[2018-1-21] TRACE MAYER: BITCOIN MAY HIT ‘SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED $115K IN 2018

[casparthefriendly]

Bitcoin Knowledge host and notorious advocate Trace Meyer has suggested Bitcoin could hit $115,000 in 2018 after its correction ends.

WALL STREET MONEY MOUNTAIN ‘LINING UP’
The latest in a cluster of buoyant forecasts for the Bitcoin price to surface in recent weeks, Meyer tipped fellow analyst Tone Vays for suggestions on what to expect over the next eleven-and-a-half months.

$115,000, despite being a theoretical possibility based on previous behavioral cycles, would be “very overvalued,” Mayer adds.

“Current (Bitcoin) run very similar to Jan-Mar 2013 run ($7->$266->$90; $700-$20k->$9k) with backlogged new accounts, etc. then Silk Road catalyst (salable supply shock) for $100->$1,200. Mountain of (Wall Street) money lining up,” he wrote in accompanying comments.

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Trace Mayer
@TraceMayer
Current #Bitcoin run very similar to Jan-Mar 2013 run ($7->$266->$90; $700-$20k->$9k) with backlogged new accounts, etc. then Silk Road catalyst (salable supply shock) for $100->$1,200. Mountain of #WallStreet money lining up. What are potential 2018 $BTC scenarios? @ToneVays? 😎

9:46 AM - Jan 17, 2018
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Bitcoin is currently recovering from a 48-hour slide which saw prices dip the most since 2013’s Mt. Gox implosion.

Trading around $11,370 at press time, major exchanges had offered as little as $9402 per coin Wednesday, representing the lowest asks since late November.

TEMPERING 2017’S EPIC BULL RUN
Mayer’s optimism meanwhile partly echoes that shared by mainstream news outlet Business Insider earlier this month. On the topic of Wall Street participation moving Bitcoin markets, the publication suggested this week’s bonus allocation would result in a “buying spree” seeing cash flow into both Bitcoin and major altcoins.

Bull Market Bitcoin Price

If that extra investment would “overvalue” Bitcoin, Mayer suggests that a “fair” value would lie anywhere between $9500 and $14,340 – meaning Thursday’s average exchange value in USD is the average traders should expect for the next year.

Before this week’s downturn, Fundstrat investor Tom Lee had suggested a return to $20,000 in 2018, which if managed by June could result in a protracted move into new all-time highs.

“So I think Bitcoin is still something you should own,” he told CNBC in comments January 9.


http://bitcoinist.com/trace-mayer-bitcoin-115k-2018/

[Carlton Banks]

Bitcoin Knowledge host and notorious advocate Trace Meyer has suggested Bitcoin could hit $115,000 in 2018 after its correction ends.

Why

$115,000, despite being a theoretical possibility based on previous behavioral cycles, would be “very overvalued,” Mayer adds.

Why

“Current (Bitcoin) run very similar to Jan-Mar 2013 run ($7->$266->$90; $700-$20k->$9k) with backlogged new accounts, etc. then Silk Road catalyst (salable supply shock) for $100->$1,200. Mountain of (Wall Street) money lining up,” he wrote in accompanying comments.

WHY

If that extra investment would “overvalue” Bitcoin, Mayer suggests that a “fair” value would lie anywhere between $9500 and $14,340

(fuck's sake) WHY man, WHY

Before this week’s downturn, Fundstrat investor Tom Lee had suggested a return to $20,000 in 2018, which if managed by June could result in a protracted move into new all-time highs.

TELL US WHY

“So I think Bitcoin is still something you should own,” he told CNBC in comments January 9.

(I know the answer to this one, but still no mention of WHY)


I really wish these "market analysts" would actually substantiate their claims about price predictions. The simple fact is, it comes down to pure demand (with wide ranging, largely psychological, factors driving that demand). And all this baseless talking achieves is feeding into people's psychological reactions to the Bitcoin phenomenon, nothing to do with anything technical or empirically measurable at all.

Their opinions are pretty worthless, in other words. Anything could happen, and there's nothing these over important fortune-tellers can say now to change what actually happens (though I bet they'll be back on TV, telling us why what actually happens occurred, regardless of whether it conforms to their predictions)