On what calculation bases have you come up with just two options? And why these two? I don't really know if the trend will continue for very long or it will end again soon, but I also don't think someone can predict a certain point of value where it will stop. It can go down to $2k, or rise up again to the same level where it stayed for a while, around $13-$14k. But I really want to know if there are any calculations or speculations you have considered before reaching to this conclusion.
I based my price projection 7600 BTC/USD on 2 theories:
1) We are now seeing the second (correction) wave (counting from the beginning of bitcoin).
2) The usual level when 2nd correction wave stops is 0,382% Fibonacci level (from 0 to 20000 in our case). So this level = about 7600 BTC/USD
But, because the first correction wave from 20 000 to 10 900 was so great, it is also possible that we will see some flat at the level 7600, followed by a slow increase to 10 000, and then we will see the final gap to the level of about 4700 BTC/USD. After that the 3rd great increase wave will be starting that bring the price much more above 20 000 btc/usd.