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Author Topic: [2018-03-30] Not Dead: There’s Good Reason to Be Long on Bitcoin  (Read 100 times)
culberth (OP)
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March 31, 2018, 07:45:10 AM
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With western Christianity set to celebrate the basis of its theology this weekend, bitcoiners the world over might be showing up to churches in droves, hoping one resurrection might lead to another. The ecosystem’s main prophet, Tom Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors, has outlined four reasons why enthusiasts ought to be bullish on the future: growing trust in digital everything, the awakening millennial boom, crypto recognized as a genuine asset, and Wall Street’s inevitable entry into the space. 

Cryptocurrency portfolio holders have not had a great few months. In fact, it has been downright miserable, and appears to be getting worse. Enter Tom Lee, quarter century professional financial veteran, who has been relatively “on” when it comes to generally predicting bitcoin prices.

He recently gave a talk about the basis of the crypto economy, and why it matters. First, understand Mr. Lee is a researcher. This means fundamentally he manages no capital, but rather his entire business is based on the trust of his clientele.

His are not opinions in the advocacy sense, as he urges everyone listening/reading to come to their own conclusions. He’s merely presenting data and making inferences. He’s no idealogue. He’s not a cypherpunk.

Mr. Lee’s thesis begins by positing how bitcoin is a head-scratcher for legacy finance. It was started with zero dollars invested, no venture capital, no board. It grew without going public. Even his own clients disagree with any emphasis on cryptocurrency as an investment strategy.

Nevertheless, modern equities have gone digital in significant ways. The top five tech stocks in the S&P 500, for example, are all digital. And what the digitization of economies allows is for decentralization of money. Centralization is increasingly looked upon as a vulnerability, as when the Malaysian central bank mistakenly wired 50 million USD to a hacker.

Furthermore, monetary systems are built on trusting governments, and that trust has steadily been eroding both in the United States and around the world. In fact, for Americans, trust in government is at a fifty-year low. In places like Brazil, Argentina, Greece, trust has bottomed out, and right alongside a blossoming of crypto interest. These simple facts would seem to not bode well for the future of fiat.

see more: https://news.bitcoin.com/not-dead-theres-good-reason-to-be-long-on-bitcoin/
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According to NIST and ECRYPT II, the cryptographic algorithms used in Bitcoin are expected to be strong until at least 2030. (After that, it will not be too difficult to transition to different algorithms.)
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March 31, 2018, 08:56:37 AM
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People thinking that we are in very difficult times are plain stupid, and don't know anything of this market. If you think the peak of $20,000 was sustainable, it just shows how much of an idiot you are. Anything above $10,000 doesn't reflect the progression of Bitcoin and this ecosystem, and for that reason the price is rightfully coming down again.

Now hype is no longer part of the short term picture, the market has to sustain itself on actual demand, and that demand is obviously far lower than any level of hype demand. If the $6000 bottom is a firm support line, which I believe it is, the only thing that happened recently is that the market came back to the levels it should be hovering around. Bottoms are far more a reflection of the 'actual' value than the fake peaks we experience, which should be clear by now. Peaks = speculative hype, and thus unsustainable. Bottoms = support, and thus something you can build further on.
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