That's what I thought. Both pools are large enough to have the earnings level out. So unless one of the pools is really unlucky for a whole month, it doesn't really matter which pool is joined. But since we have a 1 out of 5 chance to win 550GH/s mining on Bitminter, I'd choose Bitminter.
no the chance is about 4 or 5 out of 233.
that is about 1 or 46 or 1 of 50. still a very nice prize and not terrible odds.
Oops :p, forgot a '0'. Edited my post. My opinion remains the same though. Our earnings are the same on each pool, but we can win something on bitminter.