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Author Topic: Seven Stages Of Empire  (Read 3276 times)
Lethn (OP)
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August 28, 2013, 05:44:07 AM
 #1

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EdSq5H7awi8

I found this documentary pretty interesting and it's not as long as some of the ones I've looked at because it doesn't go into as much detail with the history so the facts may need to be cross-checked. Some of you may find it handy if you want a more condensed version of what's going on with our monetary system, I didn't know about the Greeks debasing their currency if that's true but it shows you how often it happens in history.
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Carlton Banks
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August 28, 2013, 11:15:45 AM
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I didn't know about the Greeks debasing their currency if that's true but it shows you how often it happens in history.

Shows you how much genuinely interesting (i.e. the real mechanics of empires and states) history never gets taught at school. Maybe keeping certain history taboo is the only thing that actually makes it interesting though  Cheesy

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August 28, 2013, 11:18:28 AM
 #3

I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.

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August 28, 2013, 01:13:09 PM
 #4

I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


As everyone keeps saying: gold + precious metals have intrinsic value, which turns out to mean that they are more valuable for their physical properties than they are for their value storage properties.

Vires in numeris
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August 28, 2013, 09:54:01 PM
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I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


As everyone keeps saying: gold + precious metals have intrinsic value, which turns out to mean that they are more valuable for their physical properties than they are for their value storage properties.

But that intrinsic value may be well below current market rates if the value storage usage decreases.  Perhaps once price decreases enough we will see new uses for gold, but at current industrial usage levels there will be plenty of mines shutting down if it ceases to be a store of value.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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August 28, 2013, 09:57:20 PM
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I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


the really smart people are positioned to profit if it goes either way Grin

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August 28, 2013, 11:38:57 PM
 #7

I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


As everyone keeps saying: gold + precious metals have intrinsic value, which turns out to mean that they are more valuable for their physical properties than they are for their value storage properties.

No it means only that some of the value is intrinsic, and therefore there is a floor price, and in addition, it has a starting price should it become useful as money again.
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August 29, 2013, 01:32:49 AM
 #8

This is good, thanks for sharing
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August 29, 2013, 01:39:31 AM
 #9

I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


As everyone keeps saying: gold + precious metals have intrinsic value, which turns out to mean that they are more valuable for their physical properties than they are for their value storage properties.

It is a combination of these.  Gold is fairly permanent.  You can step on it, subject it to magnetic fields, get hacked, its still gold.  It is pretty resilient as a store of value over the last few thousands of years.
But maybe everything is different this time.

FREE MONEY1 Bitcoin for Silver and Gold NewLibertyDollar.com and now BITCOIN SPECIE (silver 1 ozt) shows value by QR
Bulk premiums as low as .0012 BTC "BETTER, MORE COLLECTIBLE, AND CHEAPER THAN SILVER EAGLES" 1Free of Government
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August 29, 2013, 02:07:33 AM
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+1
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August 29, 2013, 06:00:41 AM
Last edit: August 30, 2013, 05:45:39 AM by Zarathustra
 #11

I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


There are 5 stages, and the pictures show that there won't be any business and Gold/Gold 2.0 at stage 5:

http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Course_of_Empire

At stage 5, civilization (collectivism), state, religion and therefore money and business is disappearing. It's the rebirth of Self-sufficiency.
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August 29, 2013, 11:12:38 AM
 #12

I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


As everyone keeps saying: gold + precious metals have intrinsic value, which turns out to mean that they are more valuable for their physical properties than they are for their value storage properties.

It is a combination of these.  Gold is fairly permanent.  You can step on it, subject it to magnetic fields, get hacked, its still gold.  It is pretty resilient as a store of value over the last few thousands of years.
But maybe everything is different this time.

The difference being that gold had zero intrinsic value historically, or at least pure 24ct did (too soft for tools, electricity and chemistry hadn't been discovered, etc).

Vires in numeris
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August 30, 2013, 02:30:28 AM
 #13

So if bitcoins are the next "quality currency", are they better then gold because they can't be "diluted"?
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August 30, 2013, 02:37:33 AM
 #14

So if bitcoins are the next "quality currency", are they better then gold because they can't be "diluted"?

Yes, but the main reason they are better than gold is because they can be used for remote payments which is 99% of transactions (by value) in a modern economy, unlike 100 years ago when most transactions were face-to-face.

This is the reason that fiat has survived the last 50 years even though it has been massively abused and diluted by governments and central banks. Physical gold is a hassle for transactions which is why most of it just sits in vaults.

Bitcoin throws this status quo out the window.

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August 30, 2013, 03:35:23 AM
 #15

I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


As everyone keeps saying: gold + precious metals have intrinsic value, which turns out to mean that they are more valuable for their physical properties than they are for their value storage properties.

It is a combination of these.  Gold is fairly permanent.  You can step on it, subject it to magnetic fields, get hacked, its still gold.  It is pretty resilient as a store of value over the last few thousands of years.
But maybe everything is different this time.

The difference being that gold had zero intrinsic value historically, or at least pure 24ct did (too soft for tools, electricity and chemistry hadn't been discovered, etc).

Some folks valued it for its particular qualities which lend to its use in art.  Little round art, that they would trade for stuff.  Usually royalty of some sort or other.
Egyptian kings would be buried with it and it was just as it was when it went underground. Check out the King Tutankamen exhibit when it is near, and he was just a kid.  The silver oxidized a good bit after a few thousand years, but not the gold.

FREE MONEY1 Bitcoin for Silver and Gold NewLibertyDollar.com and now BITCOIN SPECIE (silver 1 ozt) shows value by QR
Bulk premiums as low as .0012 BTC "BETTER, MORE COLLECTIBLE, AND CHEAPER THAN SILVER EAGLES" 1Free of Government
Carlton Banks
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August 30, 2013, 01:48:00 PM
 #16

I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


As everyone keeps saying: gold + precious metals have intrinsic value, which turns out to mean that they are more valuable for their physical properties than they are for their value storage properties.

It is a combination of these.  Gold is fairly permanent.  You can step on it, subject it to magnetic fields, get hacked, its still gold.  It is pretty resilient as a store of value over the last few thousands of years.
But maybe everything is different this time.

The difference being that gold had zero intrinsic value historically, or at least pure 24ct did (too soft for tools, electricity and chemistry hadn't been discovered, etc).

Some folks valued it for its particular qualities which lend to its use in art.  Little round art, that they would trade for stuff.  Usually royalty of some sort or other.
Egyptian kings would be buried with it and it was just as it was when it went underground. Check out the King Tutankamen exhibit when it is near, and he was just a kid.  The silver oxidized a good bit after a few thousand years, but not the gold.

All true, and all interesting. But you're describing a subjective valuation, of course, not what we're referring to as intrinsic. Art and jewelery have only ever been vital to artists and jewelers.

Vires in numeris
NewLiberty
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August 30, 2013, 03:51:42 PM
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I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


As everyone keeps saying: gold + precious metals have intrinsic value, which turns out to mean that they are more valuable for their physical properties than they are for their value storage properties.

It is a combination of these.  Gold is fairly permanent.  You can step on it, subject it to magnetic fields, get hacked, its still gold.  It is pretty resilient as a store of value over the last few thousands of years.
But maybe everything is different this time.

The difference being that gold had zero intrinsic value historically, or at least pure 24ct did (too soft for tools, electricity and chemistry hadn't been discovered, etc).

Some folks valued it for its particular qualities which lend to its use in art.  Little round art, that they would trade for stuff.  Usually royalty of some sort or other.
Egyptian kings would be buried with it and it was just as it was when it went underground. Check out the King Tutankamen exhibit when it is near, and he was just a kid.  The silver oxidized a good bit after a few thousand years, but not the gold.

All true, and all interesting. But you're describing a subjective valuation, of course, not what we're referring to as intrinsic. Art and jewelery have only ever been vital to artists and jewelers.

"Little round art that they would trade for stuff"
I was enigmatically referring to coins.  Wink

Gold has had more intrinsic value over the span of history than anything else used as money.

You are possibly conflating utility value (or use value) with intrinsic value (which includes the subjective value).

Definition of 'Intrinsic Value'
1. The actual value of a company or an asset based on an underlying perception of its true value including all aspects of the business, in terms of both tangible and intangible factors. This value may or may not be the same as the current market value. Value investors use a variety of analytical techniques in order to estimate the intrinsic value of securities in hopes of finding investments where the true value of the investment exceeds its current market value.


FREE MONEY1 Bitcoin for Silver and Gold NewLibertyDollar.com and now BITCOIN SPECIE (silver 1 ozt) shows value by QR
Bulk premiums as low as .0012 BTC "BETTER, MORE COLLECTIBLE, AND CHEAPER THAN SILVER EAGLES" 1Free of Government
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August 30, 2013, 04:04:29 PM
 #18

So if bitcoins are the next "quality currency", are they better then gold because they can't be "diluted"?

Yes, but the main reason they are better than gold is because they can be used for remote payments which is 99% of transactions (by value) in a modern economy, unlike 100 years ago when most transactions were face-to-face.

This is the reason that fiat has survived the last 50 years even though it has been massively abused and diluted by governments and central banks. Physical gold is a hassle for transactions which is why most of it just sits in vaults.

Bitcoin throws this status quo out the window.


Except when stage 5 (supposedly) brings back self-sufficiency, remote payments will be of little to no importance to the common man. Gold/Silver may or may not be used directly (ie coin-for-cow) or indirectly (ie coin-in-vault / paper-for-cow), but it will be (imho) one of the standards by which monetary value will be determined.
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August 30, 2013, 05:49:11 PM
 #19

I watched this recently too. However, I think the gold-bugs are going to get a shock when the current fiat systems melt down. It will be cryptocurrency which replaces fiat, and gold will slowly become a commodity metal like platinum and silver are mostly already.


As everyone keeps saying: gold + precious metals have intrinsic value, which turns out to mean that they are more valuable for their physical properties than they are for their value storage properties.

It is a combination of these.  Gold is fairly permanent.  You can step on it, subject it to magnetic fields, get hacked, its still gold.  It is pretty resilient as a store of value over the last few thousands of years.
But maybe everything is different this time.

The difference being that gold had zero intrinsic value historically, or at least pure 24ct did (too soft for tools, electricity and chemistry hadn't been discovered, etc).

Some folks valued it for its particular qualities which lend to its use in art.  Little round art, that they would trade for stuff.  Usually royalty of some sort or other.
Egyptian kings would be buried with it and it was just as it was when it went underground. Check out the King Tutankamen exhibit when it is near, and he was just a kid.  The silver oxidized a good bit after a few thousand years, but not the gold.

All true, and all interesting. But you're describing a subjective valuation, of course, not what we're referring to as intrinsic. Art and jewelery have only ever been vital to artists and jewelers.

"Little round art that they would trade for stuff"
I was enigmatically referring to coins.  Wink

Gold has had more intrinsic value over the span of history than anything else used as money.

You are possibly conflating utility value (or use value) with intrinsic value (which includes the subjective value).

Definition of 'Intrinsic Value'
1. The actual value of a company or an asset based on an underlying perception of its true value including all aspects of the business, in terms of both tangible and intangible factors. This value may or may not be the same as the current market value. Value investors use a variety of analytical techniques in order to estimate the intrinsic value of securities in hopes of finding investments where the true value of the investment exceeds its current market value.



This is IBWP, the Intrinsic and Backing Word Police. Happy to serve you. Your definition is for the valuation of a company, not money. Intrinsic value for money is the direct use value. The other component of money value is indirect exchange value. Both are subjective, they originate in the mind of the market participants. Gold has some intrinsic value and some exchange value. Fiat and bitcoin have onlye exchange value. Have a good day
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August 30, 2013, 06:27:41 PM
 #20


"Little round art that they would trade for stuff"
I was enigmatically referring to coins.  Wink

Gold has had more intrinsic value over the span of history than anything else used as money.

You are possibly conflating utility value (or use value) with intrinsic value (which includes the subjective value).

Definition of 'Intrinsic Value'
1. The actual value of a company or an asset based on an underlying perception of its true value including all aspects of the business, in terms of both tangible and intangible factors. This value may or may not be the same as the current market value. Value investors use a variety of analytical techniques in order to estimate the intrinsic value of securities in hopes of finding investments where the true value of the investment exceeds its current market value.



This is IBWP, the Intrinsic and Backing Word Police. Happy to serve you. Your definition is for the valuation of a company, not money. Intrinsic value for money is the direct use value. The other component of money value is indirect exchange value. Both are subjective, they originate in the mind of the market participants. Gold has some intrinsic value and some exchange value. Fiat and bitcoin have onlye exchange value. Have a good day

Hi Police.  I plead NOT GUILTY.

Value for an asset.  Currency falls withing that category.

Yes, fiat and bitcoin have only exchange value, though I am working on enhancing that by offering a new Bitcoin Specie in gold and silver using a flexible standard.  Having had more than a little experience of doing this with US$, we see the future as Bitcoin.  (And also Bitcoin folks know what to do with a QR code more than the average person does)

So also... very soon now, bitcoin will have precious metal backing as well as exchange value.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=269535.0

FREE MONEY1 Bitcoin for Silver and Gold NewLibertyDollar.com and now BITCOIN SPECIE (silver 1 ozt) shows value by QR
Bulk premiums as low as .0012 BTC "BETTER, MORE COLLECTIBLE, AND CHEAPER THAN SILVER EAGLES" 1Free of Government
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