Your question is not stupid though, just put this in the proper section(Trading Discussion) and you would be fine.
Yes, no one can really tell what will happen next but IMO Bitcoin downfall(they all say) as of this moment is okay since the December all time high in price was oversold so it needs to breath as there is no straight to the moon in an instant, if there is then that's for sure a scam, luckily Bitcoin is not.
Search Segwit relating to Lightning Network implementation and this will surely answer your question and doubts because for me once this are ready to take part of the network of Bitcoin then before 2 months or even a much earlier time the price of it will increase drastically, actually for now there is no reason for Bitcoin to bull or bear, it's all about corrections and the likes of what happened last year(for me).
Thanks, noted...
and also thanks for beiuung nice to the new guy with dumb questions....