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Author Topic: How many coins do we think have been lost forever?  (Read 1017 times)
leemar (OP)
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November 07, 2013, 05:59:51 PM
 #1

Wild guess, from stories and anecdotes I know of, 20-25%. 

Attrition in the early days must have been reasonably high when they had little or no value?
Rygon
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November 07, 2013, 06:14:02 PM
 #2

Thread for Known lost coins:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=7253.0
leemar (OP)
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November 07, 2013, 06:19:48 PM
 #3

Thanks nice thread.

So confirmed lost is approx 63K = 5%, so suspect real number must be over 10%, again wild guess.
Birdy
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November 07, 2013, 06:27:49 PM
Last edit: November 07, 2013, 06:41:01 PM by Birdy
 #4

Thanks nice thread.

So confirmed lost is approx 63K = 5%, so suspect real number must be over 10%, again wild guess.
63k aren't 5%, those are 0.3% of the 21 Mio Bitcoins (or about 0.6% of the currently issued ones).
I think the amount of coins lost is more than 1 Mio Bitcoins though.
leemar (OP)
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November 07, 2013, 06:29:13 PM
 #5

Sorry, v bad maths, I meant 0.5% of those so far issued.
mb300sd
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November 07, 2013, 06:30:34 PM
 #6

I contributed my 5K back in the day....  Cry Cry

1D7FJWRzeKa4SLmTznd3JpeNU13L1ErEco
leemar (OP)
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November 07, 2013, 06:34:48 PM
 #7

1 200th = 0.5% in my book if 1% is 100th?

12 mill / 63K = approx 1 200th, no?
leemar (OP)
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November 07, 2013, 06:36:58 PM
 #8

I contributed my 5K back in the day....  Cry Cry

We all owe you  Grin
Birdy
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November 07, 2013, 06:39:08 PM
 #9

1 200th = 0.5% in my book if 1% is 100th?

12 mill / 63K = approx 1 200th, no?

Sometimes even simple math is difficult xD
Yes ~0.5% would be the actual number Shocked
leemar (OP)
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November 07, 2013, 06:42:31 PM
 #10

At least no one will accuse us of being Satoshi  Cheesy

looks like trying to count is a fruitless exercise in any case.
shizuska
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November 07, 2013, 06:49:37 PM
 #11

I think lots of BTCs are gone forever, about 15% of what has been mined totally. So thats about 2 million coins.
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November 07, 2013, 06:54:37 PM
 #12

I think lots of BTCs are gone forever, about 15% of what has been mined totally. So thats about 2 million coins.

With a range of error of + or - 14.5%

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leemar (OP)
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November 07, 2013, 06:55:52 PM
 #13

I think lots of BTCs are gone forever, about 15% of what has been mined totally. So thats about 2 million coins.

Agreed, but I also suspect the rate of attrition will decelerate sharply, as the price increases and people are more careful and coins move to stronger/safer hands.
Ecurb123
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November 07, 2013, 07:09:22 PM
 #14

I think as the value goes up and up, there will be a lot less people losing their bitcoin. Heck I spent the few I had a long time ago too recklessly.
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