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Author Topic: MMA BETTING PICKS BELLATOR AND UFC 167  (Read 1193 times)
krach
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November 15, 2013, 09:29:44 PM
Last edit: November 17, 2013, 10:44:56 AM by krach
 #1

Lets get right to it, oh yea - are you the type that likes to play dice, or any of the other chance games that you can play with BTC, scroll down, there are some fights that are basicly "throw ups" in regards to odds.

Nov 15th TODAY
Joey Beltran vs. Quinton Jackson
Joey Beltran is a tough dude. He is known for being tough and really hard to put away. Absorbing massive ammounts of leg kicks, punches to the face and body and still not giving up. He isnt really known for any one technique but rather just the willingness to get into a "I hit you, I dont care if you hit me" kind of brawl. Quinton Rampage Jackson, fought in PRIDE and then came over to the UFC when they bought it. Well he just ant what he used to be. Yea he is older, but that is not really the issue, he just doesnt fight with enough urgency, expects people to fight his fight instead of -making- people fight his fight. Lets hope Bellator is paying him enough to take Beltran seriously. Allthough Beltron is no Tito Ortiz, I think he could cause more problems because of his willingness to get up in Rampages face. However in the end at 1.46 Rampage is a great value. Too bad there is no over 1.5 rounds bet on this one, whats up with that?! These 2 are both tough , l expect it to go over 1.5 rounds.
WIN Rampage WIN  CORRECT

Nov 16th UFC 167
Johny Hendricks vs. Georges St Pierre
The fight everybody has been waiting for, Hendricks fights for the title that GSP has held for so long. Hedricks is an excellent wrestler with major power in his right hand. Another positive is he is also not afraid to go all in and end the fight in the first round. It is safe to say that GSP will have a hard time taking him down. - GSP the champ. No matter what you think of him, or his style of fighting -he knows how to WIN- and he does it really well. Does he finish a lot of fights? NO! Does he win a lot of fights? YES! For betting that is what we are concerned with. If you are betting, dont watch all of those UFC hype videos "road to UFC 167" interviews and all that crap. That stuff will cloud your brain. They always try to make it seem as if the contender has a chance. Yes Hendricks has a good chance to win, no doubt. Remember when Diaz fought GSP ? Everyone said the same thing.... Yea after that one GSP´s head looked like a rasin , but you know what? HE WON. Thats why I have to go with GSP at 1.41 ! OH crap when was the last time GSP was 1.41 or higher? I have no idea! - keep in mind that I like Hendricks as a fighter and his antics of chewing tobbaco at press conferences et al, but from a betting point of view GSP makes sense here.
WIN GSP CORRECT -worst decision in ufc history


Chael Sonnen vs. Rashad Evans
DO NOT BET[/b]
I dont like betting on fights with Sonnen, he allways has a good chance to win. Why? Because of his WILL. He doesnt give a shit, he will close the distance, he will close the distance, thats it, he might get cliped or stuffed but he will close the distance and try his damnedest to impose his will, you can be sure about that. I see Evans trying to move around a lot , and Sonnen trying to steam roll him, no idea what will happen.
Glad I wasnt tempted to bet on Sonnen, with all his talk sometimes its tempting

Tyron Woodley vs. Josh Koscheck

Koscheck is a goodjavascript:void(0); fighter. You may really dislike him as a person but he can fight standing well and on the ground he is a beast. Woodly is really strong, could be a disadvantage if this goes 3 rounds and he gets tired. I just dont think Koscheck has been the same after losing to GSP and getting jabbed in the eye SO MANY TIMES (BRUTAL!). I don t think he really ever fully mentaly recovered from the surgery on his eye. I think Woodly punches him in the eye or near the eyes and he gets too hesitant.
WIN WOODLY Correct! , Kos didnt touch gloves in his normal Ahole style. This time he got KTFO!



THROW UP
Evan Dunham 2.0 vs. Donald Cerrone 1.9

You like playing dice or other strange BTC betting games with ZERO skill?!
THIS IS YOUR FIGHT
Almost dead even odds
flip a coin and pick one
Also glad that I didnt bet on this



NO COINS?! NO PROBLEM
Step one- go to bitbook.biz and create an account
Step two-head over to the faucet.
Faucet!
Step three- bet
Good way to test your betting skill and my picks

BET WITH YOUR BRAIN AND NOT BECAUSE YOU LIKE A FIGHTER! DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH! STYLES MAKE FIGHTS NOT STATS!

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johnmatrix
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November 15, 2013, 09:34:26 PM
 #2

You dint make too well in the last prediction.

Dan handerson was knocked out in the first rounds
krach
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November 15, 2013, 09:53:41 PM
 #3

Yes you are right, I did not predict the winner correctly. I went out on a limb and picked an underdog. I still think it was an acceptable risk because of the odds. I also got a pick right on that fight though:
"
Dan Henderson WIN 2.960 - Yes im picking an UNDERDOG WRONG

I also dont think this will go 5 rounds, hell it shouldnt go more than 2.5 rounds so the second bet is

Under 2.5 rounds 1.746 CORRECT"

So if you were to have followed my picks, you would have lost money on that fight, but hedged it with the bet you got right and not have lost as much.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=327833.msg3534116#msg3534116


Here 2 out of 3
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=325632.msg3496555#msg3496555
Watch the fight I got wrong, many people were suprised.

Here I got everythig right Smiley
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=316837.msg3417477#msg3417477
I only picked 2 fights and one was a no contest, but technicaly it was shorter than 1.5 rounds Wink


These are always my picks, do your own research too, styles make fights
krach
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November 16, 2013, 08:15:56 AM
 #4

Rampage won in the last seconds of round one
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=t25hc6Ummac

weigh ins
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=t1hxvxe_7l8
krach
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November 16, 2013, 11:33:36 PM
 #5

Free prelims on now facebook.com/ufc
uk1
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November 17, 2013, 12:13:41 AM
 #6

or here
http://www.ufc.com/media/prelims

exstasie
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November 17, 2013, 01:02:53 AM
 #7

So is there any chance at all that GSP can actually lose this fight?  The odds aren't too bad to bet on this at -259.
I put a bit of money down on GSP.  We'll see what happens.

krach
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November 17, 2013, 10:41:56 AM
 #8

That was probaly the worst decision in UFC history! Shocked Shocked Shocked Angry Huh

My scoring:
round 1 Hendricks 10-9
round 2 Hendricks 10-9
round 3 GSP 10-9
round 4 Hendricks 10-9
round 5 Hendricks 10-9

Even if you give round 4?! to GSP he still loses. Not sure how a judge can give GSP round 1!  HuhThese judges really need some help and education. I am saying this and I picked GSP to win! This is horrible and makes the sport look like a joke, is this the begining of the end and a move towads boxing shadyness?


Well at least I got all my picks right  Grin

Look at this guys face! AND HE WON!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mQ2Mznf1o1A#t=12
johnmatrix
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November 17, 2013, 11:58:54 AM
 #9

When i saw your post, i was almost sure that Johny Hendricks would win , but i dont know why i dint bet anyway. Now im very happy i dint.
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November 17, 2013, 05:38:55 PM
 #10

missed a 5 play parlay at +5300 cause of that decison
krach
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November 17, 2013, 11:45:45 PM
 #11

"missed a 5 play parlay at +5300 cause of that decison"

ssshit

from now on we really need to pay attention to where the fight is ,you can see how that can play a part in how crappy the judges are.


Today I checked the next big fight:
Chris Weidman       2.120

Anderson Silva             1.806


the champ is an underdog,  I dont think this will go 5 rounds.
The odds are not in yet but an under 2.5 rounds is a good bet imo.

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