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April 23, 2018, 03:44:52 AM |
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Second attempt at breaking $9k currently being rejected.
Resistances - Price has once again been rejected at $9k, the zone of resistance we spoke about all week. A break above this level remains the upmost important for a continuation of bullish movement.
Supports - Below current price we have a zone of confluent support at $8.6k created by previous price action and the .786 fib level. Should we fall below $8.6k there is a stronger zone of support around $8.4-8.3k
Moving Averages - Speaking of support, the 50 MA on the 4H is also in confluence with our zone at $8.4-8.3k. This gives us added confidence that if price were to make it back down to this level, it would likely provide enough strength for a bounce, at the very least.
Ichimoku Cloud (same situation as yesterday) - As stated throughout the week, the 1D kijun at $9k was our target using cloud metrics, which was hit and is now acting as a strong level of resistance. Should we break above that we would then look for an entry into the 1D cloud and up towards the opposite edge. The kijun mission comes first, though.
Oscillators - Short term time frame (4H), we see the RSI falling and making lower highs while price is making higher highs. Due to price also being at a confluence of resistance this bearish divergence is one to take note of. A slight pullback on the 1D RSI to retest the zone of previous resistance at 60.0 from above would not be out of the picture either, and completely healthy behavior.
Conclusion
Price gave a weak attempt to pierce $9k again, which was rejected and has price currently hovering right below this zone. We see a few reasons why price may pullback here to reset at highlighted support zones, the RSI bearish divergence at resistance being the main one. After such a strong run upwards a pullback would be healthy and nothing to say the recovery is over, unless it broke important levels of support. All in all: still bullish, but a small pullback away from the heavy resistance at $9k would be of no surprise.
Twitter & Telegram: @BoomerCapital Website: boomerangcapital.org
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