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Question: When will bitcoin crash next?  Crash means losing half value or more and not recovering for at least 6 mos.
Nov/Dec 2013
Jan/Feb 2014
Mar-May 2014
June-Dec 2014
2015 or later

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Author Topic: The next big correction  (Read 874 times)
miken123
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November 27, 2013, 05:28:14 AM
 #1

I'd love to hear your thoughts on why as we'll.
me I think it will happen Jan/February 2014.  US tax season will approach and people will start getting shaky.  Furthermore I expect government clamp down on BTC by then (they'll finally start understanding what it is and will be more weary).

They will still reach new peaks maybe after that but it'll take a while to rebuild from the blow!

Or maybe it won't happen and I'm just trying to build confidence in my decision to get rid if 5 Btc a few mins ago!! :-)
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Zonata
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November 27, 2013, 06:36:16 AM
 #2

I think it was a good idea. If cryptocurrency work a little like any stock, a too fast increase lead naturally to huge selloff. I do not think we will have to wait for long. The question is at what price will BTC settle next.. probably between 200-500, but it is only a guess for now.

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bitcoindigi
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November 27, 2013, 07:31:46 AM
 #3

jan/feb I guess
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November 27, 2013, 08:40:33 AM
 #4

Such a gamble, so you think sell before the New Year? If the train keeps chugging it could be hard to get back on!
martinson
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November 27, 2013, 08:46:23 AM
 #5

i believe it would go up considerably in the near future:)
gnuberg
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November 27, 2013, 08:50:24 AM
 #6

I think Dec 2013, but have big doubt about it.

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OC19850520
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November 27, 2013, 08:51:09 AM
 #7

Over 50% correction is just dream, it wont come anytime soon. Next months we we will see increased demand, thus price.
storelife4
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November 27, 2013, 08:52:10 AM
 #8

I'll hope never.
It will go up till all bitcoins are out.
and than horizontal line _____-----___-__ on some (ill hope +10000$) value

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November 27, 2013, 09:11:07 AM
 #9

I can see a few people who own a lot of bitcoins trickling them out which would stem the rise and if they dump enough reversing the trend
poeEDgar
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November 27, 2013, 09:22:27 AM
 #10

big correction before christmas. but to the moon before then! Cheesy

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Martijnvdc
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November 27, 2013, 09:33:40 AM
 #11

I'll hope never.
It will go up till all bitcoins are out.
and than horizontal line _____-----___-__ on some (ill hope +10000$) value
I think we'll have to wait a very long time for it to get to a horizontal line. Especially since more and more businesses are getting involved. Bitcoin is still in it's infancy, really.
MindGrenade
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November 27, 2013, 10:11:00 AM
 #12

Early December would be my guess
AndrewJackson
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November 27, 2013, 10:40:10 AM
 #13

When people realise its difficult to cash out
cShannon
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November 27, 2013, 10:47:03 AM
 #14

When people realise its difficult to cash out

I agree, and probably also when the market relaxes or remains constant in a range.
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November 27, 2013, 10:57:00 AM
 #15

That doesn't work though! Because if people realise it's difficult to cash out they'll probably think "screw it, i'll just hold onto them" which would hold the price. Or am I looking at it wrong?
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November 27, 2013, 11:25:00 AM
 #16

big correction before christmas. but to the moon before then! Cheesy

That's what I'm seeing, though timing is inexact, could be just before Christmas or soon after into early Jan.

And there will be a more than 50% correction methinks, BUT I think we're still below the "plateau" level it will fall back to after the crash.

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November 27, 2013, 11:59:54 AM
 #17

I think once we cross $1000, there will be more articles, interest, investment, and a rapid price increase.  Then a flash crash where price is cut in half, followed by a rapid recovery and sideways movement for a short time.  All of this is normal Bitcoin behavior, and it will probably happen by the end of 2013.

However, the recovery time will be a lot shorter than you're predicting.  It took 2 years to hit new ATHs after the 2011 crash, but only 6 months after the massive April 2013 crash.  Next time, we'll be hitting new ATHs again in a month or two.

Lots more people know about Bitcoin today, and the upward pressure is huge.  The infrastructure needed for mass adoption is being built today, and its release in coming months will make it easier for he masses to hop aboard.  Six months ago I gave some 1 BTC Cassicius coins as gifts.  By next Christmas I should be able to give some hardware wallets with the security of an Armory offline wallet and convenience of a cell phone wallet.  Maybe I'll preload them with just 1 mBTC each, and it will still be an impressive gift.

Enjoy today's volatility, too.  It will not last forever.


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miken123
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November 27, 2013, 12:27:14 PM
 #18

Great replies and very interesting spread on the poll.  Seems like a lot of people think Never and a lot think very soon or maybe Jan Feb.

I agree with the "when people can't cash out easily" claim as well.  It was one of the factors in my decision to pull 5 btc out last night - I'm worried that when it hits $1000 and many dried to sell at that milestone that there will be difficulty similar to the difficulty there was buying last week and people will lose a lot of confidence in the system since they're used to being able to sell stocks on seconds and cash out immediately so to say.

But again I stil have some investment so I hope it goes to the moon too!
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November 27, 2013, 12:48:27 PM
 #19

My opinion is that it will happened in the first quarter of 2014.




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Wiktorek
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November 27, 2013, 01:00:59 PM
 #20

No one knows...
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