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Author Topic: Black Arrow Software real or fake?  (Read 12010 times)
sameev29 (OP)
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December 10, 2013, 08:31:35 AM
 #1

I have been looking at Black Arrow Software from last month.Their prices are too low compared to Butterflylabs(BFL) and Kncminer:

Black Arrows' Prospero X-1 (100Ghash/second) is $352 only where BFL's 50 GH/S BITCOIN MINER is $2500

Black Arrows' Prospero X-3 (2000Ghash/second) is $5950 where BFL's 600 GH/S BITCOIN MINING CARD is $4680 and Kncminer's Neptune (3000Ghash/sec) is $13000

Black Arrow's Rent-Some-Minions - 6 months for 1000Ghash/sec is $3050 and BFL's 1Ghash/sec for 1 year is $10.83 that's $5.415/6month.Now for 1000hash/sec it's $5415/6month.


As you can see in every product Black Arrow's price is just too unimaginably low.They are based in China which also makes a suspicion in me if they are legit or not.Also they don't allow group buys.They start shipping from February next year.I don't see any other provider offering anything at that price not even close to them.

They have phone numbers for China,Hong Kong,UK and US.So are they real or just a scam?Waiting to hear from specialists here.
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Puppet
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December 10, 2013, 08:34:28 AM
 #2

Its a real company with a proven trackrecond supplying FPGA miners. There is very little to no doubt their asic project is genuine. Whether or not they will be able to deliver what they promise when they promise,  is anyone's guess, but that goes for every other company out there.
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December 10, 2013, 10:56:56 AM
 #3

How it could it not be real? And its no different than cointerra's april batch.

Whether you will still find those an unbelievable deal by that time, we shall see in April, but there is no doubt BFL is offering lousy deals.
takagari
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December 10, 2013, 02:21:08 PM
 #4

You need to learn how HTC works.

The bfl stock selling now. Will be completely useless when ba launches. As we go along you need more and more power to get the same coins.

Think of TH as the new GH. The next generation after the x-3 will likely be 10s or 100s of TH and likely the same price point.

Bfl was cheap on pre order. Wait and see what the x-3 sells for in Feb Smiley
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December 10, 2013, 02:34:46 PM
 #5



April?They say their products will be available on 24 February,2014.

They still haven't given any real pictures of the products.I am very eager to get the prospero X-1.But not sure if I will get what I will pay for.

I think that April launch he was taking about was Cointerra. But I could be talking out my ass here too, i've been known to before.
Slander
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December 10, 2013, 05:12:21 PM
 #6

does anyone have the link to the page where you put your payment details AFTER you wire money? I cant find it.
timvan007
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December 10, 2013, 07:40:37 PM
 #7

I'm waiting on some cash and then definitely buying into black arrow. If it ships Q1 it is a really nice buy compared to the cointerra and neptune right now. I'm excited to see how they transition from FPGA.
tom_o
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December 10, 2013, 07:45:30 PM
 #8

Its a real company with a proven trackrecond supplying FPGA miners. There is very little to no doubt their asic project is genuine. Whether or not they will be able to deliver what they promise when they promise,  is anyone's guess, but that goes for every other company out there.

That's what people were saying about BFL mid 2012...
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December 10, 2013, 10:01:12 PM
 #9


That's what people were saying about BFL mid 2012...

Yeah, and back then they were rightly saying BFL had a proven trackrecord of delivering FPGA miners.
About one year later than they promised.

Blackarrow so far seems to have done pretty much what they promised. Granted, there is a big difference between producing boards based on FPGAs and a custom asic, but its still unfair to compare them to BFL. Id also add that BA had one of the most conservative public timetables. Thats no guarantee they will deliver, but I wouldnt be surprised if BA shipped their kit before BFL gets Monarch out of the door, and Id be willing to bet that if you order today, a BA miner will be delivered before a Monarch ordered today.

April?They say their products will be available on 24 February,2014.

Yes thats when they say shipping will begin in order or payment, which means if you order now, you'll not likely get it before sometime in March at the earliest. Unless you think you will ROI in 2 weeks, difficulty in April and beyond will determine how "cheap" you think you bought your miner, and by that time, almost all vendors will be shipping their latest product in volume.
descarte
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December 10, 2013, 11:11:43 PM
 #10

despite all the hype, I honestly doubt they can ship on time. I do hope they can prove me wrong because I am their customer as well. they priced their product competitively with cointerra though.
philipma1957
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December 10, 2013, 11:40:31 PM
 #11

do you realize you can buy smaller amounts here :


and that they have an on going pro to type here

▄▄███████▄▄
▄██████████████▄
▄██████████████████▄
▄████▀▀▀▀███▀▀▀▀█████▄
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██████████▄█▀███████████
██████████▀████████████
▀█████▄█▀█████████████▀
▀████▄▄▄▄███▄▄▄▄████▀
▀██████████████████▀
▀███████████████▀
▀▀███████▀▀
.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
philipma1957
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December 10, 2013, 11:44:18 PM
 #12

do you realize you can buy smaller amounts here :


and that they have an on going pro to type here


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=328996.0    hashing made money has bugs


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=335145.0    you can buy at 130 a share 50 shares

  comes to 6500 a miner  a small premium .  


 read carefully both threads.  I have 2 shares of this. r17

  read the r9 -r12 yeah it is long but it is your money.  I have 11 shares of it.

If this is a real company and if the r17 buy is good all older gear sucks.

since  i made money on the r9 to r12 .  I grabbed some r17.  I am on the fence as to purchasing 10 more shares for 400gh

▄▄███████▄▄
▄██████████████▄
▄██████████████████▄
▄████▀▀▀▀███▀▀▀▀█████▄
▄█████████████▄█▀████▄
███████████▄███████████
██████████▄█▀███████████
██████████▀████████████
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▀██████████████████▀
▀███████████████▀
▀▀███████▀▀
.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
takagari
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December 11, 2013, 12:08:11 AM
 #13

do you realize you can buy smaller amounts here :


and that they have an on going pro to type here


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=328996.0    hashing made money has bugs


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=335145.0    you can buy at 130 a share 50 shares

  comes to 6500 a miner  a small premium .  


 read carefully both threads.  I have 2 shares of this. r17

  read the r9 -r12 yeah it is long but it is your money.  I have 11 shares of it.

If this is a real company and if the r17 buy is good all older gear sucks.

since  i made money on the r9 to r12 .  I grabbed some r17.  I am on the fence as to purchasing 10 more shares for 400gh

Three of us are buying 50 shares, no fence, go big or GTFO Smiley

Always risk but if you waited to buy one of the X-3 units after they launched, you'd pay 4X an dnever recover unless coins go threw the roof.

Right now an x-3 will make you a few grand if it stays at 900 a coin. Late delivery will kill you.
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December 11, 2013, 03:29:56 AM
 #14

does anyone have the link to the page where you put your payment details AFTER you wire money? I cant find it.

I've only ordered with btc, but they sent me an invoice and provided me with the address to sent the coin.

philipma1957
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December 11, 2013, 04:41:27 AM
 #15

Even if Black Arrow delivers in time,iits still 2 and a half months away.By that time bitcoin difficulty will increase so much that we wont earn coins anywhere close like we are calculating now.
 

wrong.   black arrow is due in 60 -75 days   5 or 6 diff adjustments.  do your math

 at 30%   you get this

    908 mill now
  1180 mill dec 22
 1535  mill  jan 4
 1995  mill  jan 16
 2594  mill   jan 28
 3372  mill  feb 9
 4384  mill  feb 21     

 machine comes in  you have 2th it earns about .25 coins a day  if coins stay at 1000 you would have a chance to turn a profit.

at just  27 %  that feb 21 number is  3000 mill

 machine comes in  you earn .334 coins a day  if coins stay at 1000 you would most likely make money


lastly at 25%   that feb 21 number is 2775

machine comes in  you earn .36  btc a day  if coins are at 1000 you would get into the range of good money made


just drop done a little more to 20%  you get 2260 mill

machine comes in you earn .44 btc a day  at 1000 a coin you will do very well.

many ifs 

▄▄███████▄▄
▄██████████████▄
▄██████████████████▄
▄████▀▀▀▀███▀▀▀▀█████▄
▄█████████████▄█▀████▄
███████████▄███████████
██████████▄█▀███████████
██████████▀████████████
▀█████▄█▀█████████████▀
▀████▄▄▄▄███▄▄▄▄████▀
▀██████████████████▀
▀███████████████▀
▀▀███████▀▀
.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
frankenmint
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December 11, 2013, 07:37:23 AM
 #16

Even if Black Arrow delivers in time,iits still 2 and a half months away.By that time bitcoin difficulty will increase so much that we wont earn coins anywhere close like we are calculating now.
 

wrong.   black arrow is due in 60 -75 days   5 or 6 diff adjustments.  do your math

 at 30%   you get this

    908 mill now
  1180 mill dec 22
 1535  mill  jan 4
 1995  mill  jan 16
 2594  mill   jan 28
 3372  mill  feb 9
 4384  mill  feb 21     

 machine comes in  you have 2th it earns about .25 coins a day  if coins stay at 1000 you would have a chance to turn a profit.

at just  27 %  that feb 21 number is  3000 mill

 machine comes in  you earn .334 coins a day  if coins stay at 1000 you would most likely make money


lastly at 25%   that feb 21 number is 2775

machine comes in  you earn .36  btc a day  if coins are at 1000 you would get into the range of good money made


just drop done a little more to 20%  you get 2260 mill

machine comes in you earn .44 btc a day  at 1000 a coin you will do very well.

many ifs 

Your logic didn't work for the past three difficulty jumps otherwise we would have been at 1 billion already.  Don't use doubling math.

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December 11, 2013, 07:58:08 AM
 #17

Your logic didn't work for the past three difficulty jumps otherwise we would have been at 1 billion already.  Don't use doubling math.

510900000 * 1.25³ = 997M or <1B

That said, instead of assuming a continuation of an exponential growth curve that fit remarkably well the past 12 months, feel free to add up all orders promised to ship in the next 6 months from 12+ vendors and see what happens. To get you started:
Cointerra: 2+ PH per batch x 5 = 10+PH
Bitmine: 4 PH before April
Asicminer: 2-20 PH

Add your own estimates for Hashfast, BFL, BlackArrow, KnC, Labgarden, Bitmain, ActMiner,  Bitfury,  Avalon,..

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December 11, 2013, 08:24:19 AM
 #18

Your logic didn't work for the past three difficulty jumps otherwise we would have been at 1 billion already.  Don't use doubling math.

510900000 * 1.25³ = 997M or <1B

That said, instead of assuming a continuation of an exponential growth curve that fit remarkably well the past 12 months, feel free to add up all orders promised to ship in the next 6 months from 12+ vendors and see what happens. To get you started:
Cointerra: 2+ PH per batch x 5 = 10+PH
Bitmine: 4 PH before April
Asicminer: 2-20 PH

Add your own estimates for Hashfast, BFL, BlackArrow, KnC, Labgarden, Bitmain, ActMiner,  Bitfury,  Avalon,..



And you honestly expect the additional 28 PH to come online within the next 5 months to hit 4.4+ B difficulty? 

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December 11, 2013, 08:33:05 AM
 #19

And you honestly expect the additional 28 PH to come online within the next 5 months to hit 4.4+ B difficulty?  

Unless most vendors keep dropping the ball far more than they have so far, then yes.
If you dont, then do you think CT isnt going to be able to ship 2PH batches each month, or do you think CT and Bitmine together will have more than 50% of the market?

We've seen 7-8  PH added in the past 5 month, and only one vendor has been shipping latest gen miners. Next year there will be over 10 such vendors.
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December 11, 2013, 08:42:50 AM
Last edit: December 11, 2013, 08:57:08 AM by CustomChickenDelivery
 #20

I'm tempted to buy the Minion Cloud service for 1TH worth.

If it pops off in March, and Diff is 6 billion or less, it should do the trick.  Cool

This shit does look too good to be true, with no near competitors in sight.  Huh

This could be the Chinese KNC or the Chinese BFL.  Shocked Heaven or Hell.........Purgatory is also a very real possibility.
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