Bitcoin Forum
July 28, 2024, 02:20:25 AM
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
News
: Latest Bitcoin Core release:
27.0
[
Torrent
]
Home
Help
Search
Login
Register
More
Bitcoin Forum
>
Local
>
中文 (Chinese)
>
离题万里
>
社评:2017年,中国周边形势在复杂中好转
Pages: [
1
]
« previous topic
next topic »
Print
Author
Topic: 社评:2017年,中国周边形势在复杂中好转 (Read 64 times)
friend666
(OP)
Sr. Member
Offline
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
社评:2017年,中国周边形势在复杂中好转
December 26, 2017, 03:30:32 AM
#1
周边历来是中国推行国家战略的前沿地带,毫不夸张地说,中国的周边是大国中最复杂的。如果稳定不了周边,中国要想在全球范围内赢得战略主动就无从谈起。
那么如何看2017年的中国周边形势呢?应当说,从中国的角度看,它总的来说在朝积极方向走,我们作为一个崛起大国,与周围国家围绕相互适应的摸索又多了一些眉目。尽管有个别问题和危机一度或仍然很棘手,但中国崛起的战略稳定性进一步增加了。
最大的变化发生在南海和东盟方向。2016年底,南海局势就开始缓和,2017年极大巩固了这个态势。除了菲律宾、越南保持了同中国改善关系的势头,包括新加坡在内的其他东盟国家也更重视同中国发展关系,“南海行为准则”达成了框架协议。
南海是美日介入很深、介入杠杆也很多的地区,有着严重的潜在爆炸性。这个地区的局势大幅降温,北京的外交努力起了很大作用。中国崛起是事实,崛起的中国如何与周边国家打交道,外界该如何对待中国不断成长的实力,这些非常重大的命题在南海地区经历了磨砺,围绕它们的公约数有了一些艰难的积累。
在东北亚,中日关系终于走出低谷,形成重整两国相处态度和方式的新态势。从走入严冬到重新迎回一点春意,中日两国社会也都不可避免经历了许多思考,对于中日究竟该怎样处理两国在亚洲第一第二的实力关系,两国大概都多了一分冷静。
中韩关系从友好合作的巅峰跌入近乎对立的深渊,又因文在寅当选总统重回友好合作之路,这一切就像是在“做梦”一样。
中印在今年夏天出现洞朗对峙危机,两国最终和平化解了它,但是钉子从木板上拔出来,却留下了一个洞。那场危机既暴露了中印关系的脆弱,又显示了中国依靠实力逼退挑衅的能力,同时还反映了中印都不想在21世纪敌对的底线思维。印度的这一战略态度将对美日推动的“印太战略”如何构建内涵产生影响。
2017年中国周边的最大挑战是朝鲜半岛局势,美朝在中国家门口近乎失控的对抗暴露了中国塑造周边形势能力的局限。
这一年澳大利亚作为与中国没什么安全交集的国家突然围绕安全问题一再跳着脚指责中国,成为中国周边新的最突出的麻烦制造者。不过澳大利亚是中国“假周边国家”,它向中国发难与上面几个方向出问题相比,带给中国人的烦恼程度是不一样的。澳大利亚毕竟离得远,它在中国的议程中可以往后排。
中国的周边当然大得多,然而北部和西部都稳固了,当下急迫的问题和挑战都来自东、南几个方向。从上文的梳理中不难看出,中国2017年的周边外交得大于失,更重要的是,中国的得很多是触底反弹性质的,而对于失,我们适应力的形成速度越来越快,失的颠覆性冲击力几乎不再有。
周边问题今后恐怕还少不了,但是2017年的情况告诉我们,随着中国进一步崛起,我们解决、管控周边问题的资源在增多,周边问题的“自愈能力”也在增加。有些周边势力主动挑衅中国,但他们的极端政策很难持续,会有各种机缘将它们瓦解。
中国发展起来,使得一些潜在的周边问题被激活。然而必须看到,中国解决周边问题的最大力量源泉也是发展。周边问题是解决不完的,但只要中国保持强劲发展势头,那些问题的增长发酵就跑不赢我们驾驭全局能力的增长,中国的战略主动性就会不断有正盈余,而不是负亏损。2017年无疑是中国周边战略能力出现较大盈余的一年。
Pages: [
1
]
Print
Bitcoin Forum
>
Local
>
中文 (Chinese)
>
离题万里
>
社评:2017年,中国周边形势在复杂中好转
« previous topic
next topic »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Bitcoin
-----------------------------
=> Bitcoin Discussion
===> Legal
===> Press
===> Meetups
===> Important Announcements
=> Development & Technical Discussion
===> Wallet software
=====> Electrum
=====> Bitcoin Wallet for Android
=====> BitcoinJ
=====> Armory
=====> Mycelium
=====> Hardware wallets
=> Mining
===> Mining support
===> Pools
===> Mining software (miners)
===> Hardware
=====> Group buys
===> Mining speculation
=> Bitcoin Technical Support
=> Project Development
-----------------------------
Economy
-----------------------------
=> Economics
===> Speculation
=> Marketplace
===> Goods
=====> Computer hardware
=====> Digital goods
=======> Invites & Accounts
=====> Collectibles
===> Services
===> Currency exchange
===> Gambling
=====> Games and rounds
=====> Investor-based games
=====> Gambling discussion
===> Lending
=====> Long-term offers
===> Securities
===> Auctions
===> Service Announcements
=====> Micro Earnings
===> Service Discussion
=====> Web Wallets
=====> Exchanges
=> Trading Discussion
===> Scam Accusations
===> Reputation
-----------------------------
Other
-----------------------------
=> Meta
===> New forum software
===> Bitcoin Wiki
=> Politics & Society
=> Beginners & Help
=> Off-topic
=> Serious discussion
===> Ivory Tower
=> Archival
===> Корзина
===> CPU/GPU Bitcoin mining hardware
===> Chinese students
===> Obsolete (buying)
===> Obsolete (selling)
===> MultiBit
-----------------------------
Alternate cryptocurrencies
-----------------------------
=> Altcoin Discussion
=> Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Tokens (Altcoins)
=> Mining (Altcoins)
===> Pools (Altcoins)
=> Marketplace (Altcoins)
===> Service Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Service Discussion (Altcoins)
===> Bounties (Altcoins)
=> Speculation (Altcoins)
-----------------------------
Local
-----------------------------
=> العربية (Arabic)
===> العملات البديلة (Altcoins)
=====> النقاشات
===> إستفسارات و أسئلة المبتدئين
===> التعدين
===> النقاشات الأخرى
===> منصات التبادل
=> Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian)
===> Marketplace (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Mining (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Trading dan Spekulasi
===> Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya
===> Topik Lainnya
=> Español (Spanish)
===> Mercado y Economía
=====> Servicios
=====> Trading y especulación
===> Hardware y Minería
===> Esquina Libre
===> Mercadillo
=====> Mexico
=====> Argentina
=====> España
=====> Centroamerica y Caribe
===> Primeros pasos y ayuda
===> Altcoins (criptomonedas alternativas)
=====> Minería de altcoins
=====> Servicios
=====> Tokens (Español)
=> 中文 (Chinese)
===> 跳蚤市场
===> 山寨币
===> 媒体
===> 挖矿
===> 离题万里
=> Hrvatski (Croatian)
===> Trgovina
===> Altcoins (Hrvatski)
=====> Announcements (Hrvatski)
===> Off-topic (Hrvatski)
=> Deutsch (German)
===> Anfänger und Hilfe
===> Mining (Deutsch)
===> Trading und Spekulation
===> Projektentwicklung
===> Off-Topic (Deutsch)
===> Treffen
===> Presse
===> Altcoins (Deutsch)
=====> Announcements (Deutsch)
===> Marktplatz
=====> Auktionen
=====> Suche
=====> Biete
=> Ελληνικά (Greek)
===> Αγορά
===> Mining Discussion (Ελληνικά)
===> Altcoins (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Mining (Ελληνικά)
=> עברית (Hebrew)
=> Français
===> Actualité et News
===> Débutants
===> Discussions générales et utilisation du Bitcoin
===> Mining et Hardware
===> Économie et spéculation
===> Place de marché
=====> Échanges
=====> Produits et services
=====> Petites annonces
===> Le Bitcoin et la loi
===> Wiki, documentation et traduction
===> Développement et technique
===> Vos sites et projets
===> Hors-sujet
===> Altcoins (Français)
=====> Annonces
=> India
===> Mining (India)
===> Marketplace (India)
===> Regional Languages (India)
===> Press & News from India
===> Alt Coins (India)
===> Buyer/ Seller Reputations (India)
===> Off-Topic (India)
=> Italiano (Italian)
===> Guide (Italiano)
===> Progetti
===> Discussioni avanzate e sviluppo
===> Trading, analisi e speculazione
===> Mercato
=====> Mercato valute
=====> Beni
=====> Servizi
=====> Esercizi commerciali
=====> Hardware/Mining (Italiano)
=====> Gambling (Italiano)
===> Accuse scam/truffe
===> Mining (Italiano)
===> Alt-Currencies (Italiano)
=====> Annunci
===> Raduni/Meeting (Italiano)
===> Crittografia e decentralizzazione
===> Off-Topic (Italiano)
=> 日本語 (Japanese)
===> アルトコイン
=> Nederlands (Dutch)
===> Markt
===> Gokken/lotterijen
===> Mining (Nederlands)
===> Beurzen
===> Alt Coins (Nederlands)
===> Off-topic (Nederlands)
===> Meetings (Nederlands)
=> Nigeria (Naija)
===> Politics and society (Naija)
===> Off-topic (Naija)
=> 한국어 (Korean)
===> 대체코인 Alt Coins (한국어)
=> Pilipinas
===> Altcoins (Pilipinas)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Pilipinas)
===> Pamilihan
===> Others (Pilipinas)
=> Polski
===> Tablica ogłoszeń
===> Alternatywne kryptowaluty
=====> Nowe kryptowaluty i tokeny
=====> Tablica ogłoszeń (altcoiny)
=> Português (Portuguese)
===> Primeiros Passos (Iniciantes)
===> Economia & Mercado
===> Mineração em Geral
===> Desenvolvimento & Discussões Técnicas
===> Criptomoedas Alternativas
===> Brasil
===> Portugal
=> Русский (Russian)
===> Новички
===> Бизнес
=====> Барахолка
=====> Обменники
===> Идеи
===> Кодеры
===> Майнеры
===> Политика
===> Трейдеры
===> Альтернативные криптовалюты
=====> Токены
=====> Бayнти и aиpдpoпы
===> Хайпы
===> Работа
===> Разное
===> Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin
=====> Новости
=====> Юристы
=> Română (Romanian)
===> Anunturi importante
===> Offtopic
===> Market
=====> Discutii Servicii
===> Minerit
===> Tutoriale
===> Bine ai venit!
===> Presa
===> Altcoins (Monede Alternative)
=====> Anunturi Monede Alternative
=> Skandinavisk
=> Türkçe (Turkish)
===> Bitcoin Haberleri
===> Pazar Alanı
===> Madencilik
===> Ekonomi
===> Servisler
=====> Fonlar
===> Proje Geliştirme
===> Alternatif Kripto-Paralar
=====> Madencilik (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
=====> Duyurular (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
===> Konu Dışı
===> Yeni Başlayanlar & Yardım
===> Buluşmalar
=> Other languages/locations
Loading...