[ANN] bitcoinX charts & dashboard - difficulty vs. price, forum top 10

[phelix]

Difficulty estimate fixed: For quite a while the difficulty estimate on bitcoinx.com/charts was broken (data and graphs). Thanks to Jonathan for notifying me. It should be fixed now and be relatively accurate right after retargeting, too.

The estimate from blockexplorer.com is used: indirectly for the first 504 blocks after retargeting, otherwise direct.


please peer review:

            btcBlocksSinceRetarget = btcBlockHeight % 2016;
            estimateSmear = 504.0  # blocks
            est = self.get_estimate()  # http://blockexplorer.com/q/estimate
            if btcBlocksSinceRetarget < estimateSmear:
                est = ( curDifficulty * (estimateSmear - btcBlocksSinceRetarget) / estimateSmear +
                          (est * 1.0 * btcBlocksSinceRetarget) / estimateSmear )

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[jothan]

Difficulty estimate fixed: For quite a while the difficulty estimate on bitcoinx.com/charts was broken (data and graphs). Thanks to Jonathan for notifying me. It should be fixed now and be relatively accurate right after retargeting, too.

The estimate from blockexplorer.com is used: indirectly for the first 504 blocks after retargeting, otherwise direct.


please peer review:

            btcBlocksSinceRetarget = btcBlockHeight % 2016;
            estimateSmear = 504.0  # blocks
            est = self.get_estimate()  # http://blockexplorer.com/q/estimate
            if btcBlocksSinceRetarget < estimateSmear:
                est = ( curDifficulty * (estimateSmear - btcBlocksSinceRetarget) / estimateSmear +
                          (est * 1.0 * btcBlocksSinceRetarget) / estimateSmear )

The math seems to make sense and the chart looks good.

Thanks for fixing this and for the acknowledgement.

I sent you another small tip, I really appreciate !

[phelix]

[...]
I sent you another small tip, I really appreciate !

actually it was quite generous, thanks! 

[gnar1ta$]

Something seems to be off with days/hours for next difficulty...it's been at 3 days for 3 days 

[phelix]

Something seems to be off with days/hours for next difficulty...it's been at 3 days for 3 days 

thanks for letting me know. blockexplorer.com api is partially down. I have set up a fix so that in case of error data will be taken from blockexplorer.info.

will have to check on this tonight/tomorrow

[phelix]

Something seems to be off with days/hours for next difficulty...it's been at 3 days for 3 days 

thanks for letting me know. blockexplorer.com api is partially down. I have set up a fix so that in case of error data will be taken from blockexplorer.info.

will have to check on this tonight/tomorrow

All network data values now have a fall back source.

[Transisto]

Could you raise TOP 10 topic to 15 (or more)

I watch your website about 5 time a day and still feel like I'm missing a lot of interesting thread.

I also suggest that you move the top 15 discussions to the top instead of the news section that seems to get outdated very fast.

Thanks for being my morning front page.

[phelix]

Could you raise TOP 10 topic to 15 (or more)

I watch your website about 5 time a day and still feel like I'm missing a lot of interesting thread.

I also suggest that you move the top 15 discussions to the top instead of the news section that seems to get outdated very fast.

Thanks for being my morning front page.

thank you for the feedback! 

depending on forum traffic the lower top threads can get quite random. but let's just give it a try. will make the suggested changes in the next couple of days.

[phelix]

Could you raise TOP 10 topic to 15 (or more)

I watch your website about 5 time a day and still feel like I'm missing a lot of interesting thread.

I also suggest that you move the top 15 discussions to the top instead of the news section that seems to get outdated very fast.

Thanks for being my morning front page.

thank you for the feedback! 

depending on forum traffic the lower top threads can get quite random. but let's just give it a try. will make the suggested changes in the next couple of days.

done. not sure I like the current layout, though, might change.

would it be better if bitcoinx.com would lead directly to the bitcoin charts and dashboard page?

[Transisto]

done. not sure I like the current layout, though, might change.

would it be better if bitcoinx.com would lead directly to the bitcoin charts and dashboard page?

Thing can always be changed but I find it better this way.  Doesn't look like a "dashboard" though....

The chart I look at the most regularly is http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-lin-2k.png

[gnar1ta$]

would it be better if bitcoinx.com would lead directly to the bitcoin charts and dashboard page?

Yes for me.  That's the only page I look at.

[Transisto]

The added 5 topic are very interesting,  The top 10 was mostly just feedback of the hive-mind crazes.

[phelix]

would it be better if bitcoinx.com would lead directly to the bitcoin charts and dashboard page?

Yes for me.  That's the only page I look at.

probably I will go for it together with a little site restructuring but will take some time.

The added 5 topic are very interesting,  The top 10 was mostly just feedback of the hive-mind crazes.

I'm happy with it so far, too.


thought about more forum indicators lately...  number of posts or maybe a mood indicator based on a count of positive / negative words ("BUY BUY BUY")

[Stephen Gornick]

thought about more forum indicators lately...  number of posts or maybe a mood indicator based on a count of positive / negative words ("BUY BUY BUY")

Topic                                   Score
Bitcoin Savings and Trust               10185
"Book club"                               120
US health care mandate (Obamacare)        105
Look at a pirate, eye to eye if you dare.  77
[ANN] BITCOIN CHIPIN is here!              45
LTCPPT - Litecoin Pirate Pass Through      31

Has there ever been a 5-digit (i..e, 10,000 or higher) score before?

Not sure what your indicator would read for that one though. 

[phelix]

thought about more forum indicators lately...  number of posts or maybe a mood indicator based on a count of positive / negative words ("BUY BUY BUY")

Topic                                   Score
Bitcoin Savings and Trust               10185
"Book club"                               120
US health care mandate (Obamacare)        105
Look at a pirate, eye to eye if you dare.  77
[ANN] BITCOIN CHIPIN is here!              45
LTCPPT - Litecoin Pirate Pass Through      31

Has there ever been a 5-digit (i..e, 10,000 or higher) score before?

Not sure what your indicator would read for that one though. 

yes. this particular one from the litecoin launch sticked with me:

epic! 
I just leave that here

[uuidman]

Im addicted to this page also.. .  Really good, if I remember correctly the bitcoinica hacks got really high points.

[phelix]

Im addicted to this page also.. .  Really good, if I remember correctly the bitcoinica hacks got really high points.

thanks.

turns out there were plenty of threads with scores above 10000. Here are the threads created in 2012 (first half of the year) sorted by the highest 24h score ever (above 14000):

50799  60001 wtf is going on?
43297  63925 Speculators causing immense price swings: go fuck yourselves
37173  62696 94% correction?
33785  63068 mtgox.com is down
29975  59967 FUCK THIS
29445  61103 CRASH!!!!!!!!!
27502  63839 Throwing in the towel
25810  56583 WTF
24507  59977 is everybody ok?
22654  59964 Here we go!
21458  63064 Gox is goxxing?
21143  64275 What if Bitcoinica requires identification for all customers?
20134  87290 Donating to the Zimmerman Defense Fund
19811  57411 Clash of the Titans
18586  62099 Map Makers Admit Mistake in Showing Ice Cap Loss in Greenland
17398  75577 Want .75010101 BTC for free? Look inside.....
16308  56594 $6 today?!
16028  76129 Encourage George Zimmerman (Florida self-defense shooting victim) to accept BTC
15894  59997 Ok we're on our way back up!
15369  57034 The rocket is secretly taking off.  $8 price target within 18 hours
15158  82581 Bitcoinica stolen coin returns
14893  58922 Why bitcoin is currently (Jan 16th) crashing and why it may continue
14798  88903 BFL refused to issue refund because it was paid with bitcoin (via Bitpay)
14754  56620 Bed vs watching my position? Periodically waking up?
14727  56735 $7 today, in my opinion
14444  63566 S3052 and Manipulation Techniques
14293  63641 Holy shit look at that wall
14152  74315 I believe there is a Hero member who is scamming your money.
14084  74266 Diamonds for Bitcoins

The score is calculated from a formula similar to: nPosts^2 * nUsers  / ((15000 + nAverageId)/15000) all within the last 24h. Looking at the threads above there might be room for optimization 

[Stephen Gornick]

Looking at the threads above there might be room for optimization 

Heh, thanks for that.  But wow, really?  I don't think I've read even two of them.

[Transisto]

Suggestion, to remove hive-mind and noobs kind of threads.

New topic of interest. Thread of less than 1 week with more than X (say 5), established member posting.

The rational is that a new noob threads will get replied by few established members who'll point to the obvious, end of the story.

Current results tend to give to much score to old threads that turned into chat room with subject close to 4 cuils of away from the OP.  http://cuiltheory.wikidot.com/what-is-cuil-theory

Gold down, BTC up come to mind.  I was among the first to call bullshit on this relation and never thought it would last for 100 pages.

[phelix]

Suggestion, to remove hive-mind and noobs kind of threads.

New topic of interest. Thread of less than 1 week with more than X (say 5), established member posting.

The rational is that a new noob threads will get replied by few established members who'll point to the obvious, end of the story.

Current results tend to give to much score to old threads that turned into chat room with subject close to 4 cuils of away from the OP.  http://cuiltheory.wikidot.com/what-is-cuil-theory

Gold down, BTC up come to mind.  I was among the first to call bullshit on this relation and never thought it would last for 100 pages.

longer time frame would definitely be interesting.

at the moment I am busy moving the scraping backend to a new vServer home. I sold my rig so currently it is living on a laptop