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Author Topic: What do you think about this chart?  (Read 210 times)
Xardasim
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March 16, 2018, 12:18:19 PM
 #21

You should be okay, everything will be good. Bad news is coming out every week in the last 3 months and will continue to come out again. We should to improve this situation and increase our profit, because nothing growing in these days, if we HODL coins.

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Eternu
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March 16, 2018, 02:17:18 PM
 #22

You should be okay, everything will be good. Bad news is coming out every week in the last 3 months and will continue to come out again. We should to improve this situation and increase our profit, because nothing growing in these days, if we HODL coins.

I think I understand what you wanted to say, despite your bad Englesh.

Most of people think that they can become rich simply by holding their coins, and that was possible before. But now when the hype is gone, holding coins can only bring the price down. If transactions are not constant, price will start falling. And because of that, people will slowly lose their interest in bitcoin.

Holders should understand this, and they should start using some portion of their coins. Because if we continue like this, we will lose even more money... instead of earning it.
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March 16, 2018, 02:28:50 PM
 #23

I started thinking that this correction is more sever than I expected.
It's more severe than we ever thought because bitcoin reached $20,000 and this is the highest price that it went through so witnessing it to plummet is really giving us doubt.

there is actually a very good point here. people often forget that the highest price was $20,000 and with current price you can say that bitcoin has lost 60% of its value and if you take the bottom which was reached a while back then you can see the dump was nearly -70%
so yeah, we already had something like 2014 dump. the question is how much bigger should it become before the market makers decide that is enough?

We must take note also of how much bitcoin has gained in the same span of time. People only care for it's price loss and disregarding the growth it was obtained on a short period of time. 2014 price crash also have different associated events why price crash happened.

No it's definitely not like the 2014 dump for me. Really a big difference in many aspects and "trend".

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March 16, 2018, 02:48:14 PM
 #24

You should be okay, everything will be good. Bad news is coming out every week in the last 3 months and will continue to come out again. We should to improve this situation and increase our profit, because nothing growing in these days, if we HODL coins.
what do you mean nothing growing in this days If we Hold coins?there will be more thing happening if we will just hold our coins,the value will not drop rapidly because of this action,,i dont believe that 2014 chart is what happing now ,this is only correction and in just a months things will backo normal,hold on,hold still

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March 16, 2018, 11:43:38 PM
 #25

I started thinking that this correction is more sever than I expected.
It's more severe than we ever thought because bitcoin reached $20,000 and this is the highest price that it went through so witnessing it to plummet is really giving us doubt.

there is actually a very good point here. people often forget that the highest price was $20,000 and with current price you can say that bitcoin has lost 60% of its value and if you take the bottom which was reached a while back then you can see the dump was nearly -70%
so yeah, we already had something like 2014 dump. the question is how much bigger should it become before the market makers decide that is enough?

We must take note also of how much bitcoin has gained in the same span of time. People only care for it's price loss and disregarding the growth it was obtained on a short period of time. 2014 price crash also have different associated events why price crash happened.

No it's definitely not like the 2014 dump for me. Really a big difference in many aspects and "trend".
This is my point. We tend to think that the plummet has given bitcoin a big loss but we all just good with even $5,000 before right? Those who keeps on whining with the price fall doesn't really care about bitcoin. When the price goes up, they are quiet and comfortable that it won't go down forever and they never understand bitcoin is volatile. The market can shake any time it will when market movers decided to do an impact.

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March 17, 2018, 01:52:15 AM
 #26

In my own opinion, I do usally think that the chart is most times shouldn't be fully used to contantly looked to predict or believe the next bitcoin price or action because it sometimes clouds ones thought. Maybe 2014 event will take place again in a massive way or maybe not. We are yet to see Whatever this year has to offer for bitcoin, it might come to hit us when we least expect.

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March 17, 2018, 09:03:57 PM
 #27

Unfortunately I can't say anything about the chart because it says incorrect image. The link must've broken or the image got deleted.
If you're trying to compare the current situation with 2014 it's similar but also different. Similar because  both times we had a huge correction. Different because back then there was no adoption and much less people on the market.

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March 18, 2018, 08:40:55 PM
 #28

I started thinking that this correction is more sever than I expected.
It's more severe than we ever thought because bitcoin reached $20,000 and this is the highest price that it went through so witnessing it to plummet is really giving us doubt.

there is actually a very good point here. people often forget that the highest price was $20,000 and with current price you can say that bitcoin has lost 60% of its value and if you take the bottom which was reached a while back then you can see the dump was nearly -70%
so yeah, we already had something like 2014 dump. the question is how much bigger should it become before the market makers decide that is enough?

We must take note also of how much bitcoin has gained in the same span of time. People only care for it's price loss and disregarding the growth it was obtained on a short period of time. 2014 price crash also have different associated events why price crash happened.

No it's definitely not like the 2014 dump for me. Really a big difference in many aspects and "trend".
This is my point. We tend to think that the plummet has given bitcoin a big loss but we all just good with even $5,000 before right? Those who keeps on whining with the price fall doesn't really care about bitcoin. When the price goes up, they are quiet and comfortable that it won't go down forever and they never understand bitcoin is volatile. The market can shake any time it will when market movers decided to do an impact.

If we were to follow anything similar to 2014 it would mean the price has a long way to slide. Following 2014 crash the price fell about 85%. That would mean a price of $3000 which still seems a way away now. I don't believe that crypto is able to sleep for 3 years like it did after the 2014 crash, there's too much attention and interest now that whatever happens this time around is going to be in a much shorter period. We'll either recover in the next year or be completely wiped out.

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March 18, 2018, 10:59:43 PM
 #29

There's a thing called the 'gambler's fallacy' that I think could apply here...  Just because BTC did something in the past doesn't mean it will do it again in the future.  It obv will make our assumptions biased.

sure, there's an element of that. but statistical truisms don't directly apply to markets. no two market conditions play out exactly the same. when it comes to markets and price fractals, i think of it more like history does not repeat itself, but it rhymes.

if you've been trading this market for years and years, you start to notice conditions like historically similar fractals and volatility squeezes. those conditions form EV+ opportunities. while there is no guarantee that a fractal or squeeze will perform the same as it did historically, they probably do more than 50% of the time.

that doesn't matter though. the important thing is that these patterns can provide discrete boundaries for entries, exits and stop losses. being a successful trader is more about risk/reward and bankroll management than predicting things correctly.

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March 19, 2018, 03:15:50 AM
 #30

There's a thing called the 'gambler's fallacy' that I think could apply here...  Just because BTC did something in the past doesn't mean it will do it again in the future.  It obv will make our assumptions biased.
Yes many people just assume that if a correction is looking like a past correction it will follow its footsteps. Each and every correction or bull run is unique for bitcoin, it may be similar to a previous one. Each time there are several factors which decide the trajectory of the price, for example in 2014 bitcoin had far less users than now, this a major factor.
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March 19, 2018, 05:04:56 AM
 #31

I started thinking that this correction is more sever than I expected. I thought we were in small 4th correction and target was 50k usd. However now I see that we are some like in mid 2014. Please chech my analysis below and comment


Yes, I don't thing bitcoin will reach $50k this year. We just have another dips and I think it is really a big dip this year, maybe better to do is just not to expect more with bitcoin this year. Expecting too much will just hurt us.



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March 19, 2018, 07:30:12 AM
 #32

I started thinking that this correction is more sever than I expected. I thought we were in small 4th correction and target was 50k usd. However now I see that we are some like in mid 2014. Please chech my analysis below and comment



unfortunately, I cannot see the image but if I take a look at the market, we have a similar trend like a few years ago but I still not sure because the price is up and down too often. but maybe this is the way that bitcoin need to reach a new highest price for bitcoin and soon we can increase higher. but personally, I am not sure that the price has a new target at $50k because I think we still far far away from that price and maybe $20k-$25k is a realistic price for bitcoin in this year.

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March 19, 2018, 06:50:11 PM
 #33

I started thinking that this correction is more sever than I expected. I thought we were in small 4th correction and target was 50k usd. However now I see that we are some like in mid 2014. Please chech my analysis below and comment


The growth of bitcoin was really unexpected, but what was expected was in fact a huge decrease in the price, it was impossible to maintain a price so high for a long time so if your target is 50k then the only thing that I could say is that you will have to wait for a few years for to happen but we will need to get into another bubble, if you want to see 50k as a stable price it is likely you will need to wait a lot longer.

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June 11, 2018, 02:16:14 PM
 #34

a lot of things are very different from 2014 (for good or worse) the market is so much bigger, a lot of different people from different countries are involved including the Wall Street bastards.
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June 13, 2018, 08:19:33 PM
 #35

You should be okay, everything will be good. Bad news is coming out every week in the last 3 months and will continue to come out again. We should to improve this situation and increase our profit, because nothing growing in these days, if we HODL coins.
  I think there is nothing to worry about if the price of bitcoin goes to decreases because it is normal for bitcoin, as it is a digital currency. The price of digital currencies varies within seconds I think we should be patient and in very small time interval the price of bitcoin will regain again because always its price increases when it is decreased and I think the same is happening again.
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