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Author Topic: Deflation  (Read 311 times)
Minnie1928 (OP)
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January 28, 2018, 03:15:56 PM
 #1

We always hear about economies collapsing due to inflation. Can anyone give me one example of an economy collapsing due to deflation?

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January 28, 2018, 03:23:24 PM
 #2

We always hear about economies collapsing due to inflation. Can anyone give me one example of an economy collapsing due to deflation?

Sure, there are a few examples if you care to google a bit. One of the ones that are more studied is the Great Depression, not on why it happened (bubble + leverage buys) but also because the wrong monetary policy led to a deflation.

As you may know, deflation is due to scarcity of money and creates a preference for savings againts spending that depresses the economy.
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January 28, 2018, 03:24:46 PM
 #3

There is a term called Recession. Recession is defined as the significant decline in economic activity bringing it to the lowest of the last 6 years which leads to Deflation. So, deflation isn't directly a reason of economic crisis. But is a result of recession, an economic crisis. The global recession of 2007-2009 is one such example.
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January 28, 2018, 03:47:33 PM
 #4

There is a term called Recession. Recession is defined as the significant decline in economic activity bringing it to the lowest of the last 6 years which leads to Deflation. So, deflation isn't directly a reason of economic crisis. But is a result of recession, an economic crisis. The global recession of 2007-2009 is one such example.

Deflation can precede a crisis (thus being a reason rather than a consequence). One example is the economy in the UK during the 30´s in which deflation was cause instead of effect.
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January 28, 2018, 04:26:12 PM
 #5

If the country is deflation the value of currency of this country is increasing. This leads to the fact that the products of this country becomes uncompetitive on the world market. Through the time of decline of the economy. Now America is artificially lowers the dollar to reheat its economy. This is a response to deflationary processes. Within the country unnoticed. But in other countries, the dollar increase was noticeable for a long time.
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January 28, 2018, 08:51:52 PM
 #6

Long-term deflation can affect all sectors that harm employers and employees. Deflation can make all parties choose to be silent and not take any action, whether in business, work, until investment.
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January 28, 2018, 09:12:50 PM
 #7

I mean I can't find any collapsing due to deflation, but I know that a good amount of goverments are facing this problem as of right now / or have in the past. Some of these include Ireland, Hong Kong, Japan, UK, and the United States. The one with the biggest problems and I think is still ongoing in Japan, where people are actually accepting negative yield bonds as a way to protect them against this delfation.

Here's a link to the wiki on deflation - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deflation#Historical_examples

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January 28, 2018, 09:16:06 PM
 #8

We always hear about economies collapsing due to inflation. Can anyone give me one example of an economy collapsing due to deflation?

Where did you read the article regarding a collapsing economy due to deflation? Yes world economy suffered due to deflation but is does not collapse and was prevented to worsen. For example the deflation in china last 2015 where the central bank got woried due to deflation which only give them 0.8% for their inflation rate, the lowest in their 5 years record.

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January 28, 2018, 09:51:27 PM
 #9

Do you remember? ..., with its corrupted zimbabwe currency due to deflation.
As a result of deflation, Zimbabwe dollar currency value began to fall apart in 2009 ago.
At that time, where every 500 thousand trillion Zimbabwean dollars is the same as $ 2.
This is what makes the banks in Zimbabwe publish money with a large nominal, such as 'hundreds of trillions of Zimbabwean dollars'. Sometimes, to pay the bus fare alone, the money as much as 100 trillion that is still not enough.

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January 29, 2018, 06:44:21 PM
 #10

If the country is deflation the value of currency of this country is increasing. This leads to the fact that the products of this country becomes uncompetitive on the world market. Through the time of decline of the economy. Now America is artificially lowers the dollar to reheat its economy. This is a response to deflationary processes. Within the country unnoticed. But in other countries, the dollar increase was noticeable for a long time.

Not to mention the perpetual Japanese crisis, that is no longer a crisis but an existential situation since they have become used to having zero interest rates and printing money as a sport.
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January 29, 2018, 09:51:32 PM
 #11

Usually developed countries fight deflation. deflation is actually the inverse of inflation. In short, the amount of money is reduced, the value of money increases and the prices decrease. There was a major deflation in Japan at the beginning of the 2000s.

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January 29, 2018, 11:03:49 PM
 #12

Do you remember? ..., with its corrupted zimbabwe currency due to deflation.
As a result of deflation, Zimbabwe dollar currency value began to fall apart in 2009 ago.
At that time, where every 500 thousand trillion Zimbabwean dollars is the same as $ 2.
This is what makes the banks in Zimbabwe publish money with a large nominal, such as 'hundreds of trillions of Zimbabwean dollars'. Sometimes, to pay the bus fare alone, the money as much as 100 trillion that is still not enough.
But that is inflation not deflation, deflation is the shrinking of the money supply that is all, the problem with that situation is that there is less money in the economy and as such people begin to cut down in their expenses this creates a spiral of less economic activity until the economy halts, this is dangerous since you now need to chase less dollars with more effort but your debts remain the same.
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January 29, 2018, 11:31:36 PM
 #13

Do you remember? ..., with its corrupted zimbabwe currency due to deflation.
As a result of deflation, Zimbabwe dollar currency value began to fall apart in 2009 ago.
At that time, where every 500 thousand trillion Zimbabwean dollars is the same as $ 2.
This is what makes the banks in Zimbabwe publish money with a large nominal, such as 'hundreds of trillions of Zimbabwean dollars'. Sometimes, to pay the bus fare alone, the money as much as 100 trillion that is still not enough.

That an example of the opposite. You don´t really need to go as far as Zimbabwe. Many of the selff called serious goverments, including the US, tend to print money galore before the elections.
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January 29, 2018, 11:49:05 PM
 #14

Do you remember? ..., with its corrupted zimbabwe currency due to deflation.

Lol. Do you even know the meaning of deflation?

deflation
dɪˈfleɪʃ(ə)n/
noun: reduction of the general level of prices in an economy.

The example you used is for "hyperinflation" which is the exact opposite of deflation.



OP, you don't really have to worry about the effects of deflation in Bitcoin. Wink

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January 30, 2018, 12:31:58 AM
 #15

Deflation is rare, and when it happens, it's not normally so big of a deal. For one, incomes go down and general price levels go down, but purchasing power of money increases, which is good for pretty much everyone. Also, people don't tend to hoard too much because they see the deflationary period as temporary (they know that eventually inflation will be back). In the case of BTC, we know that supply will algorithmically decrease, thus we tend to hoard our coins. Not great for the economy.

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January 30, 2018, 12:39:29 AM
 #16

We always hear about economies collapsing due to inflation. Can anyone give me one example of an economy collapsing due to deflation?

Paul Krugman (He was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences)  wrote an interesting article about the 3 reasons that are defining the bad sides of the deflation for the economy. The article is written in 2010 and the thesis that is presented in it is still useful. Demand and supply side are both suffering from the deflation process!

Here is a link if you are interested:

https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/08/02/why-is-deflation-bad/

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January 30, 2018, 03:08:19 AM
 #17

Ok, thanks for the correction. LOL Embarrassing !.
inillo and notaek, May the 'good day' be with you all.
All you say is true LOL 'Reverse', I'm too confident to write it down, maybe I wasn't concentrating very well at that moment.

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January 30, 2018, 04:06:22 AM
 #18

We always hear about economies collapsing due to inflation. Can anyone give me one example of an economy collapsing due to deflation?

Most of the global economies after 1929.

Here are the economic indicators from 1929 to 1932

Economic indicators

Change in economic indicators 1929–32
   United States    Great Britain    France    Germany
Industrial production    −46%    −23%    −24%    −41%
Wholesale prices    −32%    −33%    −34%    −29%
Foreign trade    −70%    −60%    −54%    −61%
Unemployment    +607%    +129%    +214%    +232%

It only ended with WW2.

 
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January 30, 2018, 04:41:10 AM
 #19

I can be saying something wrong, but isn't deflation a good thing? Let's think from the point of view it just makes things balanced, it's a natural event that shows the market what is needed and what isn't needed anymore on the market... So you won't produce something that others are already producing, you will have to find a new product/sector to work with.

In my opinion what isn't a solution is to incentive people to spend more money than they have and to incentive the population increasement without control (common weapons to beat deflation). What do you think?

 
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January 30, 2018, 05:14:49 AM
 #20

Not all the cultures are traditionally based on inflation.

The current problem is with the IMF ( International Monetary Fund )
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Monetary_Fund

If you read carefully through their functions at this point you understand the connections with some of the SDDS functions.

Eventually this leads to the private banks really controlling the "production" of money, that is mostly through loans.
This is due to the fact that the "reserve requirements" are pretty low for banks ( Actually modifying those requirements leads to change in economies ); inflation is then controlled just by changing those requirements more than printing money these days.

In other words if everyone was going to the same bank and ask to cash out all their savings no bank could honor that.
In an inflationary model the total reserve unfortunately accounts for the loaned amounts Sad . In other words the moment a loan is created that total is "magically" added to the total available supply, and this is regulated through the reserve requirements.

If the bank has a total circulation of say $1B, it only really has to guarantee 10% of that from their NTA ( Net Transactions Accounts ).
For example from here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reserve_requirement#United_States

The moment you move to a deflationary system, is when the snow melts. And fast.

When I re-read about these things makes me feel like digital currencies are actually 100x more true and safe than any other system we trust, especially the ones based on inflation.
And not to mistake price inflation with supply.

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