Sports betting Strategy -> Betting early vs. late

[A Confused Shoe]

For you sports bettors out there, do you prefer to lock in your lines early or closer to the scheduled start time?

Early:
- chance of yielding closing line value (CLV) in locking in a line that beats the market, giving you +EV bets

Late:
- more confidence in lineups, injury situations

I guess it depends on how confident your picks long-term will yield CLV based on whatever model/projections/analysis/tipsters you use. I imagine most casual betters just place their wagers closer to game-time, though they will never yield CLV.

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[xIIImaL]

For you sports bettors out there, do you prefer to lock in your lines early or closer to the scheduled start time?

Early:
- chance of yielding closing line value (CLV) in locking in a line that beats the market, giving you +EV bets

Late:
- more confidence in lineups, injury situations

I guess it depends on how confident your picks long-term will yield CLV based on whatever model/projections/analysis/tipsters you use. I imagine most casual betters just place their wagers closer to game-time, though they will never yield CLV.

I see there are plenty of the users on the betting site go with the early lock instead of waiting for odds changes to different player. I personally choose the betting option on sportsbet.io When go with the betting I will use to wait till the both team or player should be comes with the same level of odds.
The reason why I bet on the middle of the matches because odds can changes to anyone's favour we choose the player in the mid time of the match.

[A Confused Shoe]

Live betting definitely is a whole different beast in itself, definitely.

I personally place wagers as early as possible in hopes of yield closing line value and +EV bets, but that's just my preference.

[Caladonian]

I play both when I have some time to monitor the game, I do use sportbet as they offering live games, I think what is good with live games is you can
assess the players and the team's performances, though odds really change a lot, unlike with early bets where if you are lucky to pick the best one
you will be able to win much bigger but risk also much higher as factors that influence the results still unknown.

[MinerHQ]

I usually bet on cricket matches and most of the times I bet before the match begin to get better odds because many times these matches can be easily predicted if you know these teams strengths. For a quite long time, I'm following these cricket matches so some of the matches I can predict winners easily. Only a few bets I did live betting when directbet site was offering live cricket betting option but after that, I didn't try live betting.

[BossMacko]

For you sports bettors out there, do you prefer to lock in your lines early or closer to the scheduled start time?

Early:
- chance of yielding closing line value (CLV) in locking in a line that beats the market, giving you +EV bets

Late:
- more confidence in lineups, injury situations

I guess it depends on how confident your picks long-term will yield CLV based on whatever model/projections/analysis/tipsters you use. I imagine most casual betters just place their wagers closer to game-time, though they will never yield CLV.

Everytime i bet in sports i always bet early because the income if you win is larger than betting late, but of course i will do my research early and make sure that i check all the possibilities that might change before the game starts. But if my favorite team or player have a game i don't do any research anymore i just bet on them because i love watching my favorite team with thrill whatever the outcome of the game win or lose.

[Dreamchaser21]

I always bet on NBA games with my friends only and every game we bet, that's how we gamble and have some fun every time someone loss. I think in terms of sports, its good to bet on late or even every game because you can know if your team can survive to their opponent, its more safer I think.

[sheenshane]

I always bet on NBA games with my friends only and every game we bet, that's how we gamble and have some fun every time someone loss. I think in terms of sports, its good to bet on late or even every game because you can know if your team can survive to their opponent, its more safer I think.

Betting sports game is really having fun and excitement was always there that who's team is win at that moment, i tried also also betting NBA games sports and that was very having fun until the game was end at the final round. The most i must prefer sports game is the world boxing fight that games make me tense, thrill and full of excitements in every round have or did not reach the opponent in the 12 round. I bet $200 for that event with my friends but i'm not tried on this forum.

[flower1024]

Before i was doing live betting in Directbet site, it was easy to do on this site but now others sites are not that much user friendly that's why I will place my bet before the match starts. I can predict some games like Cricket, Tennis, Football have good knowledge on this games.

[sportbettor]

List of all popular betting strategies see here: http://sportstatist.com/betting-strategies/

[Wendigo]

You place a pre-match bet. Then if your pre-match bet is going south fast you place a live bet which will hopefully hedge your earlier position and secure you a profit. It's not rocket science. Of course it's possible that you might end up being unlucky twice which would be very unfortunate.

[JL421]

There isn't a big difference both are almost same the lineups can make a little difference but betting late is preferred for most betters as they feel something might change
If you don't want risk of lineup change bet during the match the only way you lose is if the team doesn't perform well otherwise all the other predictions of lineup remains same

[btcdevil]

For you sports bettors out there, do you prefer to lock in your lines early or closer to the scheduled start time?

Early:
- chance of yielding closing line value (CLV) in locking in a line that beats the market, giving you +EV bets

Late:
- more confidence in lineups, injury situations

I guess it depends on how confident your picks long-term will yield CLV based on whatever model/projections/analysis/tipsters you use. I imagine most casual betters just place their wagers closer to game-time, though they will never yield CLV.

It depends on the gambler if he is available for live inplay game then i think it is much better to bet in inplay match as you will get some high odds and also know the situation of the match. In some matches where you are confident about the results then you can go before match bet also as some time odds fell down as soon as the match starts.

[Bolt Brownie]

Most of the times I prefer betting close to the start of the game, because I have more reliable information at that time. Like you said a team might end up losing a key player due to injury, and that might affect the price. Of course that if I see an odd that I think it has value, I will take it, but I will never forget that bet and let it go in play without checking it's price again and the news.

I'm used to do trading, so I have no problems in closing my bet pre-live either with profit or a loss, depending on how the odd changed. Even if I just bet closer to the start of the game, I normally see the game live, and make more bets to lock profit or reduce loss, depending on how the game goes. I'm not a true punter, and I know a will leave a lot of money on the table, because of this, but I also get out of some bad situations.

It has been working for me so far, so most of the times, I make multiple bets on the same event, and it looks more like I'm trading than just betting.

[reactorjuno]

Most of the times I prefer betting close to the start of the game, because I have more reliable information at that time.

Very bad idea.

Value is easier to be found when betting EARLY, simply because less bets have been placed, and therefore the odds are still not close to real probabilities of the different outcomes.

Pinnacle allows VERY HIGH STAKES close to the start of an event for a reason: because they know the lines are very close to the real probabilities of the different possible outcomes, therefore they will make money thanks to the margin applied on each odds.

When I was betting at Pinnacle, I found great value when they open the odds, especially in Davis Cup (tennis) and I remember they allowed me only 400 EUR stakes for one bet, not more until the odds dropped. Actually I could make the odds move by myself just with a bet of 400 EUR. It of course does not happen (on big markets) close to the start of an event.

It's extremely difficult to find a value bet close to the start of the event.


PS: Live betting is only recommended at Betfair Exchange, everywhere else they increase the margin on odds, which makes it impossible to get value.

[BlockEye]

Most of the times I prefer betting close to the start of the game, because I have more reliable information at that time. Like you said a team might end up losing a key player due to injury, and that might affect the price. Of course that if I see an odd that I think it has value, I will take it, but I will never forget that bet and let it go in play without checking it's price again and the news.

I'm used to do trading, so I have no problems in closing my bet pre-live either with profit or a loss, depending on how the odd changed. Even if I just bet closer to the start of the game, I normally see the game live, and make more bets to lock profit or reduce loss, depending on how the game goes. I'm not a true punter, and I know a will leave a lot of money on the table, because of this, but I also get out of some bad situations.

It has been working for me so far, so most of the times, I make multiple bets on the same event, and it looks more like I'm trading than just betting.

Scenarios like that will varies on what type of sports , or if we really have specific team or individual we support, in any sports we need to know their backgrounds as well their preparation upon training before we do bets unless we idolized that boxer that we will immediately bet on their side. Betting becomes trading only when some news or so called fuds happen upn preparation that changes our mind to do another bets.

[poplolnman]

You place a pre-match bet. Then if your pre-match bet is going south fast you place a live bet which will hopefully hedge your earlier position and secure you a profit. It's not rocket science. Of course it's possible that you might end up being unlucky twice which would be very unfortunate.

Yeah it's work for me sometimes and risk to get loss even more are there indeed, at least worth to give it a shot. Gambling never fun when you stay on the safe line. So just go for both and take your profit two times or go home in broke. The odds so interesting when you do bet close to the game or in live .

[13abyknight]

For me, I don't find much time to sit down and analyse sports on the go, especially during live games. Placing wagers before the game begins while being able to salvage decent odds by comparing a few sport books is my thing. The only odd thing that I find in live betting is that the odds are always skewed hard on one side, and in a wager where everything relies on odds, it gets hard win any decent money for the amount of risk involved in overhauling upset.

[harizen]

For you sports bettors out there, do you prefer to lock in your lines early or closer to the scheduled start time?

Early:
- chance of yielding closing line value (CLV) in locking in a line that beats the market, giving you +EV bets

Late:
- more confidence in lineups, injury situations

I guess it depends on how confident your picks long-term will yield CLV based on whatever model/projections/analysis/tipsters you use. I imagine most casual betters just place their wagers closer to game-time, though they will never yield CLV.

As long as I saw good odds, then I will placed bets whether early or late.

Sometimes there are cases that the bet will closed even it's just still few hours before the game. Aside from that, I sometimes placing multiple bets on the same match like for example betting prior to game and betting on the actual game (live betting) but of course like I said, as long as I saw good odds.

It doesn't matter to me whether I will bet early or not. I do have lots of knowledge about my preferred sports so that is my advantage.

[Oilacris]

For you sports bettors out there, do you prefer to lock in your lines early or closer to the scheduled start time?

Early:
- chance of yielding closing line value (CLV) in locking in a line that beats the market, giving you +EV bets

Late:
- more confidence in lineups, injury situations

I guess it depends on how confident your picks long-term will yield CLV based on whatever model/projections/analysis/tipsters you use. I imagine most casual betters just place their wagers closer to game-time, though they will never yield CLV.

As long as I saw good odds, then I will placed bets whether early or late.

Sometimes there are cases that the bet will closed even it's just still few hours before the game. Aside from that, I sometimes placing multiple bets on the same match like for example betting prior to game and betting on the actual game (live betting) but of course like I said, as long as I saw good odds.

It doesn't matter to me whether I will bet early or not. I do have lots of knowledge about my preferred sports so that is my advantage.

Having the same kind of behavior when it comes to sports betting which I don't really care at all on which time I would put as long I can see good odds or any other advantages or opportunities I do directly make any bets without minding if its too early or too late.This is my own way of betting style too which I have been using for years on playing sports betting.