eMansipater (OP)
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February 01, 2011, 09:09:52 AM |
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What's the smallest machine you've ever found a block on? Or, to compare most fairly across changing difficulties, who can come up with the "least probably block" story? For example, I mine with slush's pool on a GPU but have an older laptop that mines solo just for the heck of it. At it's average hashrate and the current difficulty it should find a block once every 3 or 4 years. If I had turned it on and successfully generated a block the first day, that would definitely qualify for this thread. But I didn't. So here's to vicariously enjoying other people's luck! Looking forward to some good stories I hope.
Sincerely, eMansipater
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rebuilder
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February 01, 2011, 09:14:30 AM |
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Just what are the odds, anyway? Since mid-december I've managed to generate 200 BTC on a system that gives me about 45 Mhash/sec, only generating at nighttime and weekends. The first block was using just the 12 CPU cores, found it about two weeks into mining.
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Mahkul
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February 01, 2011, 09:20:07 AM |
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Last week I managed to solve a block using a 65Mhash machine roughly one hour after I turned the miner on! ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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eMansipater (OP)
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February 01, 2011, 09:31:33 AM |
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@ rebuilder The odds for my example can be crudely estimated at 1 in 1200 or so based on the 'average time' to find a block for that hashrate. This is, of course, the same odds of that machine finding a block on any particular day, but we humans are psychologically biased towards early windfalls, so the earlier finds are more important to us ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) . In your case you could also get a crude estimate for that first block by taking the average time from http://www.alloscomp.com/bitcoin/calculator.php for your machine's cpu-only hashrate, and then adjusting for the proportion of days that you mine, with your final odds being (#of days you actually mined to find it) : (#of days you should have mined on average). The overall take in the past month and a half is more complicated to estimate, but you're welcome to do that too if you want ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) @Mahkul odds around 1 in 404 Nice!!
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Mahkul
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February 01, 2011, 09:48:35 AM |
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Looking at "luck" from a different perspective, I haven't generated any blocks using a 300Mhash card for the last two weeks roughly.
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rebuilder
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February 01, 2011, 09:49:09 AM |
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Well, on rough estimates of my hash rate it seems over the course of 1.5 months I've found four blocks where on average one would be expected to find one.
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MrMagic
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February 01, 2011, 05:47:51 PM |
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I have generated one block, in slush's pool, with my laptop GPU running at about 5500 khash/s (9650m). My desktop GPU and CPU have not generated any blocks yet. Desktop GPU gets about 68000 khash/s (460 gtx) and CPU (q6600) gets about 2100 khash/s with 2 cores in use. I first learned about bitcoin about a two weeks ago so I was pretty amazed my laptop generated one so fast.
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Ricochet
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February 01, 2011, 11:10:46 PM |
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Closest thing I even have to this would be gaining a share in slush's pool within 3 seconds of turning on the mining client. For a 5-year old desktop with a CPU hash rate of 700 khash/s, this was actually a major accomplishment, hehe.
Chances are very high I'll never find a block. Even using the desktop, the laptop GPU, and both laptop CPU cores, my combined rate is still less than 5,000 khash/s. Kinda a shame, but I didn't spend money on extra hardware so it's not like I have to make up the difference.
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eMansipater (OP)
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February 02, 2011, 06:48:52 AM |
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I have generated one block, in slush's pool, with my laptop GPU running at about 5500 khash/s (9650m). My desktop GPU and CPU have not generated any blocks yet. Desktop GPU gets about 68000 khash/s (460 gtx) and CPU (q6600) gets about 2100 khash/s with 2 cores in use. I first learned about bitcoin about a two weeks ago so I was pretty amazed my laptop generated one so fast.
Nice! around 1 in 15 odds to get one that quickly on the laptop, so not bad--the average time to find one would be 200 days. And the chances of your laptop beating your desktop to the first block were only about 1 in 12, so pretty decent there too.
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eMansipater (OP)
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February 09, 2011, 02:30:38 AM |
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How's this for a beautiful fluke? Block 866 found by Slush's mining pool was only the third share submitted for a round, 7 seconds after it began (average round time is 45 mins or so). Those three people got a 16.6666 bitcoin bonus today in 7 seconds. Not bad for pooled mining!
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If you found my post helpful, feel free to send a small tip to 1QGukeKbBQbXHtV6LgkQa977LJ3YHXXW8B Visit the BitCoin Q&A Site to ask questions or share knowledge. 0.009 BTC too confusing? Use mBTC instead! Details at www.em-bit.org or visit the project thread to help make Bitcoin prices more human-friendly.
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Cryptoman
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February 09, 2011, 03:43:18 AM |
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I have one HD 5870 that generated three blocks in one day last Sunday. I have other GPUs, notably a 5770 and 5850, that have been hashing for weeks with nothing to show for it. The slowest GPU has over 50% of the hash rate of the fastest GPU, so it makes no sense at all.
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"A small body of determined spirits fired by an unquenchable faith in their mission can alter the course of history." --Gandhi
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eMansipater (OP)
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February 09, 2011, 03:50:35 AM |
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Yeah, I have a 5770 that I switch bag and forth between solo and pooled mining on whimsy. In the last month I've earned 150 coins from pooled but nothing from solo despite hashing for much longer than the average time to find a block. Just a couple rounds before the awesome round above I switched it back to solo. D'OH! True randomness is such a foreign concept to the human mind, though. You practically have to physically restrain yourself from trying to find some sort of meaning in it. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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If you found my post helpful, feel free to send a small tip to 1QGukeKbBQbXHtV6LgkQa977LJ3YHXXW8B Visit the BitCoin Q&A Site to ask questions or share knowledge. 0.009 BTC too confusing? Use mBTC instead! Details at www.em-bit.org or visit the project thread to help make Bitcoin prices more human-friendly.
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