No doubt, Bitcoin is *highly* speculative. If Dwolla wasn't so slow to set up (a linked account to) I'd have bought in at about $13.50. Instead I'll buy in at what looks to be a lower price... still waiting. I think BTC could go to $3 just as easily as to $30.
For you financial types I'd say it a risky asset, but also likely to have 0 or even negative correlation to other asset classes.
Yeah, negative correlation is a good thing normally for asset protection. But not when the currency itself has such poor security that you can get hacked, delete your file accidentally etc. The currency is in dire need of further development.
As well as Swiss Franc, you might also want to consider Chilean Peso, Norweigan Krone and Singapore Dollar.
Sovereign Man has a good blog: http://www.sovereignman.com/
From his blog:
Print. Lie. Borrow. Deceive. Deny. These are a the principal tenants of the Greek restructuring plan that were released today from Brussels... it's as if EU policymakers put it together after shaking a Magic 8-ball.
The whole world knows that Greece is bankrupt and has been living bailout to bailout for over a year. Deep in debt and devoid of cash, the country has completely forsaken its sovereignty in exchange for becoming a ward of the European Union; Prime Minister George Papandreou is now a hapless stooge awaiting instructions from Germany.
It's ironic that the Greek proposal released today calls for a 'Marshall Plan' of investment across Europe... given that the last time Greece was being controlled by Germany was during the country's occupation by Nazi forces after being vanquished by Hitler's 12th Army in April 1941.
And so, with limited debate and even less fanfare, Europe has just officially signed on to destroy its own currency. Utterly worthless, quasi-defaulted Greek debt will become perfectly acceptable collateral, much in the same way that the US Federal Reserve took every scrap of toxic paper it could find off banks in 2008 and 2009.
Given the favorable market reaction, European politicians must be feeling pretty proud of themselves. The euro is up. The stock market is up. Oil is up. Well, never mind about oil, they'll blame that on evil speculators... just like food prices.
And the proposal is so deliberately vague, they can go back home and tell constituents whatever they want. Angela Merkel can tell German voters that the French are paying for it, and Sarkozy and tell French voters that the Germans are paying for it. Win, win!
The European sovereign default SOP has just been set. When Spain, Italy, Portugal, and Ireland's time of insolvency arrives, it will be handled just like this: Print. Lie. Borrow. Deceive. Deny.
Every day it becomes more and more obvious that the financial system as we know it is breaking down. The United States and European monetary union, whose currencies comprise nearly the entirety of the world's fiat reserves, have both signed up to debase their currencies as rapidly as possible.
This is going to kick inflation up another notch as anyone holding on to Greek debt is going to trade out of it as quickly as possible. All that money has to go somewhere... and it's a sure bet that a lot of it will feed rising commodities price (which translates into more inflation).
If you haven't found a safe haven for your savings yet, it's time to start. Now. No more excuses. A few you could consider:
Swiss franc, Norwegian krone, Singapore dollar, Chilean peso: These four currencies are generally regarded as safer, stronger, and managed by less obtuse central banks. In a world of fiat, these are among the least worst of the bunch.
Unidad de Fomento (UF): This is a special unit of account used in Chile that was set up during the hyperinflation days of the 1960s. The UF is designed to keep pace with inflation and it's possible to establish a bank account denominated in UF in Chile. I'll be telling SMC members how to do that in an upcoming issue.
Agricultural Property: Nothing hedges your risk against rising food prices like being able to produce your own food. This idea underpins the concept for the resilient community we're planning in South America.
Precious Metals: Portable, divisible, durable, and scarce, precious metals are the classic hedge against rising prices. Gold and silver aren't going to go up in a straight line, and gold in particular is due for a correction, but in a world ruled by an economic magic 8-ball, it's a much safer store of value than a government IOU.
High quality equities: If my only two options are Apple stock and a bank account earning 0% interest, I'm going with Steve Jobs. The chief problem with equities is that the more money that central banks print, the more money flows into equities... pushing valuations up to dizzying (and unsustainable) levels.
Firearms and ammunition: Weapons and ammo serve a dual purpose of providing better home security, as well as a reasonable store of value. Unfortunately, they can also serve a third purpose-- putting you on some government agency's radar.
This list is by no means exhaustive... but if you have the majority of your savings just sitting there wasting away, it's time to act.
Senior Editor, SovereignMan.com