Cryptocurrency is something that you can never predict no matter how good you are with TA and charts. Always expect the unexpected when it comes to crypto markets.
This is important, as the op suggest I also think that the price of bitcoin will go up by then of the year or the next year, it is almost inevitable, but I think that cryptocurrencies are unpredictable and we need to be prepared just in case the price goes down, that way we are not going to be surprised when that happens we will be prepared to accept the fact that we will need to hold for many years before seeing any kind of profit.