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Author Topic: my prediction is always wrong  (Read 775 times)
AjithBtc
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January 27, 2018, 06:50:03 AM
 #101

None makes accurate prediction on the price of bitcoin. Each and everything with bitcoin happens without any prior indication. When one has the mind to analyze and predict the price based on the market he can be successful in trading. Look at the present fluctuations, everything has happened on its own when none expected such a drop.

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January 27, 2018, 07:43:44 AM
 #102

Yes !you are right. Bitcion for now is  unpredictable and volitil ,predicting bitcoin is a difficult task not just to one person but it's a general thing. Of course, as recent events have confirmed all too well, the past really isn’t a good indicator of the future. So how do we accurately predict where the markets are headed? The truth is, we can’t.
The future, like any complex problem, has far too many variables to be predicted. Quantitative models, historical models, even psychic models have all been tried — and have all failed. I think your prediction don't come to past is not an issue to one person  but such is common to many people..There are also people who has predicted the prices of bitcoin correctly but failed in certain time and so, no man is perfect in predicting the market. Remember the saying that “past performance is not an indicator of future success”.You can study more or learn the skill to get your sometime right..
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January 27, 2018, 09:38:12 AM
 #103

I don't think that predictions can be always wrong.
There are only three directions of movement: up, down and sideways.
If you bet on one of them you have based on probability calculation a 33% chance of being right. Nobody is that unlucky to always make the wrong choice.
Of course, when you have a specific value for the price of bitcoin in mind, then it's different.

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January 27, 2018, 09:43:47 AM
 #104

after the bitcoin price drops to $ 10000, yesterday the bitcoin price rose by 8.5%, and I expect the bitcoin price will not fall again, and will slide to $ 20,000, and I think when the natural correction ends.
But today I see bitcoin down again, why this can happen? is it a bubble? how to make the hype to be stable and go back up?
There are a lot of fuds in this month of January that's why bitcoin and other cryptocurrency coins are finding it hard to regain its form. There goes JP Morgan, bitcoinnect fud, CME contract. THERE WERE A LOT. But I am holding on to what I'm believing. Bitcoin will rise up again after the CME contract. And now that January 26 has ended, CME contract expired. So I bet it will go up starting from today.

all alts are on green mode now maybe your speculation are right but let see on how this current thing end up since eventhough CME contract ends we cannot easily say that the price would grow up since their's still a fear of market correction scattering and sticking to the minds of the people who mostly hold some crypto's. And let's hope for the best since I surely believe that Bitcoin will rise and all holders will earn with this.
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January 27, 2018, 10:16:12 AM
 #105

after the bitcoin price drops to $ 10000, yesterday the bitcoin price rose by 8.5%, and I expect the bitcoin price will not fall again, and will slide to $ 20,000, and I think when the natural correction ends.
But today I see bitcoin down again, why this can happen? is it a bubble? how to make the hype to be stable and go back up?

It takes time to rise to $20k, at the beginning of the year bitcoin price indeed always down, you should see the cycle and this is normal. bitcoin will increase when the mid year, we see what's going to happen like in the year of 2017 the price rises high in the mid year.

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January 27, 2018, 10:54:05 AM
 #106

after the bitcoin price drops to $ 10000, yesterday the bitcoin price rose by 8.5%, and I expect the bitcoin price will not fall again, and will slide to $ 20,000, and I think when the natural correction ends.
But today I see bitcoin down again, why this can happen? is it a bubble? how to make the hype to be stable and go back up?

Could you send me every day your prediction in a PM? Thanks  Grin

Bitcoins (BTC): 17SnnHGbGiWLJ5ysKcHE3jJmzLCZHwvPnN
Bonakid
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January 27, 2018, 11:28:14 AM
 #107

We cannot predict the price value of bitcoin its always flactuates and I dont think so that our prediction on it is always right.Luckily if we predit it right and know what happen when it flactuates.Due to its unpredictable and bitcoin was volatile we are not sure of it ,there are two things that happen always going up and going down.
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January 27, 2018, 11:55:23 AM
 #108

after the bitcoin price drops to $ 10000, yesterday the bitcoin price rose by 8.5%, and I expect the bitcoin price will not fall again, and will slide to $ 20,000, and I think when the natural correction ends.
But today I see bitcoin down again, why this can happen? is it a bubble? how to make the hype to be stable and go back up?
To be honest you just got unlucky because of the unpredictable nature of bitcoin and its Not a bubble just the doing of day traders that's causing prices to go up and down.

And for us to get a stable price lets wait and see what happens after regulations are in full effect and market is ready to trade
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January 27, 2018, 04:24:26 PM
 #109

I think this is normal if you review the price chart of bitcoin. It's not easy to predict the prices of bitcoin because of it's volatility. All we got is waiting and see the price if either pump or dump.
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January 28, 2018, 09:05:57 AM
 #110

The volatility in the market is normal.It is not always possible to accurately predict market conditions.There will always be fluctuations.This year there is a prediction that Bitcoin prices will increase. But I think this prediction will be true.Only need to look from the waiting.
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May 25, 2018, 08:27:42 PM
 #111

after the bitcoin price drops to $ 10000, yesterday the bitcoin price rose by 8.5%, and I expect the bitcoin price will not fall again, and will slide to $ 20,000, and I think when the natural correction ends.
But today I see bitcoin down again, why this can happen? is it a bubble? how to make the hype to be stable and go back up?
Nobody in this world has enough paranormal abilities to predict the future, not even the best analysts and expert traders have proven to have the talent to hit 100% of their predictions. But it is clear to me that in your specific case you are not working on a defined strategy, but only based on your hunches. If you really had proper planning in your trading decisions, you were not regretting them, but you were taking note to learn from this experience.
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May 26, 2018, 11:15:58 AM
 #112

just go wrong just move too fast so assume that your prediction is wrong because the price can not be guessed can go down in a fast time but predictions can be seen if you are really adept at reading a graph.
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May 26, 2018, 12:00:32 PM
 #113

just go wrong just move too fast so assume that your prediction is wrong because the price can not be guessed can go down in a fast time but predictions can be seen if you are really adept at reading a graph.

We don't need to rely 100% at predictions, and most certain cases happened was failure on expectations. With my personal experience I also felt sad with actual outcome on the price right now, because not all positive thinking had brought good market value on bitcoin.

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May 26, 2018, 01:25:27 PM
 #114

The opinions and prediction is a free they don't need to pay. What ever how much you predict is okay but think only who are reality to reach the price. They don't know what is really happen today in the next coming days. Maybe the price decrease and sometimes increase but the importnat is the price increasing.
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May 26, 2018, 03:25:22 PM
 #115

if I may add with as if I became you I will learn more and more optimistic again, with the reason precisely when we make a lot of mistakes then the more lessons we take to make predictions or speculation btc price ahead, keep the spirit and success
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May 26, 2018, 03:34:55 PM
 #116

As we all know bitcoin is the kind of cryptocurrency that been stable for years and then it'll increase more up to the month of december year 2017 the value of bitcoin almost hit the 20,000$ prediction of many experts we all didn't see it coming right. It is okay to predict atleast there is an hope.
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May 26, 2018, 05:44:45 PM
 #117

if I may add with as if I became you I will learn more and more optimistic again, with the reason precisely when we make a lot of mistakes then the more lessons we take to make predictions or speculation btc price ahead, keep the spirit and success
Let serves this mistakes a lesson so predictions may goes right and wrong. We can assumes bitcoin could going down or up so same situation price is unpredictable. Thorough observing the market you will learn how it works and it's path where it will going.
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May 29, 2018, 06:48:08 AM
 #118

if I may add with as if I became you I will learn more and more optimistic again, with the reason precisely when we make a lot of mistakes then the more lessons we take to make predictions or speculation btc price ahead, keep the spirit and success
Let serves this mistakes a lesson so predictions may goes right and wrong. We can assumes bitcoin could going down or up so same situation price is unpredictable. Thorough observing the market you will learn how it works and it's path where it will going.
It is not possible for everyone to do the technical analysis of the market but what we understand that through the deep analysis of the past market trends of bitcoin, the beginning of the year is somehow not favorable for it, the month of August and mid of the year are bearable and the end if highly motivating plus alluring. In short, this is the time for reservations for the end year success.
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May 30, 2018, 12:03:49 PM
 #119

just go wrong just move too fast so assume that your prediction is wrong because the price can not be guessed can go down in a fast time but predictions can be seen if you are really adept at reading a graph.

We don't need to rely 100% at predictions, and most certain cases happened was failure on expectations. With my personal experience I also felt sad with actual outcome on the price right now, because not all positive thinking had brought good market value on bitcoin.
In fact, relying so much on 100% correct prediction as a trader would be more like over working yourself. Every trade needs to be well planned before jumping in or jumping out and the caliber of traders that over work their emotions are those who do not always have that planned already but simply just do so much activity on the market that they let their emotions rule them when they should be making good decisions and trade on what they see and not what they feel.

The mistake any new trader will always make after learning some few certain things is to assume that they are going to end up right 100% of the time, and always forget to plan how to exit or stop loss whenever things like that happens. It is a market and anything can happen, which happens in every other market as well, and that is actually the essence of having a stop loss in any market which should even be more important than buying and selling a position.

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May 30, 2018, 12:58:22 PM
 #120

after the bitcoin price drops to $ 10000, yesterday the bitcoin price rose by 8.5%, and I expect the bitcoin price will not fall again, and will slide to $ 20,000, and I think when the natural correction ends.
But today I see bitcoin down again, why this can happen? is it a bubble? how to make the hype to be stable and go back up?

Prediction is only an estimate, and not necessarily it will come true because basically humans will not be able to know the future. If you want to benefit from bitcoin then you have to be patient, because to benefit from bitcoin it is not as easy as expected.

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