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成品油或迎今年首降 降幅将逾百元
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Topic: 成品油或迎今年首降 降幅将逾百元 (Read 61 times)
Mack1988
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成品油或迎今年首降 降幅将逾百元
February 07, 2018, 04:34:26 AM
#1
本计价周期以来,在美元指数下跌、美国库欣地区原油库存趋紧与美元汇率增强、美国石油钻井平台增加等因素多空博弈下,欧美原油期货震荡下行。由此,国内参考的原油变化率由正转负后不断下探,致使本轮调价由搁浅预期转为下跌。
据金联创测算,截至2月6日第七个工作日,参考原油品种均价为66.53美元/桶,变化率-1.29%,对应汽油、柴油价格将下调95元/吨。距离调价窗口仅剩三个工作日时间,后期原油仍将维持弱势运行,故本轮油价下调为大概率事件,这将是年内首轮下调,也是时隔7个多月之后再度下调,预计汽油、柴油价格下调幅度将超百元。
金联创成品油分析师邹雪莲昨日在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,经过粗略计算,容积约60L的普通家用轿车,加满一箱汽油较2017年年中增加费用60元/吨左右。而一辆月跑1万公里,百里油耗30L物流运输车,每月将多支出费用约3180元。物流运输占柴油消费约为60%,因此柴油零售价上涨,物流运输行业费用大幅增加。
中宇资讯分析师马建彩昨日告诉《证券日报》记者,受全球金融市场普遍下跌影响,昨日原油盘中走势继续下行,因近期国际市场利好支撑有限,预计油价反弹乏力。受此影响,国内油价下调预计将继续拉宽,本轮下调已成定局。国内市场来看,受下调预期影响,下游节前备货热情不高,且临近年关,随物流停运及户外基建大面积停工,柴油需求将继续疲软,预计2月7日全国油价将延续稳中下行趋势。
邹雪莲表示,虽然本轮成品油零售价下调幅度有限,但零售价长达半年之久的上涨之路终结,对终端用户来说仍然欣喜。并且,本轮下调适逢农历春节,私家车外出增多,出行半径扩大,汽油消耗量加大,出行成本可少量减少支出。同时,加油站仍有优惠,因此出行压力不大。但假期间,物流运输基本停止,柴油价格小跌,对终端影响不大。
dudu131418
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Re: 成品油或迎今年首降 降幅将逾百元
February 07, 2018, 04:44:19 AM
#2
呵呵。又降了
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