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Author Topic: Please GUESS!!  (Read 1262 times)
superdry (OP)
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September 18, 2013, 02:57:20 AM
 #21

Ill just get my diary...
Singlebyte
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September 18, 2013, 03:03:04 AM
 #22

The final 0.00000001 BTC will be mined on March 2, 2138.

You can hold me to that.  If it does not happen on that exact date look dig me up and I will give you $1000 worth of BTC.  Of course that will be exactly 0.00001 BTC on that date.  You can hold me to that also.

Burtw is essentially right.  Most (98%) of the "complete" bitcoins will be mined by 2050.  So by 2140 there will essentially only be a satoshi or two.  As the block rewards keep getting cut in half, the last fifty years you are slicing fractions of a bitcoin.  This argument has been discussed several times, but this thread link has some charts which may put it more into perspective for some members:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=235926.0
nahtnam
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September 18, 2013, 04:43:13 AM
 #23

Haha I wish I had the money to give away! I will be held to a 0.10 Bitcoin giveaway if someone guesses the correct date though. And obviously that means guessing the date long before the end - not a few days before!

So who is Stunna and can we get in touch with him? This will be a great way to get publicity for anyones website if a prize is offered... Well more than my .10 Bitcoin anyway!

Stunna is the creator of primedice and gives away a lot of money... He is already doing a lot of giveaways, and getting a lot of publicity...

marcotheminer
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September 18, 2013, 10:11:58 AM
 #24

The final 0.00000001 BTC will be mined on March 2, 2138.

You can hold me to that.  If it does not happen on that exact date look dig me up and I will give you $1000 worth of BTC.  Of course that will be exactly 0.00001 BTC on that date.  You can hold me to that also.

You seem so sure of yourself. Either way youre probably going to be dead by the time it happens so either way you wouldnt pay up!
Welsh
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September 18, 2013, 10:42:57 AM
 #25

2141.
superdry (OP)
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September 18, 2013, 06:27:10 PM
 #26

It will be much sooner - my guess is as soon as 2020
BurtW
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September 18, 2013, 07:22:30 PM
 #27

It will be much sooner - my guess is as soon as 2020
How do you figure?  By design the difficulty will adjust up or down to make the last 0.00000001 BTC arrive in about 2140.  Why would you think that the algorithm would be off by more than 100 years?  On or two years off one way or the other, maybe.  120 years off - no way.

You seem so sure of yourself. Either way youre probably going to be dead by the time it happens so either way you wouldnt pay up!
Yes, we will all be dead by then.  My point exactly.  I can make all sorts of claims and predictions about what is going to happen over 100 years from now and, since we will all be dead by then, these predictions that far out do not matter.

Our family was terrorized by Homeland Security.  Read all about it here:  http://www.jmwagner.com/ and http://www.burtw.com/  Any donations to help us recover from the $300,000 in legal fees and forced donations to the Federal Asset Forfeiture slush fund are greatly appreciated!
zeraTunerse
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September 18, 2013, 07:49:34 PM
 #28

I think me and Dabs are the closest and we should split the prize!  Smiley

I disagree, we have to wait in the spirit of fairness to be sure your closest  Tongue
nahtnam
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September 18, 2013, 07:51:30 PM
 #29

It will be much sooner - my guess is as soon as 2020
How do you figure?  By design the difficulty will adjust up or down to make the last 0.00000001 BTC arrive in about 2140.  Why would you think that the algorithm would be off by more than 100 years?  On or two years off one way or the other, maybe.  120 years off - no way.

You seem so sure of yourself. Either way youre probably going to be dead by the time it happens so either way you wouldnt pay up!
Yes, we will all be dead by then.  My point exactly.  I can make all sorts of claims and predictions about what is going to happen over 100 years from now and, since we will all be dead by then, these predictions that far out do not matter.

Haha I will give you 10000000 btc in 1000000 years

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