Puppet (OP)
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October 27, 2013, 09:12:18 AM Last edit: October 29, 2013, 08:48:45 PM by Puppet |
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IM curious how many bitcoin securities ended up paying their investors more than was invested originally. With your help, Id like to compile a list.
Successful means the asset issuer returned to its investors more than the IPO price either through dividends or through buy back, so I am not interested in reading how you successfully flipped some shares. If you can, please list the amount of BTC raised through IPO and how much was returned.
I will include ongoing securities only if the outcome is already clear. To get this list started:
Successful
SatoshiDice: raised 320,000 BTC (not sure if all shares were sold at 0.0032?) returned to shareholders: 423,865 (350K buyback, rest in dividends) Profit ratio: 32%
AsicMiner: raised 16,000 BTC (?) returned to shareholders: 80,000 Profit ratio: 400%
Unsuccessful
GigaMining raised (?) returned to shareholders: ? Profit ratio:?
BTCS&T raised (?) returned to shareholders: ? Profit ratio:?
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Puppet (OP)
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October 27, 2013, 10:47:18 AM |
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Very interesting project I guess you can always say you are successful before paying more than what is invested (share price steadily above IPO and reasonable dividends); but it's not objectively measurable. If the security somehow has to stop before paying enough dividends, or dividends start to dwindle, it would end up as a failure. Im ignoring share price, ongoing securities that havent paid dividends anywhere near their IPO price wouldnt be listed as success or failure, unless its very obvious they will / will not return their IPO price to their investors. Heck, Im not even listing labcoin yet .
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Sou
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(Bitcoin related text here)
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October 27, 2013, 10:52:25 AM |
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I like this. Good idea.
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ethought
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October 27, 2013, 04:35:12 PM |
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There are successful Bitcoin securities??
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stslimited
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October 27, 2013, 04:54:07 PM |
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Good that you want to make some statistics but I am wondering what your end goal is. There have been some hilarious mismanagement in cryptocurrency securities but in the broader market most companies fail, so I'm not sure what this analysis will help with.
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ex-trader
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October 27, 2013, 07:59:56 PM |
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so I'm not sure what this analysis will help with.
It might provoke people to make just a little more thought and due diligence before believing any old rubbish that is spouted with an IPO, when they realise thats lots of IPOs cause losses. I would split it into 4 categories: 1. Proven profits = divs paid incl any buyback already exceeds IPO price. eg SDice and AM 2. Proven value = divs + current price exceeds IPO price ie you have not received them yet but could cash out at a profit 3. Likely loss = divs + current price is lower than IPO ie if you closed out now you'd be down 4. Proven loss = company closed and divs + payout was less than IPO (you lost BTC)
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Puppet (OP)
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October 28, 2013, 07:18:17 AM |
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Good that you want to make some statistics but I am wondering what your end goal is. There have been some hilarious mismanagement in cryptocurrency securities but in the broader market most companies fail, so I'm not sure what this analysis will help with.
Its true that in the "real world" most startups fail, but you shouldnt look at that percentage. Ive recently seen the stats of a local business angel network, only one out of six funded projects is successful, yet overall the angel investors still averaged 20+% profit per year. The number of assets isnt important, its the ratio of money invested vs money lost. Thats why it would be interesting to list bitcoin securities along with the actual numbers. But if no one else is gong to dig up some numbers, this wont go anywhere.
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BitThink
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October 28, 2013, 09:04:23 AM Last edit: October 28, 2013, 11:13:42 AM by BitThink |
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For AM:
If I am not wrong, they issued 200K shares at 0.1BTC, and the dividend up till now is more than 0.5 (it's not difficult to get the dividend history). So the profit ratio is more than 500%.
2013-10-25 09:20 ฿ 1.39789956 373 0.00374772 COMPLETE 2013-10-17 10:15 ฿ 2.73023268 677 0.00403284 COMPLETE 2013-10-10 01:43 ฿ 139.69505568 28741 0.00486048 COMPLETE 2013-10-04 19:47 ฿ 231.06529527 28871 0.00800337 COMPLETE 2013-09-26 08:57 ฿ 255.40751925 29025 0.00879957 COMPLETE 2013-09-19 09:27 ฿ 299.66880390 30974 0.00967485 COMPLETE 2013-09-11 22:49 ฿ 419.41155912 30939 0.01355608 COMPLETE 2013-09-05 00:53 ฿ 431.18523744 30707 0.01404192 COMPLETE 2013-08-28 22:34 ฿ 376.70805060 30380 0.01239987 COMPLETE 2013-08-22 02:29 ฿ 360.79287132 29428 0.01226019 COMPLETE 2013-08-15 02:47 ฿ 581.38948369 27721 0.02097289 COMPLETE 2013-08-08 00:23 ฿ 687.53374245 27981 0.02457145 COMPLETE 2013-08-01 08:21 ฿ 483.41721208 26006 0.01858868 COMPLETE 2013-07-24 23:52 ฿ 610.93044093 25393 0.02405901 COMPLETE 2013-07-18 02:00 ฿ 695.99218404 27437 0.02536692 COMPLETE 2013-07-11 02:39 ฿ 546.32991655 26323 0.02075485 COMPLETE 2013-07-03 19:59 ฿ 560.52004050 24402 0.02297025 COMPLETE 2013-06-27 00:13 ฿ 457.03543158 23582 0.01938069 COMPLETE 2013-06-20 02:02 ฿ 420.46998732 23229 0.01810108 COMPLETE 2013-06-12 22:15 ฿ 823.77172944 22704 0.03628311 COMPLETE 2013-06-06 07:43 ฿ 878.67500358 23034 0.03814687 COMPLETE 2013-05-30 08:31 ฿ 570.98149548 21516 0.02653753 COMPLETE 2013-05-23 07:01 ฿ 390.46812540 18735 0.02084164 COMPLETE 2013-05-15 20:36 ฿ 528.61829130 14593 0.03622410 COMPLETE 2013-05-08 20:13 ฿ 152.87585529 13791 0.01108519 COMPLETE 2013-05-02 06:51 ฿ 91.97099990 12506 0.00735415 COMPLETE 2013-04-24 20:56 ฿ 89.86084312 11624 0.00773063 COMPLETE 2013-04-17 19:26 ฿ 71.40806268 10249 0.00696732 COMPLETE 2013-04-10 23:20 ฿ 70.28684325 10105 0.00695565 COMPLETE 2013-04-03 22:05 ฿ 14.75307469 5773 0.00255553 COMPLETE 2013-03-28 01:15 ฿ 23.94105000 6342 0.00377500 COMPLETE 2013-03-25 09:45 ฿ 30.72461832 4092 0.00750846 COMPLETE 2013-03-20 19:35 ฿ 81.91976102 3151 0.02599802 COMPLETE 2013-03-13 19:30 ฿ 63.53240600 2671 0.02378600 COMPLETE 2013-03-10 06:25 ฿ 1.30000000 1000 0.00130000 COMPLETE 2013-03-08 21:15 ฿ 10.50000000 1000 0.01050000 COMPLETE 2013-03-06 20:05 ฿ 6.82202088 356 0.01916298 COMPLETE
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BitThink
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October 28, 2013, 11:15:27 AM |
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in the broader market most companies fail
This is true, though not in the same way from my experience. Or perhaps in Bitcoin things happen too fast However, it looks like a lot of investors here have no idea what are startup companies, or that most usually fail. A lot of IPO buyers here (or even in the real world stock markets) are not 'investors', since they are expecting to sell them quickly at 2x or 3x IPO price.
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Puppet (OP)
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October 29, 2013, 08:47:34 PM |
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If I am not wrong, they issued 200K shares at 0.1BTC, and the dividend up till now is more than 0.5 (it's not difficult to get the dividend history). So the profit ratio is more than 500%.
Werent 40K of those reserved for bitfountain?
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Mythoranium
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October 29, 2013, 10:03:16 PM |
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I think this is a very interesting project, but I don't think this can be calculated so easily.
The thing is, as we know, BTC price against fiat fluctuates very much. If I had, for example, bought shares for 1 BTC when it was worth $10 and gotten 0.5 BTC out of it when 1 BTC was $100, this would technically be a 50% loss, yet it would be almost 400% gain if we take into account the buying power of the returned profits. The same is true the other way around — if I invested 1 BTC when the price was $266, and got back 2 BTC when it was worth $100, it would technically be a positive return, but it would still be negative in terms of buying power.
While I agree that the BTC rate should not matter if I bought the shares for BTC, this is simply not the case. Most securities have to convert investors BTC into fiat in order to do something. Therefore, investing into most BTC securities is the equivalent of trading your BTC for fiat and investing said fiat in the company.
For example, if a mining company fails to meet their goals because of a supplier, and wants to get a refund from them to initiate a buy-back in the benefit of their investors, they will still, at most, get back the fiat equivalent of BTC they spent at the moment of spending.
Someday (hopefully soon) upstarts will be able to buy the stuff they need with BTC, and the providers of that stuff will be able to pay in BTC to their suppliers, workers and everyone else. Then the conversion rate will not matter much and, most likely, it will also not fluctuate much. Until that happens, investing into most securities is still basically selling your BTC and investing fiat into the upstart, even if it doesn't seem so.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying securities shouldn't strive to be profitable in BTC, as long as they are profitable in fiat. I am just pointing out my opinion that, in the big picture, it is the actual value, or buying power, that matters.
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wunkbone
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October 31, 2013, 01:50:37 PM |
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More failed securities then successful, LABCOIN!!!
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