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Author Topic: UFC Fight Night 30: Machida vs. Munoz -Saturday, October 26 BETTING PICKS!*  (Read 1606 times)
krach (OP)
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October 23, 2013, 07:57:45 PM
 #1

This sat is UFC Fight Night 30: Machida vs. Munoz
It is a free event and takes place in the UK. As with a lot of the UFC free events there are plenty of lesser known fighters.
I simply do not have time to go and do enough research on all of the fights but I am going to offer my advice for the main and co-main event.
When people say "styles make fights" they are right. You need to do your research and know how the styles pair to each other, do not fall for people that give you a lot of stats ,take downs attempted per round, strikes per round blahblah. Yes that info does have a place but you should never base your betting on such data. Also keep in mind that although sometimes you may be able to pick a winner, it doesnt mean that it is a good bet, is it a good value? Enough with all the talk here are the two picks:

Lyoto Machida vs. Mark Munoz
Machida to win - pays 1.28 at Bitbook.biz
Machida is hard to take down and is much better in stand up than Munoz.
Machida also has some brutal knees if Munoz gets careless with take down attempts.
This is a five round fight but neither of these guys should have any problems with their
gas tank.


Ross Pearson vs. Melvin Guillard *
Under 1.5 rounds - pays 2.15 at Bitbook.biz
*I orginaly wanted to place a "do not bet" on this one. Guillard allthough a great figher is a nightmare for abetting man.
He is highly skilled, but his "fighter IQ" (ability to stick to a game plan) has been lacking in lots of his losses.
However. I do not see this thing going 3 rounds and if you have the option of FOTN (fight of the night) as a prop bet then I would go with this one.
Therefore IF* you are going to bet on this fight then 2.15 for under 1.5 rounds is a good value and a kind of "underdog" bet.

I cant make any good picks for the rest of the fights. Do your reasearch before you bet, dont bet blind! At the moment from what I can tell Bitbook.biz has the best odds on MMA.

Styles make Fights

Do you run a sports betting website? Send me your affilate info and odds for MMA, lets talk.

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October 23, 2013, 08:43:13 PM
 #2

We wanted to share our odds with you and selection of fights for the weekend. 



Also, please signup here http://www.betcoinpartners.com/user/register for our affiliate program which we will be making some big improvements over the next few weeks but you can earn from the players you bring to the website now. 

Good luck everyone.

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October 23, 2013, 08:45:04 PM
 #3

This sat is UFC Fight Night 30: Machida vs. Munoz
It is a free event and takes place in the UK. As with a lot of the UFC free events there are plenty of lesser known fighters.
I simply do not have time to go and do enough research on all of the fights but I am going to offer my advice for the main and co-main event.
When people say "styles make fights" they are right. You need to do your research and know how the styles pair to each other, do not fall for people that give you a lot of stats ,take downs attempted per round, strikes per round blahblah. Yes that info does have a place but you should never base your betting on such data. Also keep in mind that although sometimes you may be able to pick a winner, it doesnt mean that it is a good bet, is it a good value? Enough with all the talk here are the two picks:

Lyoto Machida vs. Mark Munoz
Machida to win - pays 1.28 at Bitbook.biz
Machida is hard to take down and is much better in stand up than Munoz.
Machida also has some brutal knees if Munoz gets careless with take down attempts.
This is a five round fight but neither of these guys should have any problems with their
gas tank.


Ross Pearson vs. Melvin Guillard *
Under 1.5 rounds - pays 2.15 at Bitbook.biz
*I orginaly wanted to place a "do not bet" on this one. Guillard allthough a great figher is a nightmare for abetting man.
He is highly skilled, but his "fighter IQ" (ability to stick to a game plan) has been lacking in lots of his losses.
However. I do not see this thing going 3 rounds and if you have the option of FOTN (fight of the night) as a prop bet then I would go with this one.
Therefore IF* you are going to bet on this fight then 2.15 for under 1.5 rounds is a good value and a kind of "underdog" bet.

I cant make any good picks for the rest of the fights. Do your reasearch before you bet, dont bet blind! At the moment from what I can tell Bitbook.biz has the best odds on MMA.

Styles make Fights

Do you run a sports betting website? Send me your affilate info and odds for MMA, lets talk.


will be watching closely bro GL!
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October 24, 2013, 03:48:27 AM
 #4

I think Machida will take the win. He has shown excellent take down defense in the past and will be able to beat Munoz on his feet. If Munoz does happen to take him down Machida still has an excellent ground game.

Pearson v. Guillard will definitely not go the distance. I think Guillard will bring his A game and be able to over power and knock out Pearson.

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October 24, 2013, 05:01:48 AM
 #5

Come check us out at CasinoBitco.in:

UFC / MMA Odds         
Date   Time   Match-up   Money Line
10/26/2013   17:30   Mark Munoz   +285 / 3.85 
      Lyoto Machida   -360 / 1.28 
10/26/2013   16:55   Ross Pearson   +115 / 2.15 
      Melvin Guillard   -145 / 1.69 
10/26/2013   16:25   Ryan Jimmo   +150 / 2.50 
      Jimi Manuwa   -180 / 1.56 
10/26/2013   15:55   Jon Tuck   +130 / 2.30 
      Norman Parke   -160 / 1.63 
10/26/2013   15:25   Nicholas Musoke   +180 / 2.80 
      Alessio Sakara   -220 / 1.45 
10/26/2013   15:05   Phil Harris   +300 / 4.00 
      John Lineker   -400 / 1.25 
10/26/2013   14:20   Piotr Hallmann   +130 / 2.30 
      Al Iaquinta   -160 / 1.63 
10/26/2013   13:55   Luke Barnatt   +150 / 2.50 
      Andrew Craig   -180 / 1.56 
10/26/2013   13:25   Jessica Andrade   +105 / 2.05 
      Rosi Sexton   -135 / 1.74 
10/26/2013   13:00   Andy Ogle   +140 / 2.40 
      Cole Miller   -170 / 1.59 
10/26/2013   12:25   Robert Whiteford   +400 / 5.00 
      Jimy Hettes   -550 / 1.18 
10/26/2013   11:45   Bradley Scott   +230 / 3.30 
      Michael Kuiper   -290 / 1.34 
10/25/2013   22:25   Saad Awad   +135 / 2.35 
      Will Brooks   -165 / 1.61 
10/25/2013   21:55   Ricardo Tirloni   +300 / 4.00 
      Alexander Sarnavskiy   -400 / 1.25 
10/25/2013   21:25   Ron Sparks   +275 / 3.75 
      Siala Siliga   -350 / 1.29 
12/31/2013   22:00   Jon Jones   -600 / 1.17 
      Glover Teixeira   +425 / 5.25 
11/9/2013   23:00   Dan Henderson   +220 / 3.20 
      Vitor Belfort   -280 / 1.36 
11/16/2013   23:00   Georges St-Pierre   -225 / 1.44 
      Johny Hendricks   +185 / 2.85 
11/16/2013   22:00   Chael Sonnen   +130 / 2.30 
      Rashad Evans   -160 / 1.63 

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October 24, 2013, 07:32:53 AM
 #6

rashad evans looks good at those odds
krach (OP)
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October 24, 2013, 10:39:32 PM
 #7

"Pearson v. Guillard will definitely not go the distance. I think Guillard will bring his A game and be able to over power and knock out Pearson."
Yea could be, it could also go the other way that Guillard goes totaly nuts in the first 2 min and fights like he is in a video game and Person just waits for his chance. This should be a good one!

"rashad evans looks good at those odds"
Yea thats true, I will take a look at that one. I donno about betting on fights with Sonnen. No matter what you think of him he always sticks to his gameplan relentlessly, very disiplined. Sometimes Rashad has trouble with people that like to get all up in his face that he cant just take down. Looking at that one now, too hot for me and its a -Do not bet- Have to see if the rounds, method of victory or FOTN bets are worth it, is that going to be a 3 or 5 round fight? Another upcoming fights that look like a good value are 11/9/2013   23:00   Dan Henderson   +220 / 3.20   Georges St-Pierre   -225 / 1.44 When was the last time GSP was anywhere near 1.44!?!  I will get to that later though.


Sports Books, I dont think any of you offer the prop bets Method of Victory or Fight of the night, do you plan on adding them?




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October 24, 2013, 11:02:11 PM
 #8

"Pearson v. Guillard will definitely not go the distance. I think Guillard will bring his A game and be able to over power and knock out Pearson."
Yea could be, it could also go the other way that Guillard goes totaly nuts in the first 2 min and fights like he is in a video game and Person just waits for his chance. This should be a good one!

"rashad evans looks good at those odds"
Yea thats true, I will take a look at that one. I donno about betting on fights with Sonnen. No matter what you think of him he always sticks to his gameplan relentlessly, very disiplined. Sometimes Rashad has trouble with people that like to get all up in his face that he cant just take down. Looking at that one now, too hot for me and its a -Do not bet- Have to see if the rounds, method of victory or FOTN bets are worth it, is that going to be a 3 or 5 round fight? Another upcoming fights that look like a good value are 11/9/2013   23:00   Dan Henderson   +220 / 3.20  Georges St-Pierre   -225 / 1.44 When was the last time GSP was anywhere near 1.44!?!  I will get to that later though.


Sports Books, I dont think any of you offer the prop bets Method of Victory or Fight of the night, do you plan on adding them?





Great question. We do plan on adding a large selection of UFC and other props.

Not available yet - will keep you posted - Should be in the next week or two!

krach (OP)
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October 26, 2013, 01:21:38 PM
 #9

I will be commentating via twitter for most of the event. Follow me at
http://twitter.com/fightv1

Made a little video , not perfect but its a start
http://goanimate.com/videos/0l_128AgWr88?utm_source=linkshare&utm_medium=linkshare&utm_campaign=usercontent



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krach (OP)
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October 26, 2013, 09:47:09 PM
 #10

Machida to win - pays 1.28 at Bitbook.biz WIN CORRECT

Ross Pearson vs. Melvin Guillard *
Under 1.5 rounds - pays 2.15 at Bitbook.biz  NO CONTEST ALL MONEY SHOULD BE REFUNDED even though I was right, it was over in the 1st round Wink no contest due to an illegal blow in the 1st, was a close but correct call.



I will make a new post when it gets closer to the next event.

Sports books if you have affialte programs and or are adding new prop bets like fight of the night knockout of the night and method of victory let me know so I can include them in my picks.




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