another coincidence not yet mentioned is that just before the incident some other
player tried to get a refund from dooglus based on the exact same cafe story (I didn't place
those bets, someone else did on my laptop left at a cafe).
This had been extensively discussed at the chat
So at the time celeste's excuse looked deliberately unconvincing, sort of "my cat jumped on the laptop."
I had been extensively discussing what I thought about JD, all of my friends knew my thoughts, my “strategy”, and some of them even tried out and won. The idea is simple enough: if you caught some patterns, you could win big and lose small. (Whether I’m in a gambler’s fallacy is beyond the topic in this post.) Any of them (even some of friends of friends) might well place bets just like me.
this "strategy" that you now admit being trivial you tried to sell for hundreds of BTC.