Bitcoin Forum
September 01, 2024, 09:51:17 PM
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
News
: Latest Bitcoin Core release:
27.1
[
Torrent
]
Home
Help
Search
Login
Register
More
Bitcoin Forum
>
Local
>
中文 (Chinese)
>
离题万里
>
朝鲜示好韩国带来缓和新契机
Pages: [
1
]
« previous topic
next topic »
Print
Author
Topic: 朝鲜示好韩国带来缓和新契机 (Read 82 times)
wingsking
(OP)
Member
Offline
Activity: 60
Merit: 10
⇾
朝鲜示好韩国带来缓和新契机
January 06, 2018, 01:47:30 AM
#1
2018年新年伊始,朝鲜突然向韩国发起多波示好姿态。继朝鲜领导人金正恩在元旦新年贺词中表示愿派代表团参加韩国平昌冬奥会后,朝鲜主动连续两天打通中断22个月的板门店朝韩热线电话,朝鲜多个团体对韩国致以新年问候,朝鲜官方电视台甚至首次用“韩国总统”称呼文在寅。朝鲜“新年外交”尽管引发美国和韩国强硬舆论的质疑,但毕竟为陷入严重僵局的朝核危机提供了一次新契机。
金正恩面向韩国的喊话一反往常,充满热情与怀柔,打出“血浓于水”的民族主义温情牌。他说今年朝鲜将庆祝建国70周年,韩国将举办冬奥会,对北南双方而言这是“意义深远”的一年。金正恩表示,“冬奥会将是展示民族地位的良机,我们衷心祝愿冬奥会取得成功”,“作为血脉相通的同一民族,对同胞举办的活动同感欢喜并相互帮助,理所应当。”“我们准备采取多项措施,包括派出代表团。”“为实现这一目标双方可以立即会晤。”
金正恩意外伸出橄榄枝,对力主和平解决朝核危机,并积极呼吁改善南北关系的文在寅政府而言,堪称喜从天降,无论朝鲜此举深层意图如何,也不论这番表达能否推动朝核危机得到根本化解,但它至少证明韩国重拾“阳光政策”已打破南北关系坚冰,给半岛局势向好发展开启了新窗口。自去年6月以来,韩国主动提议恢复南北对话以缓解军事对峙,并恢复双方离散家属团聚安排,但一直没有得到朝鲜回应,金正恩的这番表态意味着韩国示好努力已有初步收获。
国际奥委会也喜出望外,第一时间通过其发言人马克·亚当斯表示,欢迎朝鲜派团参加平昌冬奥会的表态,并将与韩国政府、韩国奥委会密切合作努力促成朝鲜代表团参赛。从程序上说,朝鲜去年10月已错过报名冬奥会花样滑冰双人滑比赛的最后期限,不过,奥委会可能通过技术处理成全朝鲜选手如期参加定于2月9日和3月9日分别开幕的平昌冬奥会和残奥会。奥委会的积极姿态无疑显示了超脱国际政治的立场,并通过向朝鲜打开体育大门,向备受孤立的朝鲜张开体育大家庭的臂膀,想必也将有助缓和朝鲜半岛的紧张局势。
当然,朝鲜向韩国展示笑脸,并不意味着其国策特别是核武器和弹道导弹计划即将调整。金正恩在同一篇献词中也保持非常强悍和绝不妥协的另一面,称“美国永远无法对我和我国发动战争”,美国应该意识到,整个美国国土都在朝鲜核打击范围内,“核按钮”时刻放在办公桌上。“这绝不是威胁,而是现实”。可见朝鲜延续了以强对强的政策,对韩国的怀柔只是在取得核武和弹道导弹长足进步后,换一种“大棒在手,良言在口”式的表达,也可以理解为不再视韩国为等量级军事对手的姿态展现。
分析家认为,去年进行第六次核试验并试射射程更长的洲际导弹后,朝鲜不仅将承受更残酷的经济和贸易制裁,还切实面临美国战争摊牌的危险前景。这显然不是朝鲜期望得到的结果,通过对韩国友善来缓和局势,既打破铁桶般的国际封锁和制裁,也能为优化核武和弹道导弹系统赢得更多时间,以图最终迫使国际社会特别是美国接受它成为核武俱乐部成员的既成事实。
随着朝韩关系快速解冻,韩国去年2月主动停止运营的开城工业园有可能重新恢复,这就意味着朝鲜通过这里的项目运作和生产,使大约20万国民的生计从中受益,并为政府赚取一大笔外汇收入。显然,这个对朝韩双方而言的暖心工程与安理会制裁朝鲜并严格限制其外汇收入来源的决议条款相抵触,因此,如何处理将非常棘手。
另一方面,朝鲜拒绝弃核,也不接受中俄倡导的“双暂停”倡议,在核武道路上一意孤行,通过南向改善关系并得到韩国积极回应和配合,无疑试图在国际制裁与封锁链条中打开缺口,进而将使韩国承受巨大压力。这个压力既来自安理会严厉制裁朝鲜的集体意志,也来自美国不向朝鲜妥协的国策,还来自韩国内部保持韩美军事同盟和朝核政策同步的强大呼声,更来自敌视朝鲜政权的右翼力量和激进派,他们担心朝鲜继续以时间换空间,以切香肠的方式晋级核武大国,最终迫使美国放弃韩国,将半岛统一进程主导权拱手让给朝鲜。
4日,文在寅与美国总统特朗普通话,双方一致强调“不会重复历史错误”,坚持向朝鲜施压迫其弃核,并约定在平昌残奥会后恢复韩美军演。半岛局势从来云诡波谲,朝鲜的新年橄榄枝固然值得欢迎,但能否开出和平与无核化花朵,的确不能乐观。
Pages: [
1
]
Print
Bitcoin Forum
>
Local
>
中文 (Chinese)
>
离题万里
>
朝鲜示好韩国带来缓和新契机
« previous topic
next topic »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Bitcoin
-----------------------------
=> Bitcoin Discussion
===> Legal
===> Press
===> Meetups
===> Important Announcements
=> Development & Technical Discussion
===> Wallet software
=====> Electrum
=====> Bitcoin Wallet for Android
=====> BitcoinJ
=====> Armory
=====> Mycelium
=====> Hardware wallets
=> Mining
===> Mining support
===> Pools
===> Mining software (miners)
===> Hardware
=====> Group buys
===> Mining speculation
=> Bitcoin Technical Support
=> Project Development
-----------------------------
Economy
-----------------------------
=> Economics
===> Speculation
=> Marketplace
===> Goods
=====> Computer hardware
=====> Digital goods
=======> Invites & Accounts
=====> Collectibles
===> Services
===> Currency exchange
===> Gambling
=====> Games and rounds
=====> Investor-based games
=====> Gambling discussion
===> Lending
=====> Long-term offers
===> Securities
===> Auctions
===> Service Announcements
=====> Micro Earnings
===> Service Discussion
=====> Web Wallets
=====> Exchanges
=> Trading Discussion
===> Scam Accusations
===> Reputation
-----------------------------
Other
-----------------------------
=> Meta
===> New forum software
===> Bitcoin Wiki
=> Politics & Society
=> Beginners & Help
=> Off-topic
=> Serious discussion
===> Ivory Tower
=> Archival
===> Корзина
===> CPU/GPU Bitcoin mining hardware
===> Chinese students
===> Obsolete (buying)
===> Obsolete (selling)
===> MultiBit
-----------------------------
Alternate cryptocurrencies
-----------------------------
=> Altcoin Discussion
=> Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Tokens (Altcoins)
=> Mining (Altcoins)
===> Pools (Altcoins)
=> Marketplace (Altcoins)
===> Service Announcements (Altcoins)
===> Service Discussion (Altcoins)
===> Bounties (Altcoins)
=> Speculation (Altcoins)
-----------------------------
Local
-----------------------------
=> العربية (Arabic)
===> العملات البديلة (Altcoins)
=====> النقاشات
===> إستفسارات و أسئلة المبتدئين
===> التعدين
===> النقاشات الأخرى
===> منصات التبادل
=> Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian)
===> Marketplace (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Mining (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia)
===> Trading dan Spekulasi
===> Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya
===> Topik Lainnya
=> Español (Spanish)
===> Mercado y Economía
=====> Servicios
=====> Trading y especulación
===> Hardware y Minería
===> Esquina Libre
===> Mercadillo
=====> Mexico
=====> Argentina
=====> España
=====> Centroamerica y Caribe
===> Primeros pasos y ayuda
===> Altcoins (criptomonedas alternativas)
=====> Minería de altcoins
=====> Servicios
=====> Tokens (Español)
=> 中文 (Chinese)
===> 跳蚤市场
===> 山寨币
===> 媒体
===> 挖矿
===> 离题万里
=> Hrvatski (Croatian)
===> Trgovina
===> Altcoins (Hrvatski)
=====> Announcements (Hrvatski)
===> Off-topic (Hrvatski)
=> Deutsch (German)
===> Anfänger und Hilfe
===> Mining (Deutsch)
===> Trading und Spekulation
===> Projektentwicklung
===> Off-Topic (Deutsch)
===> Treffen
===> Presse
===> Altcoins (Deutsch)
=====> Announcements (Deutsch)
===> Marktplatz
=====> Auktionen
=====> Suche
=====> Biete
=> Ελληνικά (Greek)
===> Αγορά
===> Mining Discussion (Ελληνικά)
===> Altcoins (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Ελληνικά)
=====> Altcoin Mining (Ελληνικά)
=> עברית (Hebrew)
=> Français
===> Actualité et News
===> Débutants
===> Discussions générales et utilisation du Bitcoin
===> Mining et Hardware
===> Économie et spéculation
===> Place de marché
=====> Échanges
=====> Produits et services
=====> Petites annonces
===> Le Bitcoin et la loi
===> Wiki, documentation et traduction
===> Développement et technique
===> Vos sites et projets
===> Hors-sujet
===> Altcoins (Français)
=====> Annonces
=> India
===> Mining (India)
===> Marketplace (India)
===> Regional Languages (India)
===> Press & News from India
===> Alt Coins (India)
===> Buyer/ Seller Reputations (India)
===> Off-Topic (India)
=> Italiano (Italian)
===> Guide (Italiano)
===> Progetti
===> Discussioni avanzate e sviluppo
===> Trading, analisi e speculazione
===> Mercato
=====> Mercato valute
=====> Beni
=====> Servizi
=====> Esercizi commerciali
=====> Hardware/Mining (Italiano)
=====> Gambling (Italiano)
===> Accuse scam/truffe
===> Mining (Italiano)
===> Alt-Currencies (Italiano)
=====> Annunci
===> Raduni/Meeting (Italiano)
===> Crittografia e decentralizzazione
===> Off-Topic (Italiano)
=> 日本語 (Japanese)
===> アルトコイン
=> Nederlands (Dutch)
===> Markt
===> Gokken/lotterijen
===> Mining (Nederlands)
===> Beurzen
===> Alt Coins (Nederlands)
===> Off-topic (Nederlands)
===> Meetings (Nederlands)
=> Nigeria (Naija)
===> Politics and society (Naija)
===> Off-topic (Naija)
=> 한국어 (Korean)
===> 대체코인 Alt Coins (한국어)
=> Pilipinas
===> Altcoins (Pilipinas)
=====> Altcoin Announcements (Pilipinas)
===> Pamilihan
===> Others (Pilipinas)
=> Polski
===> Tablica ogłoszeń
===> Alternatywne kryptowaluty
=====> Nowe kryptowaluty i tokeny
=====> Tablica ogłoszeń (altcoiny)
=> Português (Portuguese)
===> Primeiros Passos (Iniciantes)
===> Economia & Mercado
===> Mineração em Geral
===> Desenvolvimento & Discussões Técnicas
===> Criptomoedas Alternativas
===> Brasil
===> Portugal
=> Русский (Russian)
===> Новички
===> Бизнес
=====> Барахолка
=====> Обменники
===> Идеи
===> Кодеры
===> Майнеры
===> Политика
===> Трейдеры
===> Альтернативные криптовалюты
=====> Токены
=====> Бayнти и aиpдpoпы
===> Хайпы
===> Работа
===> Разное
===> Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin
=====> Новости
=====> Юристы
=> Română (Romanian)
===> Anunturi importante
===> Offtopic
===> Market
=====> Discutii Servicii
===> Minerit
===> Tutoriale
===> Bine ai venit!
===> Presa
===> Altcoins (Monede Alternative)
=====> Anunturi Monede Alternative
=> Skandinavisk
=> Türkçe (Turkish)
===> Bitcoin Haberleri
===> Pazar Alanı
===> Madencilik
===> Ekonomi
===> Servisler
=====> Fonlar
===> Proje Geliştirme
===> Alternatif Kripto-Paralar
=====> Madencilik (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
=====> Duyurular (Alternatif Kripto-Paralar)
===> Konu Dışı
===> Yeni Başlayanlar & Yardım
===> Buluşmalar
=> Other languages/locations
Loading...