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Author Topic: technical or fundamental ?  (Read 596 times)
hwarico (OP)
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April 11, 2018, 12:44:03 PM
 #1

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC

gantez
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April 11, 2018, 12:51:33 PM
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I think prices move basically by the control of fundamentals. Fundamental analysis includes news which is also called as part of fuds. They are very important movers of the market and affects or improves the market very well.
hwarico (OP)
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April 11, 2018, 01:36:03 PM
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I think prices move basically by the control of fundamentals. Fundamental analysis includes news which is also called as part of fuds. They are very important movers of the market and affects or improves the market very well.

i think it is respecting technical also look at this chart

https://www.mql5.com/en/charts/8552281/btcusd-d1-ingot-brokers-australia
INGOT Brokers
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April 11, 2018, 04:32:40 PM
 #4

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC



I think it is too early to tell as It doesnt go with one of them, and hardly both. It is a very volatile instrument that is affected by many factors

Cheers
bobo012
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April 11, 2018, 05:11:06 PM
 #5

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC



It seems to me it moves on news, hype, and sentiment. News tends to move the price quite a bit. People are then in FOMO mode and they panic sell or buy, depending on the news
hwarico (OP)
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April 12, 2018, 07:25:44 AM
 #6

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC



I think it is too early to tell as It doesnt go with one of them, and hardly both. It is a very volatile instrument that is affected by many factors

Cheers


i agree it seems we have to wait some time to answer this question
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April 12, 2018, 07:36:09 AM
 #7

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC

The analysis analyzes movements, it doesn't cause movements. Anyway, technical analysis is a pseudo-science, similar to astrology, where predictions are made according to methods but the methods are not based on facts or evidence.

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April 12, 2018, 07:36:47 AM
 #8

fundamental is always better for long term but technical is good for short term and not always to working as well as fundamental.

                   
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nydiacaskey01
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April 12, 2018, 07:45:36 AM
 #9

I think its not technical nor fundamental. We are not talking of something that has a product that moves around and we can look at the growth by looking at the financial statements and future growth. Lets say Apple Computers, you can tell by fundamental analysis where the company is going by looking at the history and future plans. Its also not technical analysis because the price of Bitcoin is so volatile that we cant compare what happened last year to this year by looking at the chart. It can possibly a mix of both. The manipulators and whales, where do they fall? Technical or Fundamental
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April 13, 2018, 10:49:56 PM
 #10

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC

Its difficult to utilize either technical or fundamental analysis with crypto being that there is no P/E ratio and not much in the way of established deterministic observation revolving around relationships invoking price, value and other variables. I think more time will be required for good mathematical models and solid historical precedents to develop. What also makes things hard is crypto's constant evolution. Only a few years ago, crypto was heavily centralized in china and may have relied upon silk road to generate demand. Today its far more decentralized and no longer relies as much upon dark web markets for value.

There's a constant evolution crypto is undergoing and there are many paradigm shifts which are occurring such as the transition from bitcoin representing long term HODL value to the more recent trend where it has become more an instrument of speculation across futures markets. Exchanges are becoming more regulated and there are many changes occurring all of the time which could make it hard to establish a set of rules or paradigms which determine crypto price movements considering the game is always changing.
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April 13, 2018, 11:45:04 PM
 #11

Movements in the price of bitcoin have been mainly by technical analysis, knowing that the currency has been going through a correction in its price and this in turn has given distrust in some investors which is reflected in the market, but as everything Good analysis must merge both technical and fundamental to have the answer taking into account that one affects more than the other.
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April 14, 2018, 04:12:10 AM
 #12

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC
I stick with both because you cannot do without the two analyses when making market decisions. As long as you are doing your technical analysis, you can decide to balance it with fundamental to be sure of the decision you are making and to check out if it correlates with the sentiments in the market.

Although, you have to also understand that most times, you may need to make use of technical analysis to make most of your decisions anyway and FA is just more like an added advantage to making your decision but it still does not correlate most of the time.
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April 14, 2018, 05:12:41 AM
 #13

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC
I stick with both because you cannot do without the two analyses when making market decisions. As long as you are doing your technical analysis, you can decide to balance it with fundamental to be sure of the decision you are making and to check out if it correlates with the sentiments in the market.

Although, you have to also understand that most times, you may need to make use of technical analysis to make most of your decisions anyway and FA is just more like an added advantage to making your decision but it still does not correlate most of the time.

I agree, You do not need to choose, intelligent investors uses both. With trading you need to consider all factors.  Psychology in trading is always the same in any type of market. If there is a Bad news about a stock, prices will go down of that stock. If there is bad news about the US then in forex you will see the USD will go down. Same here with Crypto.

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April 14, 2018, 05:15:31 AM
 #14

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC


I think the volatility of bitcoin is due to the character and the decisions of the investors. The more they demanded it, the higher will be its price. Media could affect also but it is mostly rely on the investors. So, fundamental and technical analysis are applied.

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April 14, 2018, 03:53:16 PM
 #15

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC



It seems to me it moves on news, hype, and sentiment. News tends to move the price quite a bit. People are then in FOMO mode and they panic sell or buy, depending on the news
Apparently, sentiments, news and all that are most of the things that drives a market but you cannot just rely on them alone.

Yes, you may want to use it to make some decisions in the market pretty quickly and combine what is going on with how the market is responding to make your decision, but as a full blown trader, there is just no way you would not need technical analysis in making your decisions.

I have been trading and most times, I have always used technical analysis. Technical analysis is mainly good to know how the trend is about to change with the movements on the chart and then make your decisions with that, but fundamental is what actually drives the market most of the time.
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April 14, 2018, 04:09:09 PM
 #16

Probably both of them, technical analysis usually drives FUD.

Buyers/seller pressure is usually being driven by hypes and news, and technical analysis( people who sees a very near support level may decide to buy based on this technical analyses).
While daily trading in bitcoin always know that unexpected things may happen and it could drive yourself to lose your investment even though all the indicators you were relying were positive.
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April 14, 2018, 05:12:58 PM
 #17

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC


Use both but only on the right coins, technical analysis cannot be applied in coins with very low market cap on those coins the only thing that you can do is to use fundamental analysis, but in coins that bitcoin you need to use both, use technical analysis to see and try to predict small movements in the market and use fundamental analysis to try to predict the larger movements in the market.
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April 14, 2018, 05:19:15 PM
 #18

There was a logical reason for correction as there was no actual user base to support the overnight growth of Bitcoin price. Fundamentally, there was no backing and hence price fall drastically in last 4 months. I am a great fan of fundamental analysis as I believe it is more helpful for the long run whereas I go with technical analysis for short-term prediction. In this case, I would say, technical analysis highlighted it in an effective manner and predicted that Bitcoin is going to fall soon.
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April 15, 2018, 09:30:12 AM
 #19

I think prices move basically by the control of fundamentals. Fundamental analysis includes news which is also called as part of fuds. They are very important movers of the market and affects or improves the market very well.

i think it is respecting technical also look at this chart

https://www.mql5.com/en/charts/8552281/btcusd-d1-ingot-brokers-australia
It depends on you exactly. Most traders would rather stick majorly with technical analysis in making their decisions, and a little bit of fundamentals most of the time. At least I am talking for myself. Fundamental analysis alone may be good enough for anyone who is entering a long term (long or short position) in the market either after a dip or a bull run but usually for those who are short term traders, technical analysis is basically the main thing that is used to make decisions.
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April 15, 2018, 10:00:16 AM
 #20

BTCbitcoin prices moving due to  technical analysis or fundamental analysis???!!!!!BTC
Neither of the two dictates how bitcoin prices move, it depends on the trader on what to use in analysis but in my case I am more comfortable in using fundamental analysis since it is the one that works for me most of the time. I decide to buy or sell depending on the news and it's credibility but sometimes I try to use TA's. Try to find the analysis which suits your decision making skill in order to make the best out of it.
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