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Author Topic: ANALYSIS OF BTC / USD DATE 26 MARCH 2013 TO 02/04/2018  (Read 29 times)
sollahp
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March 28, 2018, 03:58:58 AM
 #1

ANALYSIS OF BTC / USD DATE 26 MARCH 2013 TO 02/04/2018

I. WEEKLY ANALYSIS (W1)
1. Open last week at $ 8200 BTC quickly rose to $ 9177 and reached a low of $ 8085 then closed at $ 8445 (data recorded on Bitfinex).
2. Thus, with the volume of trading is not large together with the price increase and decrease is not strong when the candlestick creates the candle hammer back but not at the top or bottom so we almost do not conclude with the candle week Last week saw the candle closed the green candle. Continue to candle more candles before, we go to pair 2 candles last two weeks, the formation of candlestick holding balance when the side buy and sell side does not dominate.
3. Regarding candlestick logic, the cycles that are going are supporting one of the two following logic: Candles this week and next week will be red candles or candles this week as red candles. So, if we consider candle logic this week is a week of decline.
4. Prices are between 61.8% Fibonacci level at 9440 $ and 78.6% at 6600 $. Therefore, if the BTC is the biggest loser, it will only be preferred at $ 6600.
The Bollinger Bands are sloping down slightly and the middle bands are heading up, bands are heading up, prices are under the middle bands so the preferred trend is still below W1 bands at $ 5255. However, the Bollinger Bands slid midway up to prove that the buying power is still pretty much.
6. We go to look at ichimoku, Tenkan-sen is under Kijun-sen but Kijun-sen is up and Tenkan-sen is looking for Flat, the price is on Kumo and Chikou span lying on the price line so the long term trend is bullish and in the next 5 weeks Kijun-sen will continue to upward trend so the discount is not given priority. The expectation of BTC will increase this year is very positive.
The 3 ADX lines are consolidating, showing the trend is sideways.
8. Stoch is declining and not yet overbought.
The MACD is supporting the downtrend as the two lines of the MACD are falling down and the histogram of the yen is gradually rising. However, two lines cut but are lying on the area 0. Therefore, when the two lines cut back, the force is very large.
10. MFI money flow is not big enough to pull BTC up when MFI is trading around 31.8.

• CONCLUSION: The general trend is sideways and preparation for BTC's gaining momentum in the year. Thus, the most recent general goal is $ 28,000 and higher at $ 42,000 between August and September 2018 (August 20, 1818 or September 17, 1818).

II. DAILY ANALYSIS (D1)
1. Opening yesterday's trading at $ 8521 and slightly increasing to $ 8674 and then closing at $ 8364 and closing at $ 8445 (on the Bitfinex).
2. Thus, with the volume of transactions is not large and less price reduction is not strong can return at any time.
3. The current candle-lit candle can be a green candle with two red candles, so today we still expect BTC to create green candles for logic. Then cut 2 red candles on 27 and 28 March to complete 3 times the logic.
4. Considering the Bollinger Bands we see that the price after touching the bottom and the ring reached the middle of the Bollinger Bands. The BTC fell back quickly as the price retained the momentum below the Bollinger Bands. But Bollinger Bands are heading up without opening and the bands are down. Thus, the priority of forming W in this area before the price increase is reasonable when Bollinger bands are smoothing in the next few days.
5. We go to Ichimoku, the price is between Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen and not reach the Kijun-sen so the price is still prefered to suck Kijun-sen at $ 9470. Cloud futures are getting thin and there are signs that investors are hesitant to move and change when they want to buy more than they sell at the moment. In general terms of ichimoku we see that Tenkan-sen is under Kijun-sen and the price is under Kumo plus Chikou span below the price line which will put downward pressure on BTC. However, if we go to calculate the future of Tenkan-sen then found that in the next day do not close the candle D1 below 8200 $, Tenkan-sen will start up gradually and if the BTC increased to $ 9177 Tenkan-sen will turn up very strongly, while the price still hit the Kijun-sen road at $ 9470 so this expectation is perfectly reasonable. In the next week, Kijun-sen is still flat, so important is the movement of Tenkan-sen. Thus, although the general trend of ichimoku still indicates that the BTC will fall but some of the waves are echoed when the Kumo cloud is thin and argues some points to the Tenkan-sen increase again and the price attracted. Kijun-sen at $ 9470.
The ADX is still in favor of the downtrend, but the ADX is slowly moving up the third mountain. Therefore, if we consider the ADX wave, then in the short term, BTC will complete the down cycle.
7. Stoch has cut up signaling the uptrend.
The MACD is shifting to the uptrend signal, the histogram is above 0 and moving sideways. Two MACD lines are close together. Therefore, if the BTC continues to fall sharply at $ 8200, the MACD is likely to bounce back. Then the market will bleed blood and $ 5k or $ 6k is not a problem.

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March 28, 2018, 04:00:59 AM
 #2

ANALYSIS OF BTC / USD DATE 26 MARCH 2013 TO 02/04/2018

I. WEEKLY ANALYSIS (W1)
1. Open last week at $ 8200 BTC quickly rose to $ 9177 and reached a low of $ 8085 then closed at $ 8445 (data recorded on Bitfinex).
2. Thus, with the volume of trading is not large together with the price increase and decrease is not strong when the candlestick creates the candle hammer back but not at the top or bottom so we almost do not conclude with the candle week Last week saw the candle closed the green candle. Continue to candle more candles before, we go to pair 2 candles last two weeks, the formation of candlestick holding balance when the side buy and sell side does not dominate.
3. Regarding candlestick logic, the cycles that are going are supporting one of the two following logic: Candles this week and next week will be red candles or candles this week as red candles. So, if we consider candle logic this week is a week of decline.
4. Prices are between 61.8% Fibonacci level at 9440 $ and 78.6% at 6600 $. Therefore, if the BTC is the biggest loser, it will only be preferred at $ 6600.
The Bollinger Bands are sloping down slightly and the middle bands are heading up, bands are heading up, prices are under the middle bands so the preferred trend is still below W1 bands at $ 5255. However, the Bollinger Bands slid midway up to prove that the buying power is still pretty much.
6. We go to look at ichimoku, Tenkan-sen is under Kijun-sen but Kijun-sen is up and Tenkan-sen is looking for Flat, the price is on Kumo and Chikou span lying on the price line so the long term trend is bullish and in the next 5 weeks Kijun-sen will continue to upward trend so the discount is not given priority. The expectation of BTC will increase this year is very positive.
The 3 ADX lines are consolidating, showing the trend is sideways.
8. Stoch is declining and not yet overbought.
The MACD is supporting the downtrend as the two lines of the MACD are falling down and the histogram of the yen is gradually rising. However, two lines cut but are lying on the area 0. Therefore, when the two lines cut back, the force is very large.
10. MFI money flow is not big enough to pull BTC up when MFI is trading around 31.8.

• CONCLUSION: The general trend is sideways and preparation for BTC's gaining momentum in the year. Thus, the most recent general goal is $ 28,000 and higher at $ 42,000 between August and September 2018 (August 20, 1818 or September 17, 1818).

II. DAILY ANALYSIS (D1)
1. Opening yesterday's trading at $ 8521 and slightly increasing to $ 8674 and then closing at $ 8364 and closing at $ 8445 (on the Bitfinex).
2. Thus, with the volume of transactions is not large and less price reduction is not strong can return at any time.
3. The current candle-lit candle can be a green candle with two red candles, so today we still expect BTC to create green candles for logic. Then cut 2 red candles on 27 and 28 March to complete 3 times the logic.
4. Considering the Bollinger Bands we see that the price after touching the bottom and the ring reached the middle of the Bollinger Bands. The BTC fell back quickly as the price retained the momentum below the Bollinger Bands. But Bollinger Bands are heading up without opening and the bands are down. Thus, the priority of forming W in this area before the price increase is reasonable when Bollinger bands are smoothing in the next few days.
5. We go to Ichimoku, the price is between Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen and not reach the Kijun-sen so the price is still prefered to suck Kijun-sen at $ 9470. Cloud futures are getting thin and there are signs that investors are hesitant to move and change when they want to buy more than they sell at the moment. In general terms of ichimoku we see that Tenkan-sen is under Kijun-sen and the price is under Kumo plus Chikou span below the price line which will put downward pressure on BTC. However, if we go to calculate the future of Tenkan-sen then found that in the next day do not close the candle D1 below 8200 $, Tenkan-sen will start up gradually and if the BTC increased to $ 9177 Tenkan-sen will turn up very strongly, while the price still hit the Kijun-sen road at $ 9470 so this expectation is perfectly reasonable. In the next week, Kijun-sen is still flat, so important is the movement of Tenkan-sen. Thus, although the general trend of ichimoku still indicates that the BTC will fall but some of the waves are echoed when the Kumo cloud is thin and argues some points to the Tenkan-sen increase again and the price attracted. Kijun-sen at $ 9470.
The ADX is still in favor of the downtrend, but the ADX is slowly moving up the third mountain. Therefore, if we consider the ADX wave, then in the short term, BTC will complete the down cycle.
7. Stoch has cut up signaling the uptrend.
The MACD is shifting to the uptrend signal, the histogram is above 0 and moving sideways. Two MACD lines are close together. Therefore, if the BTC continues to fall sharply at $ 8200, the MACD is likely to bounce back. Then the market will bleed blood and $ 5k or $ 6k is not a problem.

For a moment I thought you were analyzing over such a long period of time...

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March 28, 2018, 04:28:34 AM
 #3

ANALYSIS OF BTC / USD DATE 26 MARCH 2013 TO 02/04/2018

I. WEEKLY ANALYSIS (W1)
1. Open last week at $ 8200 BTC quickly rose to $ 9177 and reached a low of $ 8085 then closed at $ 8445 (data recorded on Bitfinex).
2. Thus, with the volume of trading is not large together with the price increase and decrease is not strong when the candlestick creates the candle hammer back but not at the top or bottom so we almost do not conclude with the candle week Last week saw the candle closed the green candle. Continue to candle more candles before, we go to pair 2 candles last two weeks, the formation of candlestick holding balance when the side buy and sell side does not dominate.
3. Regarding candlestick logic, the cycles that are going are supporting one of the two following logic: Candles this week and next week will be red candles or candles this week as red candles. So, if we consider candle logic this week is a week of decline.
4. Prices are between 61.8% Fibonacci level at 9440 $ and 78.6% at 6600 $. Therefore, if the BTC is the biggest loser, it will only be preferred at $ 6600.
The Bollinger Bands are sloping down slightly and the middle bands are heading up, bands are heading up, prices are under the middle bands so the preferred trend is still below W1 bands at $ 5255. However, the Bollinger Bands slid midway up to prove that the buying power is still pretty much.
6. We go to look at ichimoku, Tenkan-sen is under Kijun-sen but Kijun-sen is up and Tenkan-sen is looking for Flat, the price is on Kumo and Chikou span lying on the price line so the long term trend is bullish and in the next 5 weeks Kijun-sen will continue to upward trend so the discount is not given priority. The expectation of BTC will increase this year is very positive.
The 3 ADX lines are consolidating, showing the trend is sideways.
8. Stoch is declining and not yet overbought.
The MACD is supporting the downtrend as the two lines of the MACD are falling down and the histogram of the yen is gradually rising. However, two lines cut but are lying on the area 0. Therefore, when the two lines cut back, the force is very large.
10. MFI money flow is not big enough to pull BTC up when MFI is trading around 31.8.

• CONCLUSION: The general trend is sideways and preparation for BTC's gaining momentum in the year. Thus, the most recent general goal is $ 28,000 and higher at $ 42,000 between August and September 2018 (August 20, 1818 or September 17, 1818).

II. DAILY ANALYSIS (D1)
1. Opening yesterday's trading at $ 8521 and slightly increasing to $ 8674 and then closing at $ 8364 and closing at $ 8445 (on the Bitfinex).
2. Thus, with the volume of transactions is not large and less price reduction is not strong can return at any time.
3. The current candle-lit candle can be a green candle with two red candles, so today we still expect BTC to create green candles for logic. Then cut 2 red candles on 27 and 28 March to complete 3 times the logic.
4. Considering the Bollinger Bands we see that the price after touching the bottom and the ring reached the middle of the Bollinger Bands. The BTC fell back quickly as the price retained the momentum below the Bollinger Bands. But Bollinger Bands are heading up without opening and the bands are down. Thus, the priority of forming W in this area before the price increase is reasonable when Bollinger bands are smoothing in the next few days.
5. We go to Ichimoku, the price is between Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen and not reach the Kijun-sen so the price is still prefered to suck Kijun-sen at $ 9470. Cloud futures are getting thin and there are signs that investors are hesitant to move and change when they want to buy more than they sell at the moment. In general terms of ichimoku we see that Tenkan-sen is under Kijun-sen and the price is under Kumo plus Chikou span below the price line which will put downward pressure on BTC. However, if we go to calculate the future of Tenkan-sen then found that in the next day do not close the candle D1 below 8200 $, Tenkan-sen will start up gradually and if the BTC increased to $ 9177 Tenkan-sen will turn up very strongly, while the price still hit the Kijun-sen road at $ 9470 so this expectation is perfectly reasonable. In the next week, Kijun-sen is still flat, so important is the movement of Tenkan-sen. Thus, although the general trend of ichimoku still indicates that the BTC will fall but some of the waves are echoed when the Kumo cloud is thin and argues some points to the Tenkan-sen increase again and the price attracted. Kijun-sen at $ 9470.
The ADX is still in favor of the downtrend, but the ADX is slowly moving up the third mountain. Therefore, if we consider the ADX wave, then in the short term, BTC will complete the down cycle.
7. Stoch has cut up signaling the uptrend.
The MACD is shifting to the uptrend signal, the histogram is above 0 and moving sideways. Two MACD lines are close together. Therefore, if the BTC continues to fall sharply at $ 8200, the MACD is likely to bounce back. Then the market will bleed blood and $ 5k or $ 6k is not a problem.


You use many indicator to calculate top and bottom price but I believe indicator have different purposes, if you can combine all indicator just like your post it will be brilliant. I can say like this, indicator always follow market data and always change in every time period. For trader/ investor like us, how to decides trend to read price moving action is important. Meaning, you should use week - monthly time period to know what trend is, up or down?. From there, you can use medium term ( 4H - day ) period to decides enter ( buy ) and exit ( sell ) point. Just like that but I respect your works, it's good for us.



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March 28, 2018, 05:23:45 AM
 #4

Yes, it's useless to analyze bitcoins!
Until there is positive news, it will not grow.

In my analysis, it will grow to 9000-9300 dollars, in the near future.
But if there is at least one negative news, it will collapse again.

Hello! Any donations that will go to develop coins.
34bwEhH3GMx6swYXt2NBfFbYGkdTcaWtXz....BTC

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March 28, 2018, 07:08:30 AM
 #5

Well done for your analysis but remember that most of these indicators lags with the price, these indicators only changes when the price has considerable move ahead, in some cases the price might be getting ready to reverse that is when an indicator give signal for a trading set-up, personally I prefer price action I.e naked chart and analyses based on the price movement.

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Fair Games that.pay Big Wins.
and.Regular Dividends



 
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March 28, 2018, 08:37:36 AM
 #6

Particularly pleased with your analysis, that the price in August will be at the level of 28 000 - 42 000 dollars! Is it possible? Your assumptions?

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