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Author Topic: Skipping 50 million and 70 million  (Read 1918 times)
smoothie
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September 02, 2013, 01:28:00 PM
 #1

Wouldnt be surprised if we skipped 90,000,000 difficulty.

Big hops, skips, and jumps.

My guess on the next difficulty values we will hit:

86,000,000
111,000,000
138,000,000
172,000,000
215,000,000
289,000,000
350,000,000
550,000,000
750,000,000
990,000,000
...

 Grin

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
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 ,█████  ╙████████████████████╨  █████y
 ██████    `████████████████`    ██████
║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
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September 02, 2013, 02:14:52 PM
 #2

Exciting times Smiley

Proud ASIC miner and long term Bitcoin investor
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September 02, 2013, 04:46:14 PM
 #3

I think the next will be over 90 million.
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September 02, 2013, 05:32:12 PM
 #4

Wouldnt be surprised if we skipped 90,000,000 difficulty.

Big hops, skips, and jumps.

My guess on the next difficulty values we will hit:

86,000,000
111,000,000
138,000,000
172,000,000
215,000,000
289,000,000
350,000,000
550,000,000
750,000,000
990,000,000
...

 Grin
I think the 'spike' will happen before your 350-750 range and will be starting to taper off fairly significantly by the time it hits 1,000,000,000

So I'd say closer to:

86
120
160
220
300
410
550
700
840
920
960
1000

I do not suffer fools gladly... "Captain!  We're surrounded!"
I embrace my inner Kool-Aid.
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September 02, 2013, 09:15:02 PM
 #5

Next one will be over 86. After that, too many unknowns.

Keep calm and keep mining.

#101Life
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“Dark times lie ahead of us and there will be a time when we must choose between what is easy and what is right.”
“We are only as strong as we are united, as weak as we are divided.”
“It is important to fight and fight again, and keep fighting, for only then can evil be kept at bay, though never quite eradicated.”
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September 10, 2013, 03:36:56 AM
 #6

Looks like this is on track ...breaking 100 million estimate. Likely going to be around ~110,000,000 is my guess.

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
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 ██████    `████████████████`    ██████
║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
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███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA  PHYSICAL MONERO COINS 999 FINE SILVER.
 
Sitarow
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September 11, 2013, 12:12:42 PM
 #7

Looks like this is on track ...breaking 100 million estimate. Likely going to be around ~110,000,000 is my guess.
180m by the end of october is just 20% annual average increase.
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September 11, 2013, 08:31:12 PM
 #8

Remember way back at the beginning of his year when 100m was unthinkable?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=139375.msg1468796#msg1468796

Quote from: Miner99er
100,000,000 Difficulty before Jan 1st, 2014?

Please pass whatever the hell you got off silkroad.

Where the hell are we getting 730 TH of mining power?


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September 11, 2013, 08:46:07 PM
 #9

Yep, it did seem unthinkable... Oh, the 200000 days, when we pined for 100000...
For the record, 106982964 in 3.6 days.

Keep calm and keep mining.

#101Life
Save Donbass

“Dark times lie ahead of us and there will be a time when we must choose between what is easy and what is right.”
“We are only as strong as we are united, as weak as we are divided.”
“It is important to fight and fight again, and keep fighting, for only then can evil be kept at bay, though never quite eradicated.”
smoothie
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September 12, 2013, 09:06:20 AM
 #10

Yep, it did seem unthinkable... Oh, the 200000 days, when we pined for 100000...
For the record, 106982964 in 3.6 days.

Keep calm and keep mining.

What I believe is to follow in Sept, October, and likely ending in November is a similar % increase in price.

roller coaster is slowly starting to accelerate. Those not strapped in with their cold BTC wallets may end up with less BTC than when the ride started (i.e. last month).

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
        ,p████████████████████N,       
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║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA  PHYSICAL MONERO COINS 999 FINE SILVER.
 
smoothie
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September 14, 2013, 07:37:04 AM
 #11

Looks like this is on track ...breaking 100 million estimate. Likely going to be around ~110,000,000 is my guess.

Looks like my guess is going to be pretty spot on.

███████████████████████████████████████

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║██████       Ñ███████████`      ███████
███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA  PHYSICAL MONERO COINS 999 FINE SILVER.
 
Buffer Overflow
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September 14, 2013, 08:23:15 AM
 #12

Yep, looks like it will be over 110m.

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September 14, 2013, 07:58:03 PM
 #13

The hashing power is growing at about 2.5% a day and growth is actually accelerating. While this rate of growth is sustained it means doubling just about every 29 days, and ten fold just about every 3 month.


Accelerating at 30%+ as predicted.

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September 15, 2013, 12:01:41 AM
 #14

It just landes on 112628548.

#101Life
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“Dark times lie ahead of us and there will be a time when we must choose between what is easy and what is right.”
“We are only as strong as we are united, as weak as we are divided.”
“It is important to fight and fight again, and keep fighting, for only then can evil be kept at bay, though never quite eradicated.”
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September 16, 2013, 08:19:34 AM
 #15

Next Guess is 138,000,000

███████████████████████████████████████

            ,╓p@@███████@╗╖,           
        ,p████████████████████N,       
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███████         ╩██████Ñ         ███████
███████    ▐▄     ²██╩     a▌    ███████
╢██████    ▐▓█▄          ▄█▓▌    ███████
 ██████    ▐▓▓▓▓▌,     ▄█▓▓▓▌    ██████─
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓█,,▄▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
           ▐▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▌          
    ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓─  
     ²▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓╩    
        ▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀       
           ²▀▀▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▀▀`          
                   ²²²                 
███████████████████████████████████████

. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
LEALANA  PHYSICAL MONERO COINS 999 FINE SILVER.
 
Nemo1024
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September 16, 2013, 09:44:54 AM
 #16

Next Guess is 138,000,000

Seems to be on target. Current estimate is 137,609,136

#101Life
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“Dark times lie ahead of us and there will be a time when we must choose between what is easy and what is right.”
“We are only as strong as we are united, as weak as we are divided.”
“It is important to fight and fight again, and keep fighting, for only then can evil be kept at bay, though never quite eradicated.”
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September 16, 2013, 04:17:06 PM
 #17

Next Guess is 138,000,000

Seems to be on target. Current estimate is 137,609,136
It'll be over 150.

I do not suffer fools gladly... "Captain!  We're surrounded!"
I embrace my inner Kool-Aid.
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