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September 04, 2013, 04:50:16 PM |
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When you do a poll, it helps to add an option for "OTHER REASON: (EXPLAIN!)" for those who don't agree with any of your options. There will always be some hahaha.
My theory is fear, strangely enough. So many people are coming into the market with these new boxes getting coins, prepared to cash out and use the money for expenses and other things. Then the Dwolla raid happens and everyone is either dumping their Bitcoins or spending them. The spending is the part I'm focused on. They spend them so quickly, it causes the market to think that the inherent value is increasing since more people are now buying things with Bitcoins instead of hoarding them (in preparation for unloading them when the value hits $250 again) ... hoarding is what keeps the value low, spending the money increases confidence. When people got scared, they spent coins, trying to wrestle out some of the value they couldn't get as cash now that Mt. Gox stopped trading. This spending was like a signal to the market that Bitcoins are being valued for exchanges, thus driving the value of the coins up. The more spending that occurs (especially from the newbies coming in getting their new coins), the higher the value will go (just like before) until it hits the Bubble where reality does not meet the expectation or the hope ... and then POP! Back down to $40 again.
Better buy up what you can (if you can't cash out) once the value reaches 250 again or close to it. And be ready to buy a host of new coins once they drop to $40. Sell (or trade high) and buy cheap, remember!
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