical analysis charts you are in fact give an interpretation to a poll ... interpretations in the middle of the chart are easy ... the most closer you get to the edge ...harder it becomes ...

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December 20, 2017, 10:36:25 PM
 #20

There seem to often be a reason why certain coins go up or down. Here are 3 brief examples:
-The recent relation between Bitcoin Cash's up and the announcement of Coinbase's integration.
-In an article on ccn is mentioned: "The IOTA price, on the other hand, surged 36 percent on the news that Robert Bosch Venture Capital (RBVC) had made a strategic investment in IOTA tokens."
-Also, around the 12th of december Ripple started to rise for days and at that time it could have been predicted because of what was put out in the media.

It seems that on ccn all this information is put after or while it happens. Why does ccn not write an article as soon as the article of Coinbase's integration is put out ?

Can we give each other some tips on how we can stay up to date so that we can invest accordingly and not after (when it's too late) or while (when it's still good but not amazing)?

Any input is appreciated.


Insider information - most of these things can't be predicted and the only way people profit of of them is because they have insider information. So unless you know someone to leak information to you and break the law then there's nothing you can do a lot of the time.

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