My question was aimed at finding out what people think will happen FIRST, it was a long term question, not which will happen immediately or in the next few days.
I agree it will hover where it is for a while, but when it moves, where will it go first?
curious to know what people think. =)
I know what your question was. My suggestion was that there is a possibility that it stays between $300 and $500 for the next few decades (or few centuries, or whatever you consider "long term").
It might exceed $500 and NEVER drop below $300 again.
It might collapse and be replaced by a new crypto-currency that is in some way better than bitcoin, NEVER to exceed $500.
It might waver back and forth between the two values crossing each more than once (in which case one of them would happen "first" as you've suggested).
However, you are creating a bias in your selection sample by excluding the possibility that it doesn't cross either threshold within the timeframe you have in mind.
